Wallet analysis

2026-06-18T17:21:03+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
F7 0xf791…013a crypto 153 markets active 1h ago coverage 7d
TRAPdo not copy crypto specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover
✗ negative after realistic slippage! high turnover
Total PnL −$24 (-2%) realized −$24 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt +1% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -22% what you keep after slip
Net edge-22%after slip
Net WR39%break-even
Win rate80%123W / 30L
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$9per market
Trades / day29.2pace
Kalshi-fit100%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
Not enough resolved history to chart — analysis covers only 7d (hyperactive wallet — we see only the tail of its trades). A “Total PnL” curve will appear once daily tracking accumulates.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 100% −$34
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +39%
net ROI/market (all)-8.9%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 153 +0.7% -8.9% 80% 39% -11.7%
≤30d 153 +0.7% -8.9% 80% 39% -11.7%
≤90d 153 +0.7% -8.9% 80% 39% -11.7%
all 153 +0.7% -8.9% 80% 39% -11.7%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover29.2 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -8.9% 39% -11.7%
10% ← realistic here -17.6% 27% -20.2%
15% -25.5% 16% -27.9%
20% -32.8% 9% -35.0%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 11% · top 2 18% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI -2% 90d near zero / fading
Fragile wins
48% wins margin < slip thin win margins
Flat-copyable
equal-wt +1% · $-wt -2% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early +8% → late -6% edge faded
Add-ons / DCA
1.3 add-ons/market flat bettor — clean entries
Win / loss size
+$2 vs −$7 · ×0.21 wins small, loses big
Profit factor
×0.85 loses more than it wins
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

7d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized−$24
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)80%
Wins / losses123 / 30
Open positions0
Markets (closed)153 / 153
History coverage7d
Avg bet$9
Trades / day29.2
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 153 Trades
no open positions (22 resolved losses — in realized PnL)
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET Jun 18 $12 +$2 +14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET Jun 18 $2 $0 +11%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET Jun 18 $12 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET Jun 18 $2 +$2 +110%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET Jun 18 $2 −$2 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET Jun 18 $2 $0 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET Jun 18 $4 +$1 +17%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET Jun 18 $2 $0 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET Jun 18 $22 −$2 -7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET Jun 18 $2 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET Jun 18 $2 −$2 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET Jun 17 $2 +$3 +142%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET Jun 17 $2 $0 -1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET Jun 17 $2 $0 +20%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET Jun 17 $10 +$1 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET Jun 17 $10 +$3 +32%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET Jun 17 $10 +$6 +62%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET Jun 17 $10 +$22 +208%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET Jun 17 $14 −$3 -20%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET Jun 17 $10 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET Jun 17 $10 +$1 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET Jun 17 $2 −$2 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET Jun 17 $10 +$3 +26%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET Jun 17 $10 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET Jun 17 $2 −$2 -99%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET Jun 17 $10 −$10 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET Jun 17 $10 $0 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET Jun 17 $5 +$1 +16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET Jun 17 $15 −$13 -86%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET Jun 17 $20 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET Jun 17 $10 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET Jun 17 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET Jun 17 $3 +$1 +46%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET Jun 17 $15 −$15 -99%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET Jun 17 $30 −$30 -99%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET Jun 17 $46 +$2 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET Jun 17 $20 +$4 +18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET Jun 17 $25 +$4 +15%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET Jun 17 $10 −$10 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET Jun 17 $26 +$13 +52%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET Jun 17 $25 −$25 -99%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET Jun 17 $65 −$3 -5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET Jun 17 $30 +$1 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET Jun 17 $5 −$5 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET Jun 15 $5 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET Jun 15 $5 +$3 +68%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET Jun 15 $5 −$5 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET Jun 15 $5 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET Jun 15 $10 +$5 +47%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET Jun 15 $5 −$5 -97%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET BUY Up 17¢ $2 52m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET BUY Down 71¢ $10 55m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET SELL Down 98¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET BUY Down 87¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $10 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET BUY Down 88¢ $2 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET BUY Down 46¢ $2 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET BUY Up 59¢ $2 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET BUY Up 89¢ $2 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET BUY Down 89¢ $2 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET BUY Down 81¢ $2 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET BUY Up 92¢ $2 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET BUY Down 96¢ $10 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $10 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET BUY Up 45¢ $2 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $2 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET BUY Up 67¢ $2 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET SELL Up 94¢ $5 21h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET BUY Up 37¢ $2 21h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET SELL Up 65¢ $2 21h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET BUY Up 62¢ $2 21h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET SELL Down 42¢ $3 21h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET BUY Down 32¢ $2 21h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET SELL Down 99¢ $11 21h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET BUY Down 89¢ $10 21h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET SELL Down 91¢ $13 21h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET BUY Down 67¢ $10 21h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET BUY Down 60¢ $10 21h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET BUY Down 31¢ $10 21h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET BUY Down 89¢ $10 21h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 328 history records