Wallet analysis

2026-06-15T23:26:32+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
F7 0xf7ee…6ed5 crypto 803 markets active 1h ago coverage 58d
TRAPdo not copy crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
✗ negative after realistic slippage✗ wins on margins thinner than slippage✗ 90-day edge negative — edge has died! high turnover
Total PnL −$303 (-6%) realized −$303 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt -7% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -28% what you keep after slip
Net edge-28%after slip
Net WR20%break-even
Win rate68%550W / 253L
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$7per market
Trades / day33.2pace
Kalshi-fit100%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$22
7 days−$54
14 days−$54
30 days−$318
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 100% −$367
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +20%
net ROI/market (all)-15.9%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 480 -6.3% -15.2% 79% 3% -11.6%
≤30d 587 -9.1% -17.8% 73% 6% -17.3%
≤90d 803 -7.1% -15.9% 68% 20% -15.9%
all 803 -7.1% -15.9% 68% 20% -15.9%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover33.2 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -15.9% 20% -15.9%
10% ← realistic here -24.0% 18% -23.9%
15% -31.3% 15% -31.3%
20% -38.0% 12% -38.0%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 3% · top 2 5% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI -7% edge died — 90d negative
Fragile wins
71% wins margin < slip most wins thinner than slippage → losses for you
Flat-copyable
equal-wt -7% · $-wt -7% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early -9% → late -6% mixed
Add-ons / DCA
2.0 add-ons/market adds to positions
Win / loss size
+$2 vs −$5 · ×0.33 wins small, loses big
Profit factor
×0.72 loses more than it wins
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

58d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized−$303
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)68%
Wins / losses550 / 253
Open positions0
Markets (closed)803 / 803
History coverage58d
Avg bet$7
Trades / day33.2
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 803 Trades
no open positions (130 resolved losses — in realized PnL)
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET Jun 15 $5 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET Jun 15 $3 −$1 -32%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET Jun 15 $5 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET Jun 15 $3 −$1 -56%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET Jun 15 $5 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET Jun 15 $5 $0 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET Jun 15 $5 −$3 -50%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET Jun 15 $5 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET Jun 15 $5 $0 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET Jun 15 $5 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET Jun 15 $5 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET Jun 15 $5 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET Jun 15 $5 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET Jun 15 $5 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET Jun 15 $5 $0 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET Jun 15 $5 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET Jun 15 $5 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET Jun 15 $5 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET Jun 15 $5 $0 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET Jun 15 $3 −$1 -48%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET Jun 15 $5 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET Jun 15 $5 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET Jun 15 $5 $0 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET Jun 15 $5 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET Jun 15 $5 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET Jun 15 $5 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET Jun 15 $3 −$2 -74%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET Jun 15 $5 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET Jun 15 $5 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET Jun 15 $5 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET Jun 15 $5 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET Jun 15 $5 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET Jun 15 $5 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET Jun 15 $5 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET Jun 15 $5 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET Jun 15 $3 −$1 -54%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET Jun 15 $5 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET Jun 15 $5 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET Jun 15 $5 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET Jun 15 $5 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET Jun 15 $3 −$1 -44%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET Jun 15 $5 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET Jun 15 $5 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET Jun 15 $5 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET Jun 15 $5 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET Jun 15 $5 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET Jun 15 $5 $0 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET Jun 15 $5 $0 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET Jun 15 $5 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET Jun 15 $5 $0 +0%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET BUY Up 49¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET BUY Down 49¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET SELL Down 36¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET SELL Down 23¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET BUY Down 49¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET BUY Down 49¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET BUY Down 49¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET BUY Up 49¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET BUY Up 49¢ $0 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET BUY Down 49¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET BUY Up 49¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET BUY Down 49¢ $0 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET BUY Down 49¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET SELL Down 36¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET BUY Up 49¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET SELL Down 3¢ $0 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET BUY Down 49¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET BUY Down 49¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET BUY Down 49¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET BUY Up 49¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET BUY Up 49¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET BUY Up 49¢ $3 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET SELL Down 3¢ $0 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET BUY Down 49¢ $3 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET BUY Down 49¢ $0 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET BUY Down 49¢ $2 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET BUY Up 49¢ $3 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET BUY Up 49¢ $3 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET BUY Down 49¢ $3 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET BUY Up 49¢ $2 2h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 2476 history records