Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T22:13:58+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

F7
0xf7cf…894c
crypto · 1047 markets active 2h ago
0.0score
−$1,939 -3%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$1,939 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Net worth$0
Realized−$1,939
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)88%
Wins / losses922 / 128
Whale WR (big bets)94%
Open positions0
Markets (closed)1050 / 1047
History coverage43d
Avg bet$70
Trades / day52.7
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 0 History 1050 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$223
7 days−$326
14 days−$546
30 days−$1,393
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET Down 99¢ $34 $0 −$34 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 28, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET Down 43¢ $45 $0 −$45 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET Up 53¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET Up 46¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 28, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET Up 69¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET Up 98¢ $300 $0 −$300 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET Down 79¢ $25 $0 −$25 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET Up 92¢ $50 $0 −$50 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET Down $30 $0 −$30 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - April 30, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET Up 77¢ $30 $0 −$30 (-100%)
Dogecoin Up or Down - May 6, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET Down 98¢ $63 $0 −$63 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET Down 80¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 25, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET Down 96¢ $53 $0 −$53 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET Up 54¢ $25 $0 −$25 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - May 31, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET Up 75¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 9, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET Up 85¢ $70 $0 −$70 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET Up 51¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 1, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET Up 83¢ $30 $0 −$30 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 31, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET Up 97¢ $22 $0 −$22 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET Up 49¢ $25 $0 −$25 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET Down 96¢ $25 $0 −$25 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 31, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET Up 78¢ $100 $0 −$100 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 2, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET Up 79¢ $8 $0 −$8 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 29, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET Down 80¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET Up 77¢ $25 $0 −$25 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET Jun 13 $30 −$30 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - April 30, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET Jun 13 $30 −$30 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET Jun 13 $5 −$3 -65%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET Jun 13 $14 −$4 -31%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET Jun 13 $4 $0 +7%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET Jun 13 $3 +$1 +48%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET Jun 13 $3 $0 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET Jun 13 $2 $0 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET Jun 13 $2 $0 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET Jun 13 $4 $0 +5%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET Jun 13 $2 $0 +9%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET Jun 13 $6 $0 +7%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 -0%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +4%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET Jun 13 $14 −$5 -34%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET Jun 13 $101 −$96 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET Jun 13 $100 +$3 +3%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET Jun 13 $99 +$1 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET Jun 13 $50 +$3 +5%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET Jun 13 $90 +$1 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET Jun 13 $42 −$42 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET Jun 13 $39 +$2 +6%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET Jun 13 $39 $0 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET Jun 13 $38 $0 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET Jun 13 $81 −$81 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET Jun 13 $110 +$5 +4%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET Jun 13 $100 +$2 +2%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET Jun 13 $110 +$1 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET Jun 13 $100 +$3 +3%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET Jun 12 $100 +$6 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET Jun 12 $90 +$3 +3%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET Jun 12 $90 +$1 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET Jun 12 $96 +$3 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET Jun 12 $90 +$1 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET Jun 12 $90 +$2 +2%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET Jun 12 $88 +$5 +6%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET Jun 12 $80 +$2 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET Jun 12 $80 +$3 +4%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET Jun 12 $80 +$1 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET Jun 12 $80 +$1 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET Jun 12 $80 +$1 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET Jun 12 $79 +$2 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET Jun 12 $79 +$1 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET Jun 12 $77 +$1 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET Jun 12 $78 $0 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET Jun 12 $76 +$1 +2%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET Jun 12 $70 +$2 +3%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET Jun 12 $70 +$2 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET Jun 12 $70 +$2 +3%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% −$1,876
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET BUY Up 86¢ $5 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET SELL Up 85¢ $5 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET BUY Up 82¢ $5 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET SELL Up 80¢ $5 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET BUY Up 68¢ $4 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET BUY Down 93¢ $4 2h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET BUY Up 66¢ $3 2h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $3 2h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET BUY Up 94¢ $2 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET SELL Up 97¢ $2 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET BUY Up 91¢ $2 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET BUY Down 97¢ $2 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET SELL Down 91¢ $2 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET BUY Down 84¢ $2 6h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET BUY Up 91¢ $2 6h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET BUY Up 88¢ $2 6h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET SELL Up 77¢ $2 6h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET BUY Up 72¢ $2 6h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET SELL Up 64¢ $2 6h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET BUY Up 58¢ $2 6h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET BUY Up 98¢ $1 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET SELL Up 70¢ $1 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET BUY Up 67¢ $1 6h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET BUY Up 96¢ $1 7h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET BUY Down 90¢ $1 7h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET SELL Up 13¢ $1 7h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET BUY Up 77¢ $7 7h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET SELL Up 83¢ $7 7h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET BUY Up 69¢ $6 7h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET SELL Up $5 7h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +13%
net ROI/market (all)-11.8%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 163 -2.7% -11.9% 88% 9% -13.9%
≤30d 684 -2.8% -12.0% 87% 13% -12.3%
≤90d 1050 -2.6% -11.8% 88% 13% -11.9%
all 1050 -2.6% -11.8% 88% 13% -11.9%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover52.7 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -11.8% 13% -11.9%
10% ← realistic here -20.3% 5% -20.3%
15% -28.0% 2% -28.0%
20% -35.0% 1% -35.1%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 3500 history records