Wallet analysis

2026-06-19T14:16:43+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

1.5
score
F7 0xf79c…cb96 sports 242 markets active 0h ago coverage 1d ⚠
BOTnot copyable sports specialistFresh edge⚠ High turnover⚠ Covers last 1d onlyP/L from Polymarket (history capped)
✗ bot/MM pace (2922 trades/day) — uncopyable✗ on-chain reconstruction ≠ official P&L (longshot/capped history)✗ only 1d of captured history — unreliable
Total PnL +$4,104 (+3%) realized +$4,162 · open −$58
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt +67% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt +24% what you keep after slip
Net edge+24%after slip
Net WR46%break-even
Win rate64%64W / 36L
Whale WR60%big bets
Drawdown22%max
Avg bet$504per market
Trades / day2922.0pace
Fees−$666est.
Kalshi-fit52%portable
Net worth$35,962now

Equity curve

realized PnL
Not enough resolved history to chart — analysis covers only 1d (hyperactive wallet — we see only the tail of its trades). A “Total PnL” curve will appear once daily tracking accumulates.

Categories

share · PnL
other 51% +$3,093
sports 49% +$4,835
crypto 1% −$3
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
uncopyable — bot pace (2922 trades/day)
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +46%
net ROI/market (all)+51.4%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 100 +67.3% +51.4% 64% 46% +3.4%
≤30d 100 +67.3% +51.4% 64% 46% +3.4%
≤90d 100 +67.3% +51.4% 64% 46% +3.4%
all 100 +67.3% +51.4% 64% 46% +3.4%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover2922.0 tr/day
realistic slip~15%
edge survives to20%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal +51.4% 46% +3.4%
10% +36.9% 37% -6.5%
15% ← realistic here +23.7% 30% -15.5%
20% +11.5% 25% -23.8%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 8% · top 2 15% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI +14% fresh edge ✓
Fragile wins
25% wins margin < slip solid win margins
Flat-copyable
equal-wt +67% · $-wt +14% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR 60% (≥$766) strong on big bets
Persistence
early +67% → late +68% edge persists early→late
Add-ons / DCA
12.0 add-ons/market averages down — deposit killer
Win / loss size
+$183 vs −$107 · ×1.72 wins bigger than losses
Profit factor
×3.14 per $1 lost it wins $3.14
Copy size
≥ $300 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

1d coverage
Net worth$35,962
Realized+$4,162
Unrealized−$58
Win rate (resolved)64%
Wins / losses64 / 36
Whale WR (big bets)60%
Est. fees paid−$666
Open positions150
Markets (closed)100 / 242
History coverage1d ⚠
Avg bet$504
Trades / day2922.0
Drawdown22%
Kalshi-fit52%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 150 History 100 Trades
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Exact Score: United States 2 - 2 Australia? No 96¢ 95¢ $2,023 $2,018 −$5 (-0%)
Exact Score: Brazil 0 - 0 Haiti? No 98¢ 98¢ $1,298 $1,299 +$1 (+0%)
Will Brazil vs. Haiti end in a draw? No 92¢ 92¢ $1,147 $1,151 +$3 (+0%)
Exact Score: Türkiye 3 - 2 Paraguay? No 97¢ 97¢ $1,132 $1,129 −$3 (-0%)
Will Haiti win on 2026-06-19? No 96¢ 96¢ $1,024 $1,022 −$2 (-0%)
Exact Score: Ecuador 2 - 3 Curaçao? No 98¢ 98¢ $925 $926 +$1 (+0%)
Spread: United States (-2.5) Australia 84¢ 84¢ $882 $887 +$5 (+1%)
Exact Score: United States 3 - 2 Australia? No 97¢ 97¢ $804 $800 −$4 (-0%)
United States vs. Australia: O/U 3.5 Under 72¢ 72¢ $770 $764 −$5 (-1%)
Exact Score: Ecuador 2 - 2 Curaçao? No 98¢ 98¢ $704 $707 +$3 (+0%)
United States vs. Australia: Both Teams to Score No 50¢ 48¢ $686 $665 −$21 (-3%)
Exact Score: Germany 1 - 2 Côte d'Ivoire? No 96¢ 96¢ $659 $657 −$2 (-0%)
Exact Score: United States 2 - 1 Australia? No 89¢ 88¢ $662 $657 −$5 (-1%)
Spread: Germany (-3.5) Côte dIvoire 92¢ 92¢ $598 $601 +$3 (+1%)
Spread: Morocco (-1.5) Scotland 71¢ 68¢ $604 $584 −$20 (-3%)
Exact Score: Scotland 3 - 3 Morocco? No 99¢ 99¢ $571 $572 +$1 (+0%)
Exact Score: Any Other Score? No 90¢ 91¢ $539 $545 +$6 (+1%)
United States vs. Australia: Australia O/U 0.5 Under 41¢ 40¢ $567 $545 −$22 (-4%)
Spread: Côte d'Ivoire (-1.5) Germany 95¢ 95¢ $532 $530 −$2 (-0%)
Exact Score: Any Other Score? No 58¢ 56¢ $538 $524 −$14 (-3%)
Spread: Türkiye (-1.5) Paraguay 77¢ 76¢ $500 $497 −$3 (-1%)
Exact Score: Brazil 0 - 1 Haiti? No 99¢ 98¢ $497 $492 −$5 (-1%)
Brazil vs. Haiti: Haiti O/U 0.5 Over 42¢ 42¢ $481 $487 +$6 (+1%)
Spread: United States (-1.5) Australia 65¢ 64¢ $490 $486 −$5 (-1%)
Exact Score: Brazil 3 - 1 Haiti? No 93¢ 92¢ $482 $480 −$2 (-0%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
LoL: T1 Academy vs KT Rolster Challengers - Game 1 Winner Jun 19 $243 +$386 +159%
Exact Score: United States 1 - 3 Australia? Jun 19 $9 +$9 +97%
Exact Score: United States 0 - 3 Australia? Jun 19 $1,292 −$88 -7%
Will United States vs. Australia end in a draw? Jun 19 $1,100 $0 -0%
United States vs. Australia: United States O/U 1.5 Jun 19 $619 +$5 +1%
Mexico to score first vs. Korea Republic? Jun 19 $239 +$111 +46%
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-18? Jun 19 $1,148 −$48 -4%
Exact Score: Mexico 1 - 0 Korea Republic? Jun 19 $789 +$291 +37%
Mexico vs. Korea Republic: 2nd Half O/U 4.5 Total Corners Jun 19 $114 +$97 +85%
Mexico vs. Korea Republic: 1st Half O/U 3.5 Total Corners Jun 19 $134 +$186 +138%
Mexico vs. Korea Republic: Draw at halftime? Jun 19 $377 +$77 +20%
Spread: Mexico (-1.5) Jun 19 $1,605 +$124 +8%
Mexico vs. Korea Republic: Neither team to score first? Jun 19 $22 +$159 +712%
Exact Score: Mexico 2 - 3 Korea Republic? Jun 19 $1,997 −$36 -2%
Mexico vs. Korea Republic: O/U 8.5 Total Corners Jun 19 $1,767 −$16 -1%
Mexico vs. Korea Republic: O/U 9.5 Total Corners Jun 19 $595 −$60 -10%
Spread: Mexico (-2.5) Jun 19 $1,130 +$33 +3%
Exact Score: Mexico 0 - 3 Korea Republic? Jun 19 $945 −$99 -10%
Exact Score: Mexico 0 - 0 Korea Republic? Jun 19 $36 +$64 +178%
Mexico vs. Korea Republic: Second half draw? Jun 19 $56 −$56 -100%
Exact Score: Mexico 1 - 3 Korea Republic? Jun 19 $1,288 +$244 +19%
Exact Score: Mexico 2 - 2 Korea Republic? Jun 19 $304 +$427 +140%
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-18? Jun 19 $463 −$63 -14%
Mexico vs. Korea Republic: Mexico O/U 0.5 Jun 19 $100 −$45 -44%
Spread: Korea Republic (-2.5) Jun 19 $1,205 +$351 +29%
Mexico vs. Korea Republic: O/U 7.5 Total Corners Jun 19 $877 +$251 +29%
Korea Republic leading at halftime? Jun 19 $380 +$101 +27%
Exact Score: Mexico 2 - 0 Korea Republic? Jun 19 $277 +$206 +74%
Mexico vs. Korea Republic: Both Teams to Score in Second Half Jun 19 $273 +$101 +37%
Mexico vs. Korea Republic: O/U 12.5 Total Corners Jun 19 $288 +$25 +9%
Mexico vs. Korea Republic: O/U 6.5 Total Corners Jun 19 $1,025 +$84 +8%
Mexico vs. Korea Republic: 2nd Half O/U 1.5 Jun 19 $293 +$193 +66%
Korea Republic to win the second half? Jun 19 $341 +$107 +32%
Exact Score: Mexico 3 - 2 Korea Republic? Jun 19 $1,301 +$39 +3%
Mexico vs. Korea Republic: O/U 11.5 Total Corners Jun 19 $152 +$36 +24%
Mexico vs. Korea Republic: O/U 10.5 Total Corners Jun 19 $684 +$70 +10%
Mexico vs. Korea Republic: Both Teams to Score Jun 19 $131 +$770 +588%
Mexico vs. Korea Republic: 1st Half O/U 2.5 Jun 19 $90 +$210 +233%
Mexico vs. Korea Republic: O/U 1.5 Jun 19 $468 +$495 +106%
Exact Score: Mexico 1 - 2 Korea Republic? Jun 19 $612 +$12 +2%
Exact Score: Mexico 0 - 2 Korea Republic? Jun 19 $117 +$676 +580%
Exact Score: Mexico 1 - 1 Korea Republic? Jun 19 $712 +$126 +18%
Exact Score: Mexico 2 - 1 Korea Republic? Jun 19 $477 −$79 -17%
Exact Score: Any Other Score? Jun 19 $1,468 +$34 +2%
Exact Score: Mexico 3 - 1 Korea Republic? Jun 19 $1,766 −$38 -2%
Korea Republic to score first vs. Mexico? Jun 19 $260 +$181 +70%
Mexico vs. Korea Republic: Mexico O/U 1.5 Jun 19 $677 +$109 +16%
Spread: Mexico (-3.5) Jun 19 $615 +$5 +1%
Spread: Korea Republic (-1.5) Jun 19 $1,915 +$33 +2%
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-19? Jun 19 $300 $0 -0%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Exact Score: United States 3 - 3 Australia? SELL No 99¢ $17 3m
Brazil vs. Haiti: Draw at halftime? BUY Yes 25¢ $82 4m
Spread: Scotland (-2.5) BUY Scotland 1¢ $3 4m
Exact Score: United States 2 - 3 Australia? BUY No 98¢ $55 5m
Exact Score: Brazil 0 - 2 Haiti? BUY Yes 0¢ $0 6m
Exact Score: Brazil 1 - 0 Haiti? BUY Yes 7¢ $0 6m
Exact Score: Brazil 0 - 2 Haiti? BUY Yes 0¢ $0 7m
Exact Score: Brazil 1 - 0 Haiti? BUY Yes 7¢ $0 7m
Exact Score: Brazil 1 - 0 Haiti? BUY Yes 7¢ $0 7m
United States vs. Australia: O/U 7.5 Total Corners BUY Over 67¢ $3 7m
Exact Score: Brazil 0 - 2 Haiti? BUY Yes 0¢ $0 7m
Exact Score: Brazil 0 - 2 Haiti? BUY Yes 0¢ $0 7m
Exact Score: Brazil 1 - 0 Haiti? BUY Yes 7¢ $0 7m
Exact Score: Brazil 0 - 2 Haiti? BUY Yes 0¢ $0 8m
Exact Score: Brazil 0 - 2 Haiti? BUY Yes 0¢ $0 8m
Türkiye vs. Paraguay: O/U 7.5 Total Corners BUY Under 36¢ $77 8m
Exact Score: Scotland 0 - 3 Morocco? BUY No 94¢ $133 9m
Exact Score: Brazil 2 - 2 Haiti? BUY No 98¢ $18 9m
Exact Score: Brazil 2 - 2 Haiti? BUY No 98¢ $151 9m
Will Haiti win on 2026-06-19? BUY No 96¢ $390 13m
Will Haiti win on 2026-06-19? BUY No 96¢ $317 13m
Will Haiti win on 2026-06-19? BUY No 96¢ $317 13m
Exact Score: United States 2 - 3 Australia? BUY No 98¢ $41 14m
Exact Score: United States 3 - 3 Australia? SELL No 99¢ $59 23m
Exact Score: Scotland 2 - 3 Morocco? SELL Yes 2¢ $1 24m
Exact Score: United States 3 - 3 Australia? SELL No 99¢ $42 28m
Exact Score: United States 3 - 3 Australia? SELL No 99¢ $59 30m
Exact Score: United States 3 - 3 Australia? SELL No 99¢ $59 30m
Exact Score: United States 3 - 3 Australia? SELL No 99¢ $59 30m
Exact Score: United States 3 - 3 Australia? SELL No 99¢ $31 31m
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $35,962.24 · official $35,955.70 (match) · 3500 history records