Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T11:35:19+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

F7
0xf7f2…39f2
politics · 33 markets active 26d ago
1.5score
+$393 +15%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$393 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP ⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist
Net worth$0
Realized+$393
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)61%
Wins / losses20 / 13
Est. fees paid−$1
Open positions0
Markets (closed)33 / 33
Avg bet$79
Trades / day23.4
Drawdown29%
Kalshi-fit83%
Chart Positions 0 History 33 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days$0
7 days$0
14 days$0
30 days+$1
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will Saudi Aramco be the largest company in the world by market cap on April 30? Yes 0¢ 0¢ $50 $0 −$50 (-100%)
Will Tesla be the largest company in the world by market cap on April 30? Yes 0¢ 0¢ $60 $0 −$60 (-100%)
Will Amazon be the largest company in the world by market cap on April 30? Yes 0¢ 0¢ $40 $0 −$40 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET May 17 $1 +$1 +120%
Indian Premier League: Sunrisers Hyderabad vs Chennai Super Kings Apr 19 $3 −$3 -100%
Indian Premier League: Royal Challengers Bangalore vs Lucknow Super Gi Apr 17 $6 −$6 -100%
Will Tesla be the largest company in the world by market cap on April Apr 14 $60 −$60 -100%
Will Saudi Aramco be the largest company in the world by market cap on Apr 14 $50 −$50 -100%
Will Amazon be the largest company in the world by market cap on April Apr 14 $40 −$40 -100%
Indian Premier League: Mumbai Indians vs Royal Challengers Bangalore Apr 12 $10 +$3 +30%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 8, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET Apr 08 $20 +$20 +100%
HYPE Up or Down on April 6? Apr 05 $50 $0 +0%
Will Bernie Sanders win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Apr 02 $195 +$15 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 1, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET Apr 01 $20 +$20 +100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 31, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET Mar 31 $7 +$7 +100%
Will Raphael Warnock win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Mar 31 $75 +$15 +20%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 27, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET Mar 31 $20 −$20 -100%
Will Saudi Aramco be the largest company in the world by market cap on Mar 27 $29 +$26 +90%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 26, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET Mar 26 $20 +$20 +100%
Will Amazon be the largest company in the world by market cap on March Mar 24 $85 +$65 +76%
Will Microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on Ma Mar 24 $59 +$51 +85%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 23, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET Mar 23 $25 +$25 +100%
Will Tesla be the largest company in the world by market cap on March Mar 17 $65 +$65 +100%
Will Oprah Winfrey win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Jan 25 $200 +$75 +37%
Will Katie Britt win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Jan 24 $60 $0 +0%
Will Hillary Clinton win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Jan 20 $75 $0 +0%
Will Gina Raimondo win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Jan 13 $100 +$49 +48%
Will Tesla be the largest company in the world by market cap on Januar Jan 10 $40 +$20 +49%
Will Tom Brady win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Jan 10 $340 $0 -0%
Will Saudi Aramco be the largest company in the world by market cap on Jan 09 $49 +$39 +78%
Will Amazon be the largest company in the world by market cap on Janua Jan 07 $40 +$17 +43%
Will Sarah Huckabee Sanders win the 2028 Republican presidential nomin Jan 07 $125 $0 -0%
Will Mike Pence win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Jan 04 $148 $0 +0%
Will Jasmine Crockett win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Jan 04 $75 $0 +0%
Will John Thune win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Jan 03 $450 +$40 +9%
Will Byron Donalds win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Jan 01 $75 $0 -0%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
politics 70% +$178
other 13% +$57
tech 9% +$75
crypto 4% +$73
world 3% +$15
sports 1% −$6
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET SELL Down 62¢ $2 25d
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET BUY Down 26¢ $1 25d
Indian Premier League: Sunrisers Hyderabad vs Chennai Super Kings BUY Chennai Super Kings 3¢ $3 54d
Indian Premier League: Royal Challengers Bangalore vs Lucknow Super Gi BUY Lucknow Super Giants 6¢ $6 57d
Will Tesla be the largest company in the world by market cap on April BUY Yes 0¢ $0 58d
Will Tesla be the largest company in the world by market cap on April BUY Yes 0¢ $0 58d
Will Tesla be the largest company in the world by market cap on April BUY Yes 0¢ $0 58d
Will Tesla be the largest company in the world by market cap on April BUY Yes 0¢ $0 58d
Will Tesla be the largest company in the world by market cap on April BUY Yes 0¢ $0 58d
Will Tesla be the largest company in the world by market cap on April BUY Yes 0¢ $0 58d
Will Tesla be the largest company in the world by market cap on April BUY Yes 0¢ $0 58d
Will Tesla be the largest company in the world by market cap on April BUY Yes 0¢ $0 58d
Will Tesla be the largest company in the world by market cap on April BUY Yes 0¢ $0 58d
Will Tesla be the largest company in the world by market cap on April BUY Yes 0¢ $2 58d
Will Saudi Aramco be the largest company in the world by market cap on BUY Yes 0¢ $1 58d
Will Saudi Aramco be the largest company in the world by market cap on BUY Yes 0¢ $0 58d
Will Tesla be the largest company in the world by market cap on April BUY Yes 0¢ $0 58d
Will Tesla be the largest company in the world by market cap on April BUY Yes 0¢ $0 58d
Will Saudi Aramco be the largest company in the world by market cap on BUY Yes 0¢ $0 58d
Will Tesla be the largest company in the world by market cap on April BUY Yes 0¢ $0 58d
Will Saudi Aramco be the largest company in the world by market cap on BUY Yes 0¢ $0 58d
Will Tesla be the largest company in the world by market cap on April BUY Yes 0¢ $0 58d
Will Saudi Aramco be the largest company in the world by market cap on BUY Yes 0¢ $0 58d
Will Tesla be the largest company in the world by market cap on April BUY Yes 0¢ $0 58d
Will Tesla be the largest company in the world by market cap on April BUY Yes 0¢ $0 58d
Will Saudi Aramco be the largest company in the world by market cap on BUY Yes 0¢ $0 58d
Will Tesla be the largest company in the world by market cap on April BUY Yes 0¢ $0 58d
Will Saudi Aramco be the largest company in the world by market cap on BUY Yes 0¢ $0 58d
Will Tesla be the largest company in the world by market cap on April BUY Yes 0¢ $4 58d
Will Saudi Aramco be the largest company in the world by market cap on BUY Yes 0¢ $0 58d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
trap: profits on perfect fill only, loses on real
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +52%
net ROI/market (all)+9.5%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d no closed markets
≤30d 1 +120.3% +99.4% 100% 100% +99.4%
≤90d 20 +21.5% +9.9% 65% 60% +7.1%
all 33 +21.1% +9.5% 61% 52% +4.0%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover23.4 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to5%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal +9.5% 52% +4.0%
10% ← realistic here -0.9% 48% -5.9%
15% -10.5% 45% -15.0%
20% -19.3% 33% -23.3%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 3500 history records