Wallet analysis

2026-06-27T18:31:34+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

2.5
score
F7 0xf7c6…a916 crypto 53 markets active 2h ago coverage 527d
TRAPdo not copy crypto specialistFresh edge
✗ negative after realistic slippage✗ wins on margins thinner than slippage
Total PnL −$20 (-0%) realized −$20 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt -2% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -12% what you keep after slip
Net edge-12%after slip
Net WR0%break-even
Win rate85%44W / 8L
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$140per market
Trades / day0.1pace
Kalshi-fit85%portable
Net worth$67now

Equity curve

realized PnL
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days$0
7 days$0
14 days$0
30 days+$0
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.

Categories

share · PnL
other 86% −$6
crypto 11% −$4
tech 1% $0
politics 1% $0
weather 0% $0
sports 0% −$1
world 0% −$10
economics 0% $0
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +0%
net ROI/market (all)-11.5%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d no closed markets
≤30d 2 +0.1% -9.4% 100% 0% -9.4%
≤90d 6 +0.1% -9.4% 100% 0% -9.4%
all 52 -2.2% -11.5% 85% 0% -9.8%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover0.1 tr/day
realistic slip~5%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -11.5% 0% -9.8%
10% -19.9% 0% -18.4%
15% -27.7% 0% -26.3%
20% -34.8% 0% -33.5%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 17% · top 2 29% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI +0% too few recent
Fragile wins
100% wins margin < slip most wins thinner than slippage → losses for you
Flat-copyable
equal-wt -2% · $-wt -0% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early -5% → late +0% mixed
Add-ons / DCA
1.1 add-ons/market flat bettor — clean entries
Win / loss size
+$0 vs −$3 · ×0.02 wins small, loses big
Profit factor
×0.1 loses more than it wins
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

527d coverage
Net worth$67
Realized−$20
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)85%
Wins / losses44 / 8
Open positions1
Markets (closed)52 / 53
History coverage527d
Avg bet$140
Trades / day0.1
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit85%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 1 History 52 Trades
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will XRP reach $1.40 in June? No 100¢ 100¢ $67 $67 −$0 (-0%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Will Ethereum dip to $1,400 in May? Jun 03 $16 $0 +0%
Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 in May? Jun 03 $60 $0 +0%
Will Ethereum dip to $1,200 in April? May 04 $35 $0 +0%
Will Ethereum reach $3,600 in March? Apr 01 $13 $0 +0%
Will Chainlink reach $20 in March? Apr 01 $14 $0 +0%
Will Hyperliquid dip to $20 in March? Apr 01 $53 $0 +0%
Will XRP reach $3.00 in February? Mar 03 $76 $0 +0%
Will Solana reach $200 in January? Feb 02 $12 $0 +0%
Will Hyperliquid dip to $8 in January? Feb 02 $64 $0 +0%
Will Ethereum reach $4,200 in December? Jan 02 $8 $0 +0%
Will Hyperliquid hit $100 in 2025? Jan 02 $36 $0 +0%
Will Ethereum reach $4,400 in December? Jan 02 $41 $0 +0%
Will XRP reach $4.00 in November? Dec 03 $32 $0 +0%
Will Bitcoin reach $125,000 in November? Dec 03 $38 $0 +0%
Will Bitcoin dip to $90k in October? Nov 04 $11 $0 +0%
Will Ethereum dip to $3000 in October? Nov 04 $21 $0 +0%
Will NVIDIA be the most valuable company on October 31? Nov 04 $42 $0 +0%
Will Ethereum dip to $2800 in September? Oct 03 $29 $0 +0%
Will Solana dip to $150 in September? Oct 03 $37 $0 +1%
Will Solana dip to $155 in August? Sep 02 $46 $0 +0%
Will Solana reach $250 in July? Aug 04 $20 $0 +0%
Will Bitcoin dip to $90K in July? Aug 04 $43 $0 +0%
Will Bitcoin dip to $95K in June? Jul 01 $34 $0 +0%
Trump x Ukraine mineral deal signed before May? Jun 16 $10 −$10 -100%
Will Ethereum reach $3500 in May? Jun 16 $2 $0 +1%
Ethereum all time high in May? Jun 16 $2 $0 +0%
Will XRP dip to $1.00 in May? Jun 16 $6 $0 +0%
Will Ethereum dip to $1400 in May? Jun 16 $16 $0 +0%
TikTok sale announced before May? May 03 $4 $0 +1%
Will Solana dip to $80 in April? May 03 $8 $0 +0%
U.S. recession before May 2025? May 03 $11 $0 +0%
Will TikTok be banned again before May? May 03 $11 $0 +1%
Trump severs ties with Ukraine before May? May 03 $11 $0 +0%
Will Microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on Ap May 03 $19 $0 +0%
Will Georgia win Eurovision 2025? Apr 13 $6,051 −$6 -0%
Will Solana hit $190 in March? Apr 02 $5 $0 +0%
Will OpenAI have the top AI model on March 31? Apr 02 $8 $0 +0%
Ethereum all time high by March 31? Apr 02 $9 $0 +0%
Will XRP dip to $1.70 in March? Apr 02 $9 $0 +4%
Will Marcel Ciolacu win the Romanian presidential election? Mar 24 $51 $0 -0%
Will 'Captain America: Brave New World' have the best domestic opening Mar 24 $103 $0 -0%
Will the Bloc Québécois win the popular vote in Canada's next election Mar 23 $32 $0 -0%
Will Pierre Gasly be the 2025 Drivers Champion? Mar 18 $59 $0 -0%
Will global temperature increase by less than 1.20ºC in February 2025? Mar 08 $27 $0 +0%
Ethereum above $2,800 on February 28? Mar 04 $6 $0 +0%
Will XRP reach $3.80 by February 28 2025? Mar 04 $14 $0 +0%
Will Ethereum hit $3500 by February 28 2025? Mar 04 $16 $0 +0%
Will Ethereum hit $6,000 by January 31, 2025? Feb 14 $15 $0 +0%
Will Elon tweet 475-499 times Jan 24-31? Feb 14 $21 $0 +0%
Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 by January 31, 2025? Feb 14 $22 $0 +0%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will XRP reach $1.40 in June? BUY No 100¢ $67 1h
Will Ethereum dip to $1,400 in May? BUY No 100¢ $16 28d
Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 in May? BUY No 100¢ $60 30d
Will Ethereum dip to $1,200 in April? BUY No 100¢ $35 62d
Will Ethereum reach $3,600 in March? BUY No 100¢ $13 90d
Will Chainlink reach $20 in March? BUY No 100¢ $14 91d
Will Hyperliquid dip to $20 in March? BUY No 100¢ $53 92d
Will XRP reach $3.00 in February? BUY No 100¢ $35 121d
Will XRP reach $3.00 in February? BUY No 100¢ $41 122d
Will Solana reach $200 in January? BUY No 100¢ $12 149d
Will Hyperliquid dip to $8 in January? BUY No 100¢ $64 151d
Will Ethereum reach $4,200 in December? BUY No 100¢ $8 180d
Will Hyperliquid hit $100 in 2025? BUY No 100¢ $36 180d
Will Ethereum reach $4,400 in December? BUY No 100¢ $41 182d
Will XRP reach $4.00 in November? BUY No 100¢ $32 210d
Will Bitcoin reach $125,000 in November? BUY No 100¢ $38 211d
Will Bitcoin dip to $90k in October? BUY No 100¢ $11 240d
Will Ethereum dip to $3000 in October? BUY No 100¢ $21 241d
Will NVIDIA be the most valuable company on October 31? BUY Yes 100¢ $42 241d
Will Ethereum dip to $2800 in September? BUY No 100¢ $29 271d
Will Solana dip to $150 in September? BUY No 99¢ $37 272d
Will Solana dip to $155 in August? BUY No 100¢ $46 301d
Will Solana reach $250 in July? BUY No 100¢ $20 332d
Will Bitcoin dip to $90K in July? BUY No 100¢ $43 334d
Will Bitcoin dip to $95K in June? BUY No 100¢ $34 363d
Will Ethereum dip to $1400 in May? BUY No 100¢ $16 395d
Will XRP dip to $1.00 in May? BUY No 100¢ $6 395d
Ethereum all time high in May? BUY No 100¢ $2 395d
Will Ethereum reach $3500 in May? BUY No 99¢ $2 395d
Trump x Ukraine mineral deal signed before May? BUY No 99¢ $10 423d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $67.23 · official $67.23 (match) · 111 history records