Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T23:08:27+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

F7
0xf7aa…abe3
crypto · 892 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
−$559 -4%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$559 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
~ RISKY crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Net worth$33
Realized−$559
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)47%
Wins / losses463 / 521
Est. fees paid−$20
Open positions0
Markets (closed)984 / 892
History coverage17d
Avg bet$16
Trades / day186.3
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 0 History 984 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$3,011
7 days−$2,892
14 days−$1,187
30 days−$559
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET Down 46¢ 100¢ $0 $1 +$1 (+118%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET Up 42¢ 100¢ $0 $1 +$1 (+135%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET Down 52¢ 100¢ $0 $1 +$0 (+93%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET Up 53¢ 100¢ $0 $1 +$0 (+87%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET Down 66¢ 100¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+53%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET Down 58¢ 100¢ $0 $1 +$0 (+72%)
Spread: Philadelphia Phillies (-1.5) Philadelphia Phillies 84¢ 100¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+19%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET Up 51¢ 100¢ $0 $1 +$0 (+94%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET Down 87¢ 100¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+15%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET Down 50¢ 100¢ $0 $1 +$0 (+100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET Down 45¢ 100¢ $0 $1 +$0 (+122%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET Up 34¢ 100¢ $0 $1 +$0 (+193%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET Up 65¢ 100¢ $0 $1 +$0 (+54%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET Up 55¢ 100¢ $0 $1 +$0 (+81%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET Up 48¢ 100¢ $0 $1 +$0 (+108%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET Up 50¢ 100¢ $0 $1 +$0 (+100%)
Boston Red Sox vs. Tampa Bay Rays Tampa Bay Rays 63¢ 100¢ $0 $1 +$0 (+59%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET Up 48¢ 100¢ $0 $1 +$0 (+108%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET Down 19¢ 100¢ $0 $1 +$0 (+426%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET Down 52¢ 100¢ $0 $1 +$0 (+92%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET Down 70¢ 100¢ $0 $1 +$0 (+43%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET Down 62¢ 100¢ $0 $1 +$0 (+63%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET Down 54¢ 100¢ $0 $1 +$0 (+86%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET Down 72¢ 100¢ $0 $1 +$0 (+39%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET Down 48¢ 100¢ $0 $1 +$0 (+108%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET Jun 12 $0 +$14 +4137%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET Jun 12 $18 −$18 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET Jun 12 $0 +$8 +2034%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET Jun 12 $0 +$6 +1526%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET Jun 12 $0 +$13 +5170%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET Jun 12 $0 +$11 +4510%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET Jun 12 $0 +$6 +1838%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET Jun 12 $0 +$18 +9120%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET Jun 12 $15 −$15 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET Jun 12 $0 +$6 +3188%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET Jun 12 $14 −$14 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET Jun 12 $0 +$9 +4830%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET Jun 12 $0 +$5 +2079%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET Jun 12 $0 +$9 +4793%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET Jun 12 $0 +$31 +27855%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET Jun 12 $0 +$7 +5117%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET Jun 12 $0 +$1 +456%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET Jun 12 $0 +$9 +12815%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET Jun 12 $15 −$13 -89%
Toronto Blue Jays vs. Detroit Tigers Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Atlanta Braves vs. Miami Marlins Jun 12 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET Jun 12 $17 −$17 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET Jun 12 $0 +$21 +5799%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET Jun 12 $20 −$20 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET Jun 12 $13 −$13 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET Jun 12 $62 −$62 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET Jun 12 $8 −$8 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET Jun 12 $15 −$15 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET Jun 12 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET Jun 12 $18 −$18 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET Jun 12 $6 −$6 -100%
LoL: Top Esports vs JD Gaming - Game 2 Winner Jun 12 $8 −$8 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET Jun 12 $14 −$14 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET Jun 12 $16 −$16 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET Jun 12 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET Jun 12 $13 −$13 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET Jun 12 $14 −$14 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET Jun 12 $12 −$12 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET Jun 12 $29 −$29 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET Jun 12 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET Jun 12 $11 −$11 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET Jun 12 $8 −$8 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET Jun 12 $12 −$12 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET Jun 12 $13 −$13 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET Jun 12 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET Jun 12 $39 −$36 -92%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 86% +$2,195
sports 14% +$264
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET BUY Up 41¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET BUY Up 46¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET SELL Up $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET BUY Up 15¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET BUY Up 12¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET BUY Up 19¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET BUY Up 20¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET BUY Up 20¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET BUY Up 20¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET BUY Up 11¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET BUY Up 20¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET BUY Up 53¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET BUY Up 46¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET BUY Up 27¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET BUY Down 23¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET BUY Down 22¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET BUY Down 20¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET BUY Up 24¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET BUY Up 32¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET BUY Down 30¢ $2 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET BUY Down 24¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET BUY Down 29¢ $2 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET BUY Down 29¢ $2 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET BUY Down 11¢ $1 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET BUY Down 13¢ $1 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET BUY Down 19¢ $1 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET BUY Up $1 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET BUY Up $1 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET BUY Up 11¢ $2 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET BUY Up 37¢ $3 5h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
borderline — thin edge, slippage-sensitive
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +43%
net ROI/market (all)+91.6%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 462 +59.5% +44.3% 29% 27% -64.2%
≤30d 984 +111.8% +91.6% 47% 43% -15.6%
≤90d 984 +111.8% +91.6% 47% 43% -15.6%
all 984 +111.8% +91.6% 47% 43% -15.6%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover186.3 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to20%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal +91.6% 43% -15.6%
10% ← realistic here +73.3% 40% -23.7%
15% +56.6% 37% -31.0%
20% +41.2% 33% -37.8%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
Vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $32.57 · official $0.00 · 3500 history records