trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 3 | -0.2% | -9.7% | 0% | 0% | -9.7% |
| ≤30d | 3 | -0.2% | -9.7% | 0% | 0% | -9.7% |
| ≤90d | 3 | -0.2% | -9.7% | 0% | 0% | -9.7% |
| all | 9 | -6.0% | -14.9% | 11% | 11% | -10.0% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -14.9% | 11% | -10.0% |
| 10% | -23.1% | 0% | -18.6% |
| 15% | -30.5% | 0% | -26.4% |
| 20% | -37.3% | 0% | -33.7% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Donald Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | No | 97¢ | 98¢ | $306 | $308 | +$2 (+1%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Oprah Winfrey win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Jun 22 | $169 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Chris Murphy win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Jun 21 | $210 | −$1 | -0% |
| Will MrBeast win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Jun 21 | $199 | $0 | -0% |
| Will the Washington Wizards win the 2026 NBA Finals? | Feb 24 | $3 | −$2 | -50% |
| Will Byron Donalds win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | Feb 24 | $16 | +$2 | +11% |
| Will Jasmine Crockett win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Feb 24 | $10 | −$1 | -12% |
| Will Greg Abbott win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | Feb 24 | $1,261 | −$14 | -1% |
| Will Donald Trump Jr. win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Feb 24 | $1,431 | −$6 | -0% |
| Will Tim Walz win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Feb 24 | $1,564 | −$2 | -0% |