trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 24 | -7.6% | -16.4% | 46% | 38% | +26.1% |
| ≤30d | 24 | -7.6% | -16.4% | 46% | 38% | +26.1% |
| ≤90d | 24 | -7.6% | -16.4% | 46% | 38% | +26.1% |
| all | 24 | -7.6% | -16.4% | 46% | 38% | +26.1% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal | -16.4% | 38% | +26.1% |
| 10% ← realistic here | -24.4% | 33% | +14.0% |
| 15% | -31.7% | 25% | +3.0% |
| 20% | -38.4% | 25% | -7.1% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 23°C on June 18? | Yes | 1¢ | 30¢ | $2 | $116 | +$113 (+4781%) |
| Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 31°C on June 18? | No | 58¢ | 38¢ | $38 | $25 | −$13 (-35%) |
| Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 22°C or below on June 18? | Yes | 3¢ | 10¢ | $4 | $15 | +$11 (+235%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the lowest temperature in Miami be between 74-75°F on June 17? | Jun 18 | $4 | −$3 | -71% |
| Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 31°C on June 17? | Jun 18 | $3 | −$2 | -75% |
| Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 35°C on June 17? | Jun 18 | $1 | −$1 | -100% |
| Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 36°C on June 17? | Jun 18 | $2 | −$2 | -100% |
| Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 31°C on June 17? | Jun 18 | $3 | −$3 | -100% |
| Will the highest temperature in Busan be 31°C on June 17? | Jun 18 | $12 | −$6 | -46% |
| Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on June 18? | Jun 18 | $13 | +$14 | +109% |
| Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on June 18? | Jun 18 | $172 | +$134 | +78% |
| Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 26°C on June 18? | Jun 18 | $66 | +$6 | +10% |
| Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 23°C on June 17? | Jun 17 | $78 | +$10 | +13% |
| Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 29°C on June 17? | Jun 17 | $3 | +$2 | +73% |
| Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 30°C on June 17? | Jun 17 | $6 | +$2 | +34% |
| Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 28°C on June 17? | Jun 17 | $1 | $0 | -52% |
| Will the highest temperature in Busan be 29°C on June 17? | Jun 17 | $34 | +$47 | +140% |
| Will the highest temperature in Busan be 30°C on June 17? | Jun 17 | $27 | +$53 | +194% |
| Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 27°C on June 17? | Jun 17 | $124 | +$33 | +26% |
| Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 94-95°F on June 16? | Jun 17 | $0 | $0 | -100% |
| Will the highest temperature in Paris be 25°C or below on June 16? | Jun 17 | $2 | −$1 | -42% |
| Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 96-97°F on June 16? | Jun 17 | $2 | −$2 | -100% |
| Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 25°C on June 16? | Jun 17 | $2 | −$2 | -100% |
| Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 24°C on June 16? | Jun 16 | $149 | +$7 | +4% |
| Will the highest temperature in Paris be 28°C on June 16? | Jun 16 | $20 | −$4 | -20% |
| Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 26°C on June 16? | Jun 16 | $52 | +$28 | +55% |
| Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 30°C on June 16? | Jun 16 | $10 | −$1 | -12% |