Wallet analysis

2026-06-17T13:34:40+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
F7 0xf792…9309 crypto 864 markets active 5d ago coverage 2d
BOTnot copyable crypto specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover⚠ Covers last 1d only
✗ bot/MM pace (1283 trades/day) — uncopyable✗ only 2d of captured history — unreliable✗ negative after realistic slippage
Total PnL −$321 (-8%) realized −$321 · open +$0
Gross ROI / mkt -5% what the leader earns
−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -27% what you keep after slip
Net edge-27%after slip
Net WR46%break-even
Win rate47%417W / 461L
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$5per market
Trades / day1282.7pace
Kalshi-fit100%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 100% −$146
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
uncopyable — bot pace (1283 trades/day)
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +46%
net ROI/market (all)-14.0%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 775 -9.4% -18.0% 45% 43% -15.7%
≤30d 878 -5.0% -14.0% 47% 46% -13.2%
≤90d 878 -5.0% -14.0% 47% 46% -13.2%
all 878 -5.0% -14.0% 47% 46% -13.2%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover1282.7 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -14.0% 46% -13.2%
10% ← realistic here -22.2% 38% -21.5%
15% -29.8% 25% -29.1%
20% -36.6% 17% -36.1%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 2% · top 2 4% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI -4% 90d near zero / fading
Fragile wins
2% wins margin < slip solid win margins
Flat-copyable
equal-wt -5% · $-wt -4% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early +24% → late -34% edge faded
Add-ons / DCA
2.9 add-ons/market adds to positions
Win / loss size
+$3 vs −$3 · ×0.96 wins small, loses big
Profit factor
×0.87 loses more than it wins
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

2d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized−$321
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)47%
Wins / losses417 / 461
Open positions0
Markets (closed)878 / 864
History coverage2d ⚠
Avg bet$5
Trades / day1282.7
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 878 Trades
no open positions (24 resolved losses — in realized PnL)
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
XRP Up or Down - June 9, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET Jun 17 $1 −$1 -100%
XRP Up or Down - June 10, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET Jun 17 $1 −$1 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 9, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET Jun 17 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET Jun 17 $1 −$1 -100%
XRP Up or Down - June 9, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET Jun 17 $2 −$2 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 9, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET Jun 17 $1 −$1 -100%
XRP Up or Down - June 10, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET Jun 17 $1 −$1 -100%
XRP Up or Down - June 9, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET Jun 17 $1 −$1 -100%
XRP Up or Down - June 9, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET Jun 17 $1 −$1 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 9, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET Jun 17 $1 −$1 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 9, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET Jun 17 $1 −$1 -100%
XRP Up or Down - June 9, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET Jun 17 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET Jun 17 $1 −$1 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 9, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET Jun 17 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET Jun 11 $7 −$4 -50%
Solana Up or Down - June 10, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET Jun 11 $1 −$1 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 10, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET Jun 11 $1 −$1 -100%
XRP Up or Down - June 10, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET Jun 11 $1 −$1 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 10, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET Jun 11 $1 −$1 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 10, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET Jun 11 $1 −$1 -100%
XRP Up or Down - June 10, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET Jun 11 $1 −$1 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 10, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET Jun 11 $1 −$1 -100%
XRP Up or Down - June 10, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET Jun 11 $1 −$1 -100%
XRP Up or Down - June 10, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET Jun 11 $1 −$1 -100%
XRP Up or Down - June 10, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET Jun 11 $1 −$1 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 10, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET Jun 11 $1 −$1 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 10, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET Jun 11 $1 −$1 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 10, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET Jun 11 $2 −$2 -100%
XRP Up or Down - June 11, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET Jun 11 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET Jun 11 $1 −$1 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 10, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET Jun 11 $1 −$1 -100%
XRP Up or Down - June 10, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET Jun 11 $1 −$1 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 10, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET Jun 11 $1 −$1 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 10, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET Jun 11 $1 −$1 -100%
XRP Up or Down - June 10, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET Jun 11 $1 −$1 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 10, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET Jun 11 $2 −$2 -100%
XRP Up or Down - June 10, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET Jun 11 $1 −$1 -100%
XRP Up or Down - June 10, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET Jun 11 $2 −$2 -100%
XRP Up or Down - June 10, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET Jun 11 $2 −$2 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 10, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET Jun 11 $2 −$2 -100%
XRP Up or Down - June 10, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET Jun 11 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET Jun 11 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET Jun 11 $1 −$1 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET Jun 11 $2 −$2 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET Jun 11 $2 −$2 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET Jun 11 $1 −$1 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET Jun 11 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET Jun 11 $1 −$1 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET Jun 11 $2 −$2 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET BUY Up 47¢ $2 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET BUY Down 55¢ $2 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET BUY Up 46¢ $5 5d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET BUY Up 11¢ $0 6d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET BUY Up 11¢ $1 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET BUY Down 90¢ $2 6d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET BUY Down 88¢ $2 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET BUY Down 72¢ $2 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET BUY Up 10¢ $1 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET BUY Up 10¢ $1 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET BUY Up $1 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET BUY Up 13¢ $0 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET BUY Up 67¢ $3 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET BUY Up 50¢ $1 6d
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET BUY Up 74¢ $2 6d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET BUY Down 22¢ $1 6d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET BUY Down 22¢ $1 6d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET BUY Up 80¢ $2 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET BUY Down 29¢ $2 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET BUY Down 43¢ $1 6d
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET BUY Up 67¢ $2 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET BUY Up 63¢ $2 6d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET BUY Down 22¢ $1 6d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET BUY Up 75¢ $2 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET BUY Down 14¢ $2 6d
XRP Up or Down - June 11, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET BUY Up 76¢ $2 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET BUY Down 25¢ $2 6d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET BUY Down 36¢ $2 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET BUY Up 75¢ $3 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET BUY Down 46¢ $1 6d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 3500 history records