Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T02:46:51+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

F7
0xf743…63e1
crypto · 420 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$52 -8%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$52 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized−$52
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)68%
Wins / losses286 / 134
Est. fees paid−$0
Open positions0
Markets (closed)420 / 420
History coverage18d
Avg bet$2
Trades / day34.0
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 0 History 420 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$8
7 days−$41
14 days−$58
30 days−$52
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET Down 59¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET Up 81¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET Up 56¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET Down 83¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET Down 87¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET Down 79¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET Up 53¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET Up 55¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET Up 41¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET Up 52¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Will the highest temperature in London be 18°C on June 4? Yes 68¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET Up 51¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Indian Premier League: Sunrisers Hyderabad vs Rajasthan Royals Sunrisers Hyderabad 28¢ 0¢ $7 $0 −$7 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET Up 55¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET Down 85¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET Up 30¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET Up 67¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET Down 84¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET Down 77¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET Down 68¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Will the highest temperature in London be 22°C on June 12? Yes 73¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET Up 27¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET Up 56¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET Up 23¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET Down 88¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET Jun 14 $1 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET Jun 14 $1 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET Jun 14 $1 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET Jun 14 $1 $0 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET Jun 14 $1 $0 +31%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET Jun 14 $1 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET Jun 14 $1 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET Jun 14 $1 +$1 +63%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET Jun 13 $1 +$1 +73%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +26%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -99%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET Jun 13 $1 +$2 +198%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +19%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET Jun 13 $1 +$1 +90%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET Jun 13 $2 $0 -8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +48%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 62% −$17
weather 35% −$40
sports 3% +$5
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $1 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $1 6m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET BUY Down 49¢ $1 26m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $1 31m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET BUY Up 36¢ $1 36m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET BUY Down 90¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET BUY Down 75¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET BUY Up 27¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET BUY Down 98¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET BUY Up 23¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET SELL Up 99¢ $2 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET BUY Up 59¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET BUY Down 98¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET BUY Up 62¢ $1 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET BUY Down 94¢ $1 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $1 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET BUY Down 98¢ $1 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET BUY Up 56¢ $1 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET BUY Down 88¢ $1 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET BUY Down 94¢ $1 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET BUY Down 98¢ $1 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $1 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET BUY Up 98¢ $1 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET BUY Up 94¢ $1 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET BUY Down 78¢ $1 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET BUY Down 97¢ $1 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET BUY Up 87¢ $1 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $1 7h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET BUY Down 88¢ $1 7h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +43%
net ROI/market (all)-13.5%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 383 -3.0% -12.3% 72% 44% -17.0%
≤30d 420 -4.4% -13.5% 68% 43% -16.1%
≤90d 420 -4.4% -13.5% 68% 43% -16.1%
all 420 -4.4% -13.5% 68% 43% -16.1%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover34.0 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -13.5% 43% -16.1%
10% ← realistic here -21.8% 25% -24.1%
15% -29.3% 17% -31.5%
20% -36.3% 11% -38.2%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 931 history records