Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T18:13:43+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

F7
0xf789…61f6
crypto · 1009 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$946 -9%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$997 · open +$51
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$61
Realized−$997
Unrealized+$51
Win rate (resolved)51%
Wins / losses516 / 492
Est. fees paid−$1
Open positions1
Markets (closed)1008 / 1009
History coverage30d
Avg bet$10
Trades / day96.6
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 1 History 1008 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$16
7 days−$91
14 days−$1,132
30 days−$1,028
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET Up 8¢ 50¢ $10 $61 +$51 (+510%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 4, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET Up 32¢ 0¢ $12 $0 −$12 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET Up 28¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 2, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET Up 42¢ 0¢ $13 $0 −$13 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET Up 33¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET Up 66¢ 0¢ $25 $0 −$25 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET Up 74¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET Down 28¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET Up 36¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET Up 24¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 8, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET Down 27¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 2, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET Down 41¢ 0¢ $13 $0 −$13 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 8, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET Down 28¢ 0¢ $36 $0 −$36 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 8, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET Down 14¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 2, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET Down 57¢ 0¢ $25 $0 −$25 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET Down 30¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET Up 38¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 2, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET Down 39¢ 0¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET Down 35¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 4, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET Down 34¢ 0¢ $11 $0 −$11 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 8, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET Up 33¢ 0¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 8, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET Down 34¢ 0¢ $15 $0 −$15 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 2, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET Up 28¢ 0¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 8, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET Down 29¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 8, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET Down 22¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET Jun 12 $24 −$3 -12%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET Jun 12 $16 −$15 -95%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -96%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET Jun 12 $6 −$6 -95%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET Jun 12 $18 +$12 +68%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -95%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -95%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET Jun 12 $10 +$19 +178%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET Jun 12 $10 −$10 -96%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET Jun 12 $10 −$2 -23%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -95%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET Jun 12 $5 +$6 +114%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET Jun 12 $16 +$21 +135%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET Jun 12 $10 −$10 -96%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET Jun 12 $5 +$2 +48%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET Jun 12 $10 +$14 +132%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET Jun 12 $5 +$9 +174%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET Jun 12 $9 +$12 +130%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET Jun 12 $6 −$6 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET Jun 12 $15 +$12 +79%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET Jun 12 $10 +$7 +63%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET Jun 12 $26 −$25 -98%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 8, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET Jun 08 $21 −$20 -95%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 8, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET Jun 08 $38 −$36 -95%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 8, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET Jun 08 $21 −$20 -95%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 8, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET Jun 08 $31 −$30 -96%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 8, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET Jun 08 $21 −$20 -96%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 8, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET Jun 08 $5 −$5 -95%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 8, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET Jun 08 $11 −$10 -95%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 8, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET Jun 08 $16 −$15 -96%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 8, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET Jun 08 $5 +$4 +74%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 8, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET Jun 08 $21 +$31 +147%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET Jun 08 $1 −$1 -96%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 8, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET Jun 08 $16 −$15 -96%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 8, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET Jun 08 $10 +$8 +73%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 8, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET Jun 08 $10 −$10 -96%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 8, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET Jun 08 $11 −$10 -95%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 8, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET Jun 08 $2 −$2 -95%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 8, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET Jun 08 $5 +$22 +425%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 8, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET Jun 08 $10 −$10 -96%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 8, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET Jun 08 $10 +$21 +203%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 8, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET Jun 08 $7 −$7 -96%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 8, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET Jun 08 $10 +$3 +28%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 8, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET Jun 08 $20 +$15 +76%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 8, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET Jun 08 $12 +$27 +227%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 8, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET Jun 08 $11 −$10 -95%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 8, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET Jun 08 $16 −$15 -95%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 8, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET Jun 08 $1 −$1 -95%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 8, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET Jun 08 $15 +$9 +60%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 8, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET Jun 08 $5 −$5 -94%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 99% −$983
sports 1% +$37
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET BUY Up 5¢ $5 5m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET BUY Up 39¢ $5 6m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET BUY Up 22¢ $3 8m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET SELL Down 67¢ $45 9m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET BUY Down 30¢ $10 11m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET BUY Down 28¢ $11 12m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET BUY Up 30¢ $10 17m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET BUY Up 33¢ $5 17m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET BUY Down 35¢ $5 27m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET BUY Up 17¢ $1 31m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET BUY Up 32¢ $5 32m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET BUY Up 69¢ $5 34m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET BUY Up 76¢ $5 34m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET SELL Up 92¢ $16 35m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET BUY Up 42¢ $8 37m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET BUY Up 24¢ $5 40m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET BUY Down 28¢ $5 47m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET SELL Down 88¢ $29 51m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET BUY Down 30¢ $10 52m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET BUY Up 33¢ $10 55m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET SELL Up 36¢ $8 56m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET BUY Up 43¢ $10 57m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET BUY Up 20¢ $5 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET SELL Up 96¢ $11 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET BUY Up 43¢ $5 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET SELL Up 98¢ $37 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET BUY Up 41¢ $10 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET BUY Up 38¢ $5 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET BUY Up 40¢ $5 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET BUY Up 33¢ $5 1h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +47%
net ROI/market (all)-16.2%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 54 -12.1% -20.5% 37% 37% -23.7%
≤30d 998 -7.9% -16.7% 51% 47% -18.7%
≤90d 1008 -7.4% -16.2% 51% 47% -18.4%
all 1008 -7.4% -16.2% 51% 47% -18.4%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover96.6 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -16.2% 47% -18.4%
10% ← realistic here -24.2% 40% -26.2%
15% -31.5% 33% -33.3%
20% -38.2% 27% -39.8%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
≈ Vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $61.01 · official $0.60 · 3500 history records