Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T03:42:25+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

F7
0xf791…0815
crypto · 87 markets active 1h ago
1.5score
+$5 +1%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$5 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFresh edge
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized+$5
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)44%
Wins / losses38 / 49
Open positions0
Markets (closed)87 / 87
History coverage99d
Avg bet$7
Trades / day3.3
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit87%
Chart Positions 0 History 87 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$6
7 days−$6
14 days−$6
30 days−$6
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 15, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET Down 4¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 15, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET Down 47¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 15, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET Down 22¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 15, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET Down 29¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET Up 18¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 16, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET Up 19¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 16, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET Up 6¢ 0¢ $19 $0 −$19 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 15, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET Up 7¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 15, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET Down 50¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Exact Score: United States 2 - 0 Paraguay? Yes 11¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 15, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET Down 19¢ 0¢ $16 $0 −$16 (-100%)
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? Yes 32¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 15, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET Up 38¢ 0¢ $7 $0 −$7 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET Jun 13 $6 −$1 -15%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET Jun 13 $3 $0 -13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET Jun 13 $7 +$1 +15%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? Jun 13 $6 +$6 +105%
Exact Score: United States 2 - 0 Paraguay? Jun 12 $4 −$4 -97%
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? Jun 12 $3 −$3 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 16, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET Mar 16 $4 −$2 -50%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 16, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET Mar 16 $30 −$16 -53%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 15, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET Mar 16 $10 −$4 -42%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 16, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET Mar 16 $5 +$1 +16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 15, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET Mar 16 $9 −$4 -40%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 16, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET Mar 16 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 16, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET Mar 16 $6 +$5 +86%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 16, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET Mar 16 $9 +$29 +323%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 15, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET Mar 16 $15 +$9 +63%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 15, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET Mar 16 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 15, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET Mar 16 $6 +$2 +35%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 15, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET Mar 16 $7 +$4 +56%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 15, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET Mar 16 $2 $0 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 15, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET Mar 16 $4 −$2 -44%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 15, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET Mar 16 $2 +$11 +701%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 15, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET Mar 16 $1 +$7 +658%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 15, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET Mar 16 $23 −$2 -8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 15, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET Mar 16 $64 −$5 -8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 15, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET Mar 16 $36 +$29 +80%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 15, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET Mar 16 $6 −$6 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 15, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET Mar 16 $13 −$7 -52%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 15, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET Mar 16 $12 −$2 -17%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 15, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET Mar 16 $10 −$5 -45%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 15, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET Mar 16 $14 +$4 +27%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 15, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET Mar 16 $3 $0 +15%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 15, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET Mar 16 $3 −$3 -99%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 15, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET Mar 16 $4 −$1 -20%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 15, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET Mar 16 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 15, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET Mar 16 $8 +$3 +34%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 15, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET Mar 16 $8 −$1 -7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 15, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET Mar 16 $16 −$16 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 15, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET Mar 16 $5 $0 -8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 15, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET Mar 16 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 15, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET Mar 16 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 15, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET Mar 16 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 15, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET Mar 16 $8 −$8 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 15, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET Mar 16 $11 −$11 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 15, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET Mar 16 $3 $0 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 15, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET Mar 16 $5 +$1 +15%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 15, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET Mar 16 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 15, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET Mar 16 $8 +$7 +87%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 15, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET Mar 16 $2 $0 +20%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 15, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET Mar 16 $5 +$3 +51%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 79% +$14
other 11% −$5
world 4% +$4
culture 3% $0
sports 2% −$8
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET BUY Up 18¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET BUY Up 18¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET SELL Up 19¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET BUY Up 14¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET BUY Up 15¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET SELL Up 17¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET BUY Up 15¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET BUY Up 13¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET SELL Up 29¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET BUY Up 29¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET BUY Up 31¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET BUY Up 31¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET BUY Up 66¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET BUY Up 63¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET SELL Up 46¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET SELL Up 49¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET BUY Up 52¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET BUY Up 45¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET BUY Up 35¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET SELL Up 48¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET BUY Up 48¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET BUY Up 44¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET BUY Up 53¢ $5 1h
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? SELL Yes 98¢ $12 1h
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? BUY Yes 47¢ $6 4h
Exact Score: United States 2 - 0 Paraguay? BUY Yes 11¢ $4 4h
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? BUY Yes 32¢ $3 8h
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 16, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET BUY Up 19¢ $2 88d
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 16, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET SELL Down 72¢ $2 88d
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 16, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET BUY Down 69¢ $2 88d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +38%
net ROI/market (all)-7.5%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 7 -34.3% -40.6% 29% 29% -27.4%
≤30d 7 -34.3% -40.6% 29% 29% -27.4%
≤90d 76 +4.3% -5.6% 45% 39% -9.6%
all 87 +2.2% -7.5% 44% 38% -8.7%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover3.3 tr/day
realistic slip~7%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -7.5% 38% -8.7%
10% -16.4% 29% -17.5%
15% -24.4% 21% -25.4%
20% -31.9% 18% -32.7%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 364 history records