Wallet analysis

2026-06-28T11:09:54+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
F7 0xf7e5…4c2a crypto 127 markets active 1h ago coverage 5d
BOTnot copyable crypto specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover
✗ bot/MM pace (60 trades/day) — uncopyable✗ negative after realistic slippage✗ wins on margins thinner than slippage
Total PnL +$33 (+0%) realized +$33 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt +2% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -21% what you keep after slip
Net edge-21%after slip
Net WR15%break-even
Win rate90%114W / 13L
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$68per market
Trades / day60.4pace
Kalshi-fit100%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
Not enough resolved history to chart — analysis covers only 5d (hyperactive wallet — we see only the tail of its trades). A “Total PnL” curve will appear once daily tracking accumulates.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 100% +$20
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
uncopyable — bot pace (60 trades/day)
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +15%
net ROI/market (all)-7.6%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 127 +2.1% -7.6% 90% 15% -9.3%
≤30d 127 +2.1% -7.6% 90% 15% -9.3%
≤90d 127 +2.1% -7.6% 90% 15% -9.3%
all 127 +2.1% -7.6% 90% 15% -9.3%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover60.4 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -7.6% 15% -9.3%
10% ← realistic here -16.5% 9% -18.0%
15% -24.5% 6% -25.9%
20% -31.9% 5% -33.2%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 15% · top 2 28% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI +0% 90d near zero / fading
Fragile wins
80% wins margin < slip most wins thinner than slippage → losses for you
Flat-copyable
equal-wt +2% · $-wt +0% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early +12% → late -7% edge faded
Add-ons / DCA
2.2 add-ons/market adds to positions
Win / loss size
+$1 vs −$11 · ×0.13 wins small, loses big
Profit factor
×1.14 profit barely above losses
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

5d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized+$33
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)90%
Wins / losses114 / 13
Open positions0
Markets (closed)127 / 127
History coverage5d
Avg bet$68
Trades / day60.4
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 127 Trades
no open positions (4 resolved losses — in realized PnL)
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Ethereum Up or Down - June 28, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET Jun 28 $360 $0 +0%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 28, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET Jun 28 $25 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET Jun 28 $401 +$8 +2%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 28, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET Jun 28 $10 $0 +0%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 28, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET Jun 28 $100 +$1 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 28, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET Jun 28 $75 +$1 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET Jun 28 $329 +$3 +1%
XRP Up or Down - June 28, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET Jun 28 $30 $0 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 28, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET Jun 28 $179 +$2 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 28, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET Jun 28 $10 −$10 -98%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 28, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET Jun 28 $10 +$3 +33%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 28, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET Jun 28 $350 +$2 +1%
Solana Up or Down - June 28, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET Jun 28 $30 $0 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 28, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET Jun 28 $169 $0 +0%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 28, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET Jun 28 $100 +$1 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET Jun 28 $150 +$3 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET Jun 28 $400 +$4 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 28, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET Jun 28 $10 −$10 -97%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 28, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET Jun 28 $75 +$1 +1%
Solana Up or Down - June 28, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET Jun 28 $335 $0 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET Jun 28 $21 +$25 +121%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 28, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET Jun 28 $50 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET Jun 28 $30 $0 +0%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 28, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET Jun 28 $350 +$5 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 28, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET Jun 28 $25 −$25 -99%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 28, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET Jun 28 $301 +$9 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET Jun 28 $50 $0 +0%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 28, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET Jun 28 $50 +$1 +2%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 28, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET Jun 28 $300 +$6 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET Jun 28 $325 +$3 +1%
XRP Up or Down - June 28, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET Jun 28 $50 $0 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 28, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET Jun 28 $25 +$1 +4%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 28, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET Jun 28 $154 $0 +0%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 28, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET Jun 28 $25 +$1 +3%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 28, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET Jun 28 $350 $0 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET Jun 28 $375 $0 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET Jun 28 $25 +$1 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET Jun 28 $25 $0 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 28, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET Jun 28 $251 +$2 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 28, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET Jun 28 $26 +$20 +79%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 28, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET Jun 28 $225 +$4 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET Jun 28 $265 $0 +0%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 28, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET Jun 28 $301 −$30 -10%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 28, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET Jun 28 $26 −$25 -97%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 28, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET Jun 28 $395 +$4 +1%
Solana Up or Down - June 28, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET Jun 28 $304 +$3 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 28, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET Jun 28 $50 +$1 +2%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 28, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET Jun 28 $50 +$2 +5%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 28, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET Jun 28 $350 +$3 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 28, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET Jun 28 $110 +$2 +2%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Ethereum Up or Down - June 28, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET BUY Down 100¢ $10 43m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 28, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET BUY Down 100¢ $50 43m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 28, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET BUY Down 100¢ $50 43m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 28, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET BUY Down 100¢ $50 43m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 28, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET BUY Down 100¢ $50 43m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 28, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET BUY Down 100¢ $50 43m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 28, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET BUY Down 100¢ $50 43m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 28, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET BUY Down 100¢ $50 43m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 28, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET BUY Down 98¢ $25 45m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 28, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET BUY Down 100¢ $10 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET BUY Down 98¢ $50 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET BUY Down 98¢ $50 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET BUY Down 98¢ $50 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET BUY Down 98¢ $50 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET BUY Down 98¢ $50 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET BUY Down 98¢ $50 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET BUY Down 98¢ $50 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET BUY Down 98¢ $50 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 28, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $50 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 28, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $50 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 28, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $25 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 28, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $50 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $50 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $29 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $50 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $50 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $50 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $50 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $50 1h
XRP Up or Down - June 28, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $10 1h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 420 history records