Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T12:32:28+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

F7
0xf7bf…de43
crypto · 157 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$45 -0%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$310 · open −$5
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$1
Realized−$310
Unrealized−$5
Win rate (resolved)60%
Wins / losses93 / 63
Open positions1
Markets (closed)156 / 157
History coverage3d
Avg bet$58
Trades / day436.8
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 1 History 156 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$157
7 days−$310
14 days−$310
30 days−$310
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET Down 86¢ 100¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+16%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET Up 69¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-99%)
XRP Up or Down - June 11, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET Up 70¢ 0¢ $42 $0 −$42 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET Down 50¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - June 11, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET Down 66¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET Up 84¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET Up 55¢ 0¢ $17 $0 −$17 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET Down 46¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - June 11, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET Down 69¢ 0¢ $43 $0 −$43 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET Up 73¢ 0¢ $31 $0 −$31 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET Down 61¢ 0¢ $50 $0 −$50 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET Up 71¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET Down 9¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - June 11, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET Up 67¢ 0¢ $22 $0 −$22 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET Down 24¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET Down 59¢ 0¢ $50 $0 −$50 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET Down 66¢ 0¢ $50 $0 −$50 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET Down 49¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - June 11, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET Down 61¢ 0¢ $46 $0 −$46 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET Down 56¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET Up 64¢ 0¢ $24 $0 −$24 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET Jun 14 $77 −$66 -86%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET Jun 14 $5 +$1 +16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET Jun 14 $66 +$5 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET Jun 14 $139 −$130 -94%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET Jun 14 $5 +$1 +16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET Jun 14 $51 −$25 -49%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET Jun 14 $25 $0 -1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET Jun 14 $151 −$4 -3%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET Jun 14 $5 −$5 -99%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET Jun 14 $151 +$3 +2%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET Jun 14 $1 $0 +16%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET Jun 14 $5 +$1 +15%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET Jun 14 $41 +$31 +76%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET Jun 14 $137 +$24 +18%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET Jun 14 $5 +$1 +18%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET Jun 14 $5 +$2 +38%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET Jun 14 $152 −$42 -28%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET Jun 14 $87 −$57 -66%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET Jun 14 $5 −$5 -98%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET Jun 14 $5 +$1 +18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET Jun 14 $38 −$28 -72%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET Jun 14 $36 −$1 -3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET Jun 14 $137 +$37 +27%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET Jun 14 $5 $0 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET Jun 14 $5 +$2 +31%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET Jun 14 $36 −$27 -75%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET Jun 14 $136 +$8 +6%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET Jun 14 $5 $0 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET Jun 14 $56 −$18 -31%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET Jun 14 $10 −$5 -50%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET Jun 14 $5 +$1 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET Jun 14 $157 −$129 -82%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET Jun 14 $5 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET Jun 14 $136 +$14 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET Jun 14 $91 +$9 +10%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET Jun 14 $5 +$1 +22%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET Jun 14 $5 +$1 +15%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET Jun 14 $5 +$1 +25%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET Jun 14 $135 +$20 +14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET Jun 14 $149 −$32 -21%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET Jun 14 $15 +$3 +20%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET Jun 14 $151 +$5 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET Jun 14 $135 +$8 +6%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET Jun 14 $25 −$4 -15%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET Jun 14 $137 +$26 +19%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET Jun 14 $69 +$11 +16%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET Jun 14 $5 +$1 +19%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET Jun 14 $5 +$1 +29%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET Jun 14 $136 +$12 +8%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET Jun 14 $5 +$1 +18%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% −$315
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET BUY Up 88¢ $5 10m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET BUY Up 88¢ $5 10m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET BUY Up 89¢ $5 10m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET BUY Up 88¢ $5 10m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET BUY Up 87¢ $5 10m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET BUY Up 88¢ $5 10m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET BUY Up 88¢ $5 10m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET BUY Up 84¢ $5 10m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET BUY Up 84¢ $5 10m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET BUY Up 85¢ $5 11m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET BUY Up 83¢ $5 11m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET BUY Up 82¢ $5 11m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET BUY Down 34¢ $5 12m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET BUY Up 72¢ $5 12m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET BUY Up 53¢ $5 13m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET BUY Up 51¢ $5 13m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET BUY Up 55¢ $5 13m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET BUY Up 65¢ $5 13m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET BUY Up 51¢ $5 13m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET BUY Up 66¢ $5 13m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET BUY Up 69¢ $5 13m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET BUY Up 53¢ $5 13m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET BUY Up 55¢ $5 13m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET BUY Up 54¢ $5 13m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET BUY Up 66¢ $5 13m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET BUY Up 67¢ $5 13m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET BUY Up 66¢ $5 13m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET BUY Up 55¢ $5 13m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET BUY Up 66¢ $5 13m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET BUY Up 53¢ $5 13m
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +44%
net ROI/market (all)-13.1%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 156 -3.9% -13.1% 60% 44% -11.9%
≤30d 156 -3.9% -13.1% 60% 44% -11.9%
≤90d 156 -3.9% -13.1% 60% 44% -11.9%
all 156 -3.9% -13.1% 60% 44% -11.9%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover436.8 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -13.1% 44% -11.9%
10% ← realistic here -21.4% 28% -20.3%
15% -29.0% 17% -28.0%
20% -35.9% 11% -35.1%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
≈ Vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.66 · official $3.15 · 1391 history records