Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T17:34:53+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

F7
0xf7e2…4a97
other · 343 markets active 2h ago
0.0score
−$202 -1%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$81 · open −$165
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP Fresh edge
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$546
Realized−$81
Unrealized−$165
Win rate (resolved)47%
Wins / losses158 / 175
Est. fees paid−$13
Open positions10
Markets (closed)333 / 343
History coverage99d
Avg bet$45
Trades / day4.8
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit52%
Chart Positions 10 History 333 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$109
7 days−$243
14 days−$229
30 days−$240
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Giorgian De Arrascaeta: 1+ goals No 98¢ 82¢ $167 $140 −$27 (-16%)
Giorgian De Arrascaeta: 2+ goals No 98¢ 66¢ $158 $107 −$52 (-33%)
Giorgian De Arrascaeta: 3+ goals No 99¢ 99¢ $63 $64 +$0 (+0%)
Giorgian De Arrascaeta: 2+ assists No 96¢ 62¢ $95 $62 −$33 (-35%)
Exact Score: Any Other Score? Yes 58¢ 60¢ $58 $60 +$2 (+3%)
Giorgian De Arrascaeta: 1+ assists No 98¢ 80¢ $48 $40 −$8 (-18%)
Giorgian De Arrascaeta: 1+ shots No 96¢ 57¢ $59 $35 −$24 (-40%)
Giorgian De Arrascaeta: 2+ shots No 96¢ 56¢ $56 $33 −$24 (-42%)
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 8¢ 11¢ $3 $4 +$1 (+37%)
Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 2¢ 2¢ $2 $2 −$0 (-8%)
UD Las Palmas vs. Real Sporting de Gijón: Both Teams to Score Yes 51¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Will US Lecce vs. Juventus FC end in a draw? Yes 11¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
UD Almería vs. UD Las Palmas: O/U 3.5 Over 33¢ 0¢ $7 $0 −$7 (-100%)
Spread: Bologna FC 1909 (-1.5) Bologna FC 1909 22¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-05-05? No 40¢ 0¢ $8 $0 −$8 (-100%)
Will Aston Villa FC vs. Liverpool FC end in a draw? Yes 28¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Will RCD Espanyol de Barcelona win on 2026-03-09? Yes 49¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Will Bologna FC 1909 win on 2026-05-03? Yes 32¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Spread: Málaga CF (-1.5) Málaga CF 19¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Will Crystal Palace FC win on 2026-05-03? Yes 17¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Juventus FC vs. Hellas Verona FC: O/U 2.5 Over 55¢ 0¢ $12 $0 −$12 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 11, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET Up 38¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,000 on March 11? No 26¢ 0¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
Spread: Netherlands (-1.5) Netherlands 57¢ 0¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
Will Barcelona win the 2025–26 Champions League? Yes 14¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Neymar Jr: 2+ goals Jun 14 $571 +$10 +2%
Neymar Jr: 1+ assists Jun 14 $394 +$9 +2%
Neymar Jr: 1+ shots Jun 14 $573 +$14 +2%
Neymar Jr: 2+ shots Jun 14 $571 +$16 +3%
Abde Ezzalzouli: 5+ shots Jun 14 $103 +$2 +2%
Abde Ezzalzouli: 4+ shots Jun 14 $104 +$2 +2%
Abde Ezzalzouli: 3+ shots Jun 14 $104 +$2 +2%
Abde Ezzalzouli: 2+ shots Jun 14 $256 +$4 +1%
Abde Ezzalzouli: 1+ shots Jun 14 $226 +$3 +1%
Abde Ezzalzouli: 1+ goals Jun 14 $348 +$6 +2%
Abde Ezzalzouli: 2+ goals Jun 14 $480 +$13 +3%
Neymar Jr: 1+ goals Jun 14 $74 +$1 +2%
Julio César Enciso: 5+ shots Jun 13 $191 +$4 +2%
Julio César Enciso: 4+ shots Jun 13 $178 +$5 +3%
Julio César Enciso: 3+ shots Jun 13 $155 +$4 +3%
Julio César Enciso: 2+ goals Jun 13 $330 +$7 +2%
Julio César Enciso: 3+ goals Jun 13 $86 +$1 +1%
Julio César Enciso: 1+ goals Jun 13 $250 +$7 +3%
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11? Jun 12 $5 +$10 +197%
Bae Junho: 4+ shots Jun 12 $304 +$7 +2%
Bae Junho: 5+ shots Jun 12 $273 +$5 +2%
Bae Junho: 3+ shots Jun 12 $304 +$7 +2%
Bae Junho: 1+ shots Jun 12 $325 +$8 +2%
Bae Junho: 2+ shots Jun 12 $268 +$5 +2%
Julio César Enciso: 1+ shots Jun 12 $154 −$154 -100%
Bae Junho: 1+ assists Jun 12 $325 +$8 +2%
Julio César Enciso: 2+ shots Jun 12 $211 −$211 -100%
Bae Junho: 2+ goals Jun 12 $298 +$5 +2%
Bae Junho: 1+ goals Jun 12 $399 +$9 +2%
Exact Score: Any Other Score? Jun 11 $1 −$1 -98%
Mexico vs. South Africa: Mexico O/U 4.5 Corners Jun 11 $7 −$7 -99%
Mexico vs. South Africa: Mexico O/U 5.5 Corners Jun 11 $12 −$11 -99%
Mexico vs. South Africa: South Africa O/U 2.5 Corners Jun 11 $6 −$6 -99%
Will Spain win on 2026-06-08? Jun 08 $10 −$10 -98%
Netherlands leading at halftime? Jun 08 $17 +$13 +75%
Spread: Netherlands (-1.5) Jun 08 $20 −$20 -99%
Set Handicap: Zverev (-2.5) vs Cobolli (+2.5) Jun 07 $100 +$1 +1%
Spread: Málaga CF (-1.5) Jun 07 $2 −$2 -98%
Will UD Las Palmas vs. Málaga CF end in a draw? Jun 07 $3 −$3 -98%
Greece vs. Italy: O/U 3.5 Jun 07 $2 −$2 -98%
Exact Score: Greece 1 - 1 Italy? Jun 07 $2 −$2 -98%
Exact Score: Greece 0 - 0 Italy? Jun 07 $1 −$1 -97%
Matteo Berrettini vs. Matteo Arnaldi: Total Sets O/U 3.5 Jun 05 $1 $0 -3%
Berrettini vs. Arnaldi: Match O/U 38.5 Jun 05 $1 $0 -3%
Set Handicap: Berrettini (-1.5) vs Arnaldi (+1.5) Jun 05 $2 $0 -3%
Will Spain vs. Iraq end in a draw? Jun 05 $5 +$12 +230%
Will France win on 2026-06-04? Jun 04 $5 −$5 -98%
Spain vs. Iraq: O/U 3.5 Jun 04 $10 −$10 -98%
Will UD Las Palmas win on 2026-05-31? Jun 01 $10 +$18 +172%
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. Arsenal FC end in a draw? May 31 $5 +$14 +276%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
other 91% −$274
sports 8% +$76
crypto 1% −$42
economics 0% −$5
finance 0% −$1
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Giorgian De Arrascaeta: 1+ assists BUY No 98¢ $48 1h
Giorgian De Arrascaeta: 3+ goals BUY No 99¢ $63 1h
Giorgian De Arrascaeta: 1+ goals BUY No 98¢ $168 1h
Giorgian De Arrascaeta: 1+ shots BUY No 96¢ $59 2h
Giorgian De Arrascaeta: 2+ shots BUY No 96¢ $57 2h
Giorgian De Arrascaeta: 2+ assists BUY No 96¢ $96 2h
Giorgian De Arrascaeta: 2+ goals BUY No 98¢ $158 2h
Exact Score: Any Other Score? BUY Yes 58¢ $59 3h
Abde Ezzalzouli: 2+ shots BUY No 99¢ $152 2d
Abde Ezzalzouli: 1+ shots BUY No 99¢ $153 2d
Abde Ezzalzouli: 1+ goals BUY No 99¢ $177 2d
Neymar Jr: 1+ shots BUY No 98¢ $152 2d
Neymar Jr: 2+ shots BUY No 98¢ $167 2d
Abde Ezzalzouli: 2+ shots BUY No 98¢ $5 2d
Abde Ezzalzouli: 3+ shots BUY No 98¢ $6 2d
Abde Ezzalzouli: 4+ shots BUY No 98¢ $6 2d
Abde Ezzalzouli: 5+ shots BUY No 98¢ $5 2d
Abde Ezzalzouli: 2+ goals BUY No 96¢ $100 2d
Abde Ezzalzouli: 1+ goals BUY No 98¢ $52 2d
Neymar Jr: 2+ shots BUY No 92¢ $30 2d
Neymar Jr: 1+ shots BUY No 94¢ $55 2d
Neymar Jr: 1+ assists BUY No 96¢ $43 2d
Neymar Jr: 2+ goals BUY No 99¢ $157 2d
Julio César Enciso: 5+ shots BUY No 99¢ $114 2d
Julio César Enciso: 2+ goals BUY No 98¢ $306 2d
Julio César Enciso: 3+ goals BUY No 99¢ $86 2d
Julio César Enciso: 1+ shots BUY No 97¢ $154 2d
Julio César Enciso: 2+ shots BUY No 97¢ $211 2d
Julio César Enciso: 3+ shots BUY No 97¢ $155 2d
Julio César Enciso: 4+ shots BUY No 98¢ $111 2d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +33%
net ROI/market (all)-10.9%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 42 -23.1% -30.5% 69% 5% -12.3%
≤30d 110 +3.4% -6.5% 52% 25% -11.9%
≤90d 277 +1.5% -8.2% 49% 32% -10.0%
all 333 -1.6% -10.9% 47% 33% -10.0%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover4.8 tr/day
realistic slip~7%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -10.9% 33% -10.0%
10% -19.5% 32% -18.6%
15% -27.2% 31% -26.5%
20% -34.4% 30% -33.7%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $546.48 · official $546.48 (match) · 648 history records