Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T01:17:14+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

F7
0xf766…9251
sports · 553 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$216 -5%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$167 · open −$48
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP sports specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$531
Realized−$167
Unrealized−$48
Win rate (resolved)56%
Wins / losses278 / 222
Est. fees paid−$51
Open positions53
Markets (closed)500 / 553
History coverage13d
Avg bet$7
Trades / day48.0
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 53 History 500 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$40
7 days−$4
14 days−$167
30 days−$167
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Boston Red Sox vs. New York Yankees: O/U 8.5 Over 27¢ 52¢ $10 $20 +$9 (+93%)
Texas Rangers vs. Boston Red Sox Boston Red Sox 54¢ 96¢ $10 $18 +$8 (+79%)
San Diego Padres vs. Baltimore Orioles Baltimore Orioles 54¢ 92¢ $10 $17 +$7 (+69%)
Miami Marlins vs. Pittsburgh Pirates Miami Marlins 45¢ 98¢ $8 $17 +$9 (+119%)
Texas Rangers vs. Boston Red Sox: O/U 7.5 Over 57¢ 92¢ $10 $16 +$6 (+61%)
Detroit Tigers vs. Cleveland Guardians Cleveland Guardians 54¢ 88¢ $9 $15 +$6 (+62%)
Spread: Texas Rangers (-1.5) Boston Red Sox 66¢ 95¢ $10 $15 +$4 (+44%)
New York Yankees vs. Toronto Blue Jays Toronto Blue Jays 61¢ 82¢ $10 $14 +$4 (+35%)
Spread: Minnesota Twins (-1.5) St. Louis Cardinals 62¢ 82¢ $10 $14 +$3 (+32%)
Atlanta Braves vs. New York Mets: O/U 6.5 Over 68¢ 92¢ $10 $13 +$3 (+35%)
St. Louis Cardinals vs. Minnesota Twins St. Louis Cardinals 45¢ 71¢ $9 $13 +$5 (+58%)
Spread: New York Yankees (-1.5) New York Yankees 36¢ 46¢ $10 $13 +$3 (+29%)
Detroit Tigers vs. Cleveland Guardians: O/U 10.5 Under 68¢ 88¢ $10 $13 +$3 (+29%)
St. Louis Cardinals vs. Minnesota Twins: O/U 6.5 Over 74¢ 92¢ $10 $13 +$2 (+24%)
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Chicago White Sox Los Angeles Dodgers 60¢ 72¢ $10 $12 +$2 (+21%)
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Cincinnati Reds Cincinnati Reds 53¢ 64¢ $10 $12 +$2 (+22%)
Spread: Pittsburgh Pirates (-3.5) Miami Marlins 80¢ 98¢ $10 $12 +$2 (+22%)
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Milwaukee Brewers: O/U 5.5 Over 72¢ 86¢ $10 $12 +$2 (+19%)
Spread: Cleveland Guardians (-2.5) Detroit Tigers 66¢ 76¢ $10 $12 +$2 (+15%)
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Chicago White Sox: O/U 7.5 Over 76¢ 85¢ $10 $11 +$1 (+12%)
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Milwaukee Brewers: O/U 6.5 Over 62¢ 70¢ $10 $11 +$1 (+13%)
Texas Rangers vs. Boston Red Sox: O/U 11.5 Under 66¢ 84¢ $9 $11 +$2 (+27%)
Spread: New York Mets (-1.5) Atlanta Braves 65¢ 68¢ $10 $10 +$0 (+5%)
Boston Red Sox vs. New York Yankees New York Yankees 52¢ 54¢ $10 $10 +$0 (+3%)
Spread: Tampa Bay Rays (-1.5) Los Angeles Angels 51¢ 50¢ $10 $10 −$0 (-1%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Milwaukee Brewers: O/U 4.5 Jun 13 $10 +$6 +57%
New York Yankees vs. Toronto Blue Jays: O/U 6.5 Jun 13 $10 +$5 +48%
Texas Rangers vs. Boston Red Sox: O/U 6.5 Jun 13 $10 +$4 +42%
Miami Marlins vs. Pittsburgh Pirates: O/U 6.5 Jun 13 $10 +$4 +42%
Houston Astros vs. Kansas City Royals: O/U 6.5 Jun 13 $10 +$3 +31%
San Diego Padres vs. Baltimore Orioles: O/U 6.5 Jun 13 $10 +$3 +31%
Houston Astros vs. Kansas City Royals: O/U 9.5 Jun 12 $10 −$10 -99%
Seattle Mariners vs. Baltimore Orioles: O/U 7.5 Jun 12 $10 +$7 +67%
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Pittsburgh Pirates: O/U 7.5 Jun 12 $10 +$5 +46%
Seattle Mariners vs. Baltimore Orioles: O/U 5.5 Jun 12 $10 +$3 +27%
Texas Rangers vs. Kansas City Royals: O/U 12.5 Jun 11 $10 +$5 +46%
Spread: Colorado Rockies (-2.5) Jun 11 $10 +$2 +25%
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Pittsburgh Pirates: O/U 12.5 Jun 11 $10 −$10 -99%
Chicago Cubs vs. Colorado Rockies: O/U 9.5 Jun 11 $10 +$6 +57%
Spread: Baltimore Orioles (-1.5) Jun 11 $10 −$10 -99%
Seattle Mariners vs. Baltimore Orioles Jun 11 $9 −$9 -99%
Spread: New York Mets (-1.5) Jun 11 $10 +$7 +62%
Minnesota Twins vs. Detroit Tigers Jun 11 $10 +$9 +85%
Minnesota Twins vs. Detroit Tigers: O/U 6.5 Jun 11 $10 +$3 +29%
St. Louis Cardinals vs. New York Mets: O/U 6.5 Jun 11 $10 +$4 +34%
Texas Rangers vs. Kansas City Royals: O/U 7.5 Jun 11 $10 −$10 -99%
Texas Rangers vs. Kansas City Royals Jun 11 $9 −$9 -99%
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Miami Marlins: O/U 6.5 Jun 11 $10 −$10 -99%
Spread: Miami Marlins (-1.5) Jun 11 $10 −$10 -99%
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Miami Marlins Jun 11 $9 −$9 -98%
Spread: Detroit Tigers (-1.5) Jun 11 $10 −$10 -99%
Spread: Los Angeles Angels (-1.5) Jun 11 $10 +$5 +50%
Spread: Milwaukee Brewers (-1.5) Jun 11 $10 +$7 +70%
Spread: Kansas City Royals (-1.5) Jun 11 $9 +$7 +73%
Texas Rangers vs. Kansas City Royals: O/U 10.5 Jun 11 $10 +$10 +96%
Spread: Detroit Tigers (-1.5) Jun 11 $10 +$8 +76%
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Toronto Blue Jays Jun 11 $10 +$7 +76%
Minnesota Twins vs. Detroit Tigers: O/U 7.5 Jun 11 $10 +$5 +46%
Texas Rangers vs. Kansas City Royals: O/U 6.5 Jun 11 $10 +$2 +24%
Spread: Los Angeles Dodgers (-1.5) Jun 11 $10 +$12 +114%
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Miami Marlins: O/U 10.5 Jun 11 $10 +$5 +47%
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Toronto Blue Jays: O/U 6.5 Jun 11 $10 +$4 +36%
Seattle Mariners vs. Baltimore Orioles: O/U 12.5 Jun 11 $10 +$3 +29%
Houston Astros vs. Los Angeles Angels: O/U 6.5 Jun 11 $10 −$10 -99%
Seattle Mariners vs. Baltimore Orioles: O/U 7.5 Jun 11 $10 +$6 +57%
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Toronto Blue Jays: O/U 9.5 Jun 11 $10 −$10 -100%
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Pittsburgh Pirates: O/U 6.5 Jun 11 $10 +$5 +44%
St. Louis Cardinals vs. New York Mets: O/U 6.5 Jun 11 $10 +$5 +47%
Texas Rangers vs. Kansas City Royals Jun 11 $10 −$10 -100%
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Pittsburgh Pirates: O/U 11.5 Jun 11 $10 −$10 -100%
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Toronto Blue Jays: O/U 5.5 Jun 11 $10 +$3 +26%
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Miami Marlins: O/U 6.5 Jun 11 $10 +$4 +42%
Texas Rangers vs. Kansas City Royals: O/U 9.5 Jun 10 $10 −$10 -98%
Spread: San Francisco Giants (-1.5) Jun 10 $10 +$5 +48%
Chicago Cubs vs. Colorado Rockies: O/U 10.5 Jun 10 $10 −$10 -99%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 100% −$216
other 0% $0
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
New York Yankees vs. Toronto Blue Jays BUY Toronto Blue Jays 61¢ $10 3m
Atlanta Braves vs. New York Mets BUY New York Mets 59¢ $10 25m
Spread: Cleveland Guardians (-2.5) BUY Detroit Tigers 66¢ $10 28m
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Milwaukee Brewers: O/U 4.5 BUY Over 63¢ $10 30m
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Chicago White Sox: O/U 8.5 BUY Over 55¢ $10 31m
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Chicago White Sox: O/U 7.5 BUY Over 76¢ $0 43m
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Chicago White Sox: O/U 7.5 BUY Over 76¢ $10 43m
Miami Marlins vs. Pittsburgh Pirates BUY Miami Marlins 45¢ $8 1h
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Milwaukee Brewers: O/U 6.5 BUY Over 62¢ $10 1h
Spread: Toronto Blue Jays (-1.5) BUY New York Yankees 54¢ $9 1h
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Cincinnati Reds BUY Cincinnati Reds 53¢ $10 1h
Spread: Baltimore Orioles (-3.5) BUY San Diego Padres 65¢ $10 1h
Texas Rangers vs. Boston Red Sox BUY Texas Rangers 53¢ $10 1h
Texas Rangers vs. Boston Red Sox: O/U 11.5 BUY Under 66¢ $9 1h
St. Louis Cardinals vs. Minnesota Twins: O/U 11.5 BUY Under 73¢ $10 1h
Chicago Cubs vs. San Francisco Giants: O/U 5.5 BUY Over 76¢ $10 2h
Spread: San Francisco Giants (-1.5) BUY Chicago Cubs 65¢ $10 2h
Miami Marlins vs. Pittsburgh Pirates BUY Pittsburgh Pirates 52¢ $10 2h
Texas Rangers vs. Boston Red Sox BUY Boston Red Sox 54¢ $10 2h
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Los Angeles Angels: O/U 7.5 BUY Over 63¢ $10 2h
Spread: Tampa Bay Rays (-1.5) BUY Los Angeles Angels 51¢ $10 2h
Houston Astros vs. Kansas City Royals: O/U 9.5 BUY Under 51¢ $10 2h
San Diego Padres vs. Baltimore Orioles BUY Baltimore Orioles 54¢ $10 3h
Detroit Tigers vs. Cleveland Guardians: O/U 6.5 BUY Over 70¢ $11 3h
Houston Astros vs. Kansas City Royals BUY Kansas City Royals 49¢ $9 3h
Spread: Boston Red Sox (-1.5) BUY Texas Rangers 63¢ $10 3h
Houston Astros vs. Kansas City Royals: O/U 6.5 BUY Over 76¢ $10 3h
Spread: New York Yankees (-1.5) BUY New York Yankees 38¢ $10 4h
New York Yankees vs. Toronto Blue Jays: O/U 6.5 BUY Over 67¢ $10 4h
New York Yankees vs. Toronto Blue Jays BUY New York Yankees 50¢ $9 4h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +56%
net ROI/market (all)-12.8%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 233 -0.2% -9.7% 61% 61% -9.7%
≤30d 500 -3.6% -12.8% 56% 56% -13.9%
≤90d 500 -3.6% -12.8% 56% 56% -13.9%
all 500 -3.6% -12.8% 56% 56% -13.9%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover48.0 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -12.8% 56% -13.9%
10% ← realistic here -21.1% 53% -22.1%
15% -28.7% 46% -29.6%
20% -35.7% 33% -36.5%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $531.06 · official $532.83 (match) · 882 history records