Wallet analysis

2026-06-17T11:11:21+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
F7 0xf7c3…92fc crypto 1710 markets active 1h ago coverage 91d ⚠
TRAPdo not copy crypto specialistFresh edge⚠ High turnover⚠ Covers last 90d only
✗ negative after realistic slippage✗ wins on margins thinner than slippage! high turnover
Total PnL +$97 (+0%) realized +$97 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt +0% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -23% what you keep after slip
Net edge-23%after slip
Net WR5%break-even
Win rate95%1628W / 82L
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$48per market
Trades / day21.6pace
Fees−$0est.
Kalshi-fit77%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$69
7 days+$26
14 days+$96
30 days+$82
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 73% −$60
other 27% −$15
weather 0% +$58
politics 0% −$5
sports 0% −$4
world 0% −$3
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +5%
net ROI/market (all)-9.2%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 304 +1.3% -8.3% 98% 1% -9.3%
≤30d 518 +1.0% -8.6% 96% 1% -9.0%
≤90d 1681 +0.2% -9.3% 95% 5% -9.6%
all 1710 +0.4% -9.2% 95% 5% -9.6%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover21.6 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -9.2% 5% -9.6%
10% ← realistic here -17.9% 1% -18.2%
15% -25.8% 0% -26.1%
20% -33.1% 0% -33.4%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 4% · top 2 6% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI -0% 90d near zero / fading
Fragile wins
94% wins margin < slip most wins thinner than slippage → losses for you
Flat-copyable
equal-wt +0% · $-wt -0% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early +0% → late +0% edge persists early→late
Add-ons / DCA
1.0 add-ons/market flat bettor — clean entries
Win / loss size
+$1 vs −$24 · ×0.05 wins small, loses big
Profit factor
×0.99 loses more than it wins
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

91d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized+$97
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)95%
Wins / losses1628 / 82
Est. fees paid−$0
Open positions0
Markets (closed)1710 / 1710
History coverage91d ⚠
Avg bet$48
Trades / day21.6
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit77%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 1710 Trades
no open positions
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Ethereum Up or Down - June 17, 5AM ET Jun 17 $50 $0 +0%
Solana Up or Down - June 17, 4AM ET Jun 17 $50 $0 +0%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 17, 4AM ET Jun 17 $50 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 4AM ET Jun 17 $50 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 3AM ET Jun 17 $50 $0 +0%
BNB Up or Down - June 17, 3AM ET Jun 17 $50 +$1 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 2AM ET Jun 17 $50 $0 +0%
BNB Up or Down - June 17, 12AM ET Jun 17 $50 $0 +0%
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 11PM ET Jun 17 $50 $0 +0%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 16, 11PM ET Jun 17 $50 $0 +1%
BNB Up or Down - June 16, 10PM ET Jun 17 $50 $0 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 9PM ET Jun 17 $50 $0 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 7PM ET Jun 17 $50 +$1 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 7PM ET Jun 17 $50 $0 +1%
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 7PM ET Jun 17 $50 $0 +1%
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 6PM ET Jun 16 $50 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 5PM ET Jun 16 $50 +$4 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 4PM ET Jun 16 $50 $0 +1%
BNB Up or Down - June 16, 4PM ET Jun 16 $50 $0 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 3PM ET Jun 16 $50 $0 +0%
XRP Up or Down - June 16, 2PM ET Jun 16 $50 $0 +0%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 16, 1PM ET Jun 16 $50 $0 +0%
BNB Up or Down - June 16, 1PM ET Jun 16 $50 $0 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 11AM ET Jun 16 $50 $0 +0%
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 10AM ET Jun 16 $50 $0 +0%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 16, 9AM ET Jun 16 $50 $0 +0%
XRP Up or Down - June 16, 9AM ET Jun 16 $50 +$1 +1%
BNB Up or Down - June 16, 9AM ET Jun 16 $50 $0 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 8AM ET Jun 16 $15 $0 +0%
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 7AM ET Jun 16 $50 $0 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 6AM ET Jun 16 $50 $0 +1%
BNB Up or Down - June 16, 6AM ET Jun 16 $50 $0 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 5AM ET Jun 16 $50 $0 +0%
BNB Up or Down - June 16, 5AM ET Jun 16 $50 +$1 +1%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 16, 4AM ET Jun 16 $10 $0 +1%
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 4AM ET Jun 16 $50 $0 +0%
XRP Up or Down - June 16, 4AM ET Jun 16 $50 $0 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 4AM ET Jun 16 $50 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 4AM ET Jun 16 $50 $0 +0%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 16, 2AM ET Jun 16 $16 $0 +1%
XRP Up or Down - June 16, 2AM ET Jun 16 $50 $0 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 2AM ET Jun 16 $50 $0 +0%
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 1AM ET Jun 16 $50 $0 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 1AM ET Jun 16 $50 $0 +1%
BNB Up or Down - June 15, 9PM ET Jun 16 $50 −$50 -100%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 16, 12AM ET Jun 16 $50 $0 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 12AM ET Jun 16 $50 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 12AM ET Jun 16 $50 +$1 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 11PM ET Jun 16 $50 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 11PM ET Jun 16 $50 $0 +1%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Ethereum Up or Down - June 17, 5AM ET BUY Up 100¢ $50 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 17, 4AM ET BUY Down 100¢ $50 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 4AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $50 2h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 17, 4AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $50 2h
BNB Up or Down - June 17, 3AM ET BUY Down 98¢ $32 3h
BNB Up or Down - June 17, 3AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $18 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 3AM ET BUY Down 100¢ $50 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 2AM ET BUY Down 100¢ $50 4h
BNB Up or Down - June 17, 12AM ET BUY Up 100¢ $50 6h
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 16, 11PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $50 7h
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 11PM ET BUY Down 100¢ $50 7h
BNB Up or Down - June 16, 10PM ET BUY Down 100¢ $50 8h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 9PM ET BUY Up 100¢ $50 9h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 7PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $50 11h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 7PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $50 11h
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 7PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $50 11h
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 6PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $50 12h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 5PM ET BUY Down 93¢ $50 13h
BNB Up or Down - June 16, 4PM ET BUY Up 100¢ $50 14h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 4PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $50 14h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 3PM ET BUY Down 100¢ $50 15h
XRP Up or Down - June 16, 2PM ET BUY Up 100¢ $50 16h
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 16, 1PM ET BUY Up 100¢ $50 17h
BNB Up or Down - June 16, 1PM ET BUY Up 100¢ $50 17h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 11AM ET BUY Up 100¢ $50 19h
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 10AM ET BUY Down 100¢ $50 20h
BNB Up or Down - June 16, 9AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $50 21h
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 16, 9AM ET BUY Down 100¢ $50 21h
XRP Up or Down - June 16, 9AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $50 21h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 8AM ET BUY Up 100¢ $15 22h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 3500 history records