Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T19:30:41+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

F7
0xf7ec…c264
sports · 678 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
+$1,151 +1%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$1,158 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP sports specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$132
Realized+$1,158
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)80%
Wins / losses542 / 134
Whale WR (big bets)65%
Est. fees paid−$674
Open positions2
Markets (closed)676 / 678
History coverage36d
Avg bet$123
Trades / day86.7
Drawdown81%
Kalshi-fit99%
Chart Positions 2 History 676 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$205
7 days−$2,786
14 days−$1,224
30 days+$1,033
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster - Game 1 Winner Gen.G 78¢ 78¢ $117 $116 −$1 (-1%)
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Spirit (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Spirit 78¢ 81¢ $16 $16 +$1 (+4%)
LoL: EDward Gaming Youth Team vs CTBC Flying Oyster Academy - Game 2 Winner EDward Gaming Youth Team 75¢ 0¢ $105 $0 −$105 (-100%)
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 1 Winner Anyones Legend 76¢ 0¢ $15 $0 −$15 (-100%)
LoL: KT Rolster vs Dplus KIA (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI Dplus KIA 86¢ 0¢ $729 $0 −$729 (-100%)
LoL: Saigon Warriors vs Saigon Dino (BO3) - Asia Masters Group C Saigon Dino 44¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
LoL: Karmine Corp Blue vs PCIFIC - Game 2 Winner PCIFIC 16¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
LoL: Top Esports vs Team WE (BO5) - LPL Playoffs Team WE 30¢ 0¢ $9 $0 −$9 (-100%)
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 1 Winner T1 79¢ 0¢ $316 $0 −$316 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Will Bilibili Gaming win the LPL 2026 season? Jun 12 $19 −$2 -9%
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs 9z - Map 1 Winner Jun 12 $112 +$8 +7%
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Spirit - Map 1 Winner Jun 12 $234 −$103 -44%
Cattolica: Raul Brancaccio vs Roberto Carballes Baena Jun 12 $29 +$1 +3%
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 12 $13 +$7 +58%
Games Total: O/U 3.5 Jun 12 $38 +$12 +32%
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 4 Winner Jun 12 $377 +$138 +37%
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI Jun 12 $147 +$47 +32%
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 3 Winner Jun 12 $689 +$75 +11%
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 2 Winner Jun 12 $960 +$10 +1%
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 1 Winner Jun 12 $525 −$316 -60%
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11? Jun 12 $19 +$1 +5%
Korea Republic vs. Czechia: Korea Republic O/U 2.5 Jun 12 $9 +$1 +11%
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Pittsburgh Pirates Jun 12 $94 +$6 +6%
Seattle Mariners vs. Baltimore Orioles Jun 12 $95 +$5 +5%
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Spirit (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stag Jun 11 $13 +$7 +52%
LoL: G2 NORD vs Galions (BO3) - EMEA Masters Group C Jun 11 $13 +$7 +52%
LoL: Team Heretics Academy vs Forsaken (BO3) - EMEA Masters Group B Jun 11 $9 +$1 +11%
LoL: Karmine Corp Blue vs PCIFIC - Game 1 Winner Jun 11 $29 +$1 +3%
LoL: Karmine Corp Blue vs PCIFIC - Game 2 Winner Jun 11 $1 −$1 -98%
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs G2 - Map 2 Winner Jun 11 $35 +$5 +13%
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 11 $19 +$2 +10%
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs FUT Esports (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stag Jun 11 $220 +$3 +1%
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs FUT Esports - Map 2 Winner Jun 11 $131 +$19 +14%
LoL: Top Esports Challenger vs CTBC Flying Oyster Academy - Game 2 Win Jun 11 $276 +$84 +31%
LoL: Top Esports Challenger vs CTBC Flying Oyster Academy - Game 1 Win Jun 11 $90 +$10 +11%
LoL: Bilibili Gaming Junior vs KT Rolster Challengers - Game 1 Winner Jun 11 $29 +$1 +5%
LoL: Bilibili Gaming Junior vs KT Rolster Challengers - Game 2 Winner Jun 11 $138 +$12 +9%
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs FUT Esports - Map 1 Winner Jun 11 $108 −$86 -80%
LoL: Weibo Gaming Youth Team vs Saigon Warriors - Game 2 Winner Jun 11 $595 −$83 -14%
LoL: Weibo Gaming Youth Team vs Saigon Warriors - Game 1 Winner Jun 11 $348 +$52 +15%
Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals? Jun 11 $133 +$27 +20%
Spurs vs. Knicks Jun 11 $992 −$162 -16%
LoL: UCAM Esports Club vs HMBLE (BO3) - EMEA Masters Group A Jun 10 $26 +$4 +18%
LoL: Team Heretics Academy vs Karmine Corp Blue (BO3) - EMEA Masters G Jun 10 $97 +$3 +3%
LoL: Misa Esports vs E WIE EINFACH E-SPORTS - Game 2 Winner Jun 10 $217 +$39 +18%
LoL: G2 NORD vs Partizan Sangal - Game 2 Winner Jun 10 $3 $0 +5%
LoL: PCIFIC vs Forsaken - Game 2 Winner Jun 10 $24 −$12 -51%
LoL: Team Heretics Academy vs Karmine Corp Blue - Game 2 Winner Jun 10 $118 +$8 +7%
LoL: Saigon Warriors vs Saigon Dino - Game 1 Winner Jun 10 $122 −$43 -35%
LoL: Team Heretics Academy vs Karmine Corp Blue - Game 1 Winner Jun 10 $55 +$17 +31%
LoL: EDward Gaming Youth Team vs CTBC Flying Oyster Academy - Game 1 W Jun 10 $250 +$46 +18%
LoL: FENNEL vs KT Rolster Challengers - Game 2 Winner Jun 10 $29 +$1 +2%
LoL: FENNEL vs KT Rolster Challengers - Game 1 Winner Jun 10 $231 +$9 +4%
LoL: EDward Gaming Youth Team vs CTBC Flying Oyster Academy - Game 2 W Jun 10 $106 −$105 -100%
LoL: Saigon Warriors vs Saigon Dino (BO3) - Asia Masters Group C Jun 10 $3 −$3 -98%
Chicago Cubs vs. Colorado Rockies Jun 10 $37 +$3 +8%
Valorant: Dragon Ranger Gaming vs XLG Gaming (BO3) - VCT Masters Londo Jun 09 $19 +$1 +6%
Counter-Strike: TYLOO vs Legacy - Map 2 Winner Jun 09 $111 +$9 +8%
LoL: Nongshim Esports Academy vs Weibo Gaming Youth Team - Game 2 Winn Jun 09 $283 +$27 +10%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 99% +$1,229
weather 1% −$67
other 0% −$6
tech 0% +$1
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Spirit (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stag BUY Spirit 78¢ $16 1h
Will Bilibili Gaming win the LPL 2026 season? SELL Yes 58¢ $17 1h
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs 9z - Map 1 Winner SELL Vitality 100¢ $120 1h
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Spirit - Map 1 Winner SELL Aurora Gaming 51¢ $101 1h
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Spirit - Map 1 Winner BUY Aurora Gaming 71¢ $143 1h
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Spirit - Map 1 Winner SELL Spirit 28¢ $30 1h
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Spirit (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stag SELL Spirit 71¢ $28 1h
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Spirit - Map 1 Winner BUY Spirit 60¢ $6 1h
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Spirit - Map 1 Winner BUY Spirit 84¢ $84 2h
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs 9z - Map 1 Winner BUY Vitality 93¢ $93 2h
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs 9z - Map 1 Winner BUY Vitality 94¢ $19 2h
LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster - Game 1 Winner BUY Gen.G 79¢ $24 2h
LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster - Game 1 Winner BUY Gen.G 78¢ $94 2h
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Spirit (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stag BUY Spirit 86¢ $35 3h
Cattolica: Raul Brancaccio vs Roberto Carballes Baena BUY Roberto Carballes Baena 97¢ $29 3h
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 SELL G2 99¢ $20 4h
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY G2 62¢ $13 5h
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 4 Winner BUY Hanwha Life Esports 84¢ $17 7h
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 4 Winner BUY Hanwha Life Esports 85¢ $26 7h
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 3 Winner SELL Hanwha Life Esports 100¢ $499 7h
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 4 Winner SELL Hanwha Life Esports 85¢ $465 7h
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 4 Winner BUY Hanwha Life Esports 65¢ $131 7h
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 4 Winner BUY Hanwha Life Esports 66¢ $67 7h
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 4 Winner BUY Hanwha Life Esports 57¢ $29 8h
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 4 Winner BUY Hanwha Life Esports 57¢ $58 8h
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 4 Winner BUY Hanwha Life Esports 50¢ $4 8h
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 4 Winner BUY Hanwha Life Esports 50¢ $8 8h
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 4 Winner BUY Hanwha Life Esports 50¢ $35 8h
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 4 Winner BUY Hanwha Life Esports 50¢ $3 8h
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI SELL Hanwha Life Esports 74¢ $5 8h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +41%
net ROI/market (all)-8.0%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 164 -20.6% -28.2% 59% 27% -18.2%
≤30d 604 +1.6% -8.1% 80% 40% -8.3%
≤90d 676 +1.7% -8.0% 80% 41% -8.3%
all 676 +1.7% -8.0% 80% 41% -8.3%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover86.7 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -8.0% 41% -8.3%
10% ← realistic here -16.8% 18% -17.0%
15% -24.8% 6% -25.0%
20% -32.2% 3% -32.4%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $132.10 · official $132.10 (match) · 3500 history records