Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T10:30:41+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

F7
0xf75f…988d
crypto · 81 markets active 2h ago
0.0score
−$821 -8%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$821 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFresh edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist
Net worth$0
Realized−$821
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)42%
Wins / losses34 / 47
Est. fees paid−$8
Open positions0
Markets (closed)81 / 81
Avg bet$123
Trades / day11.9
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit96%
Chart Positions 0 History 81 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$19
7 days+$19
14 days−$217
30 days−$514
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET Up 12¢ 0¢ $145 $0 −$145 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET Up 29¢ 0¢ $227 $0 −$227 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET Up 17¢ 0¢ $300 $0 −$300 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET Down 5¢ 0¢ $71 $0 −$71 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - May 11, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET Up 3¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. Arsenal FC: Both Teams to Score No 4¢ 0¢ $173 $0 −$173 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET Up 51¢ 0¢ $250 $0 −$250 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET Down 10¢ 0¢ $700 $0 −$700 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET Up 3¢ 0¢ $75 $0 −$75 (-100%)
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-05-30? Yes 17¢ 0¢ $40 $0 −$40 (-100%)
Seattle Storm vs. Toronto Tempo Seattle Storm 28¢ 0¢ $69 $0 −$69 (-100%)
Dogecoin Up or Down - May 11, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET Up 22¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on May 13, 2026? No 16¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET Down 12¢ 0¢ $130 $0 −$130 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET Down 38¢ 0¢ $400 $0 −$400 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET Up 22¢ 0¢ $50 $0 −$50 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET Down 24¢ 0¢ $500 $0 −$500 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET Up 1¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET Up 12¢ 0¢ $400 $0 −$400 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET Up 10¢ 0¢ $175 $0 −$175 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET Up 3¢ 0¢ $100 $0 −$100 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET Up 7¢ 0¢ $25 $0 −$25 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET Up 16¢ 0¢ $85 $0 −$85 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET Down 3¢ 0¢ $15 $0 −$15 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET Jun 12 $90 −$85 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET Jun 12 $317 −$300 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET Jun 12 $126 +$11 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET Jun 12 $153 +$50 +33%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET Jun 12 $100 +$2 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET Jun 12 $130 +$164 +126%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET Jun 12 $238 −$227 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET Jun 12 $417 −$400 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET Jun 12 $309 +$232 +75%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET Jun 12 $421 −$400 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET Jun 12 $413 +$362 +88%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET Jun 12 $741 −$700 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET Jun 12 $525 −$500 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET Jun 12 $461 +$250 +54%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET Jun 12 $361 +$272 +75%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET Jun 12 $644 +$489 +76%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET Jun 12 $183 −$100 -55%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET Jun 12 $308 +$179 +58%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET Jun 12 $131 +$320 +245%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET Jun 12 $103 +$109 +106%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET Jun 12 $104 +$119 +115%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET Jun 12 $132 +$144 +110%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET Jun 12 $258 −$250 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET Jun 12 $181 +$161 +89%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET Jun 12 $102 +$29 +29%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET Jun 12 $102 +$27 +27%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET Jun 12 $76 +$21 +28%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET Jun 12 $21 +$2 +11%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET Jun 12 $108 +$50 +46%
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11? Jun 12 $104 +$7 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET Jun 12 $21 −$15 -71%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET May 30 $26 −$11 -41%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET May 30 $26 −$10 -38%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET May 30 $16 +$10 +67%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET May 30 $5 +$4 +86%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET May 30 $5 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET May 30 $53 −$53 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET May 30 $21 −$14 -66%
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-05-30? May 30 $41 −$40 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET May 30 $52 +$22 +42%
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-30? May 30 $62 +$32 +52%
Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. Arsenal FC: Both Teams to Score May 30 $177 −$173 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET May 30 $98 +$115 +118%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET May 30 $51 −$51 -100%
Seattle Storm vs. Toronto Tempo May 30 $71 −$69 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET May 19 $95 −$35 -37%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET May 19 $5 −$4 -85%
Roland Garros, Qualification ATP: Jurij Rodionov vs Dusan Lajovic May 19 $10 −$1 -13%
Roland Garros, Qualification ATP: James McCabe vs Zdenek Kolar May 19 $21 −$3 -15%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 95% −$570
sports 3% −$248
other 2% −$2
world 0% $0
politics 0% −$2
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET BUY Up 5¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET BUY Up 12¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET BUY Up 16¢ $26 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET BUY Up 21¢ $26 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET BUY Up 24¢ $26 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET BUY Up 10¢ $106 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET BUY Up 21¢ $106 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET BUY Up 30¢ $105 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET BUY Down 86¢ $25 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET BUY Down 86¢ $25 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET BUY Down 70¢ $26 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET BUY Down 72¢ $25 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET BUY Down 68¢ $26 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET BUY Down 67¢ $26 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET BUY Up 43¢ $26 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET BUY Up 55¢ $26 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET BUY Up 35¢ $26 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET BUY Up 40¢ $26 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET BUY Up 45¢ $26 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET BUY Up 92¢ $25 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET BUY Up 92¢ $25 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET BUY Up 91¢ $25 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET BUY Up 93¢ $25 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET BUY Up 91¢ $25 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET BUY Up 98¢ $25 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET BUY Up 98¢ $25 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET BUY Up 98¢ $25 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET BUY Up 98¢ $25 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET BUY Up 25¢ $90 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET BUY Up 34¢ $105 3h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +36%
net ROI/market (all)-22.1%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 32 +10.5% -0.0% 66% 56% -9.3%
≤30d 55 -8.9% -17.6% 49% 42% -15.2%
≤90d 81 -13.9% -22.1% 42% 36% -17.3%
all 81 -13.9% -22.1% 42% 36% -17.3%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover11.9 tr/day
realistic slip~9%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -22.1% 36% -17.3%
10% -29.6% 33% -25.2%
15% -36.4% 28% -32.4%
20% -42.6% 26% -39.1%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 435 history records