Wallet analysis

2026-06-15T20:02:49+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

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F7 0xf7f5…e846 crypto 1757 markets active 0h ago coverage 113d ⚠
TRAPdo not copy crypto specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover⚠ Covers last 113d only
✗ negative after realistic slippage✗ wins on margins thinner than slippage! high turnover
Total PnL +$37 (+1%) realized +$37 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt +0% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -16% what you keep after slip
Net edge-16%after slip
Net WR1%break-even
Win rate97%1714W / 47L
Drawdown96%max
Avg bet$4per market
Trades / day15.7pace
Kalshi-fit100%portable
Net worth$2now

Equity curve

realized PnL
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$10
7 days+$29
14 days+$17
30 days+$17
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 100% +$28
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +1%
net ROI/market (all)-9.5%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 743 +0.2% -9.4% 97% 1% -8.8%
≤30d 1229 -0.2% -9.7% 97% 1% -9.3%
≤90d 1229 -0.2% -9.7% 97% 1% -9.3%
all 1761 +0.0% -9.5% 97% 1% -9.3%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover15.7 tr/day
realistic slip~9%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -9.5% 1% -9.3%
10% -18.2% 0% -17.9%
15% -26.1% 0% -25.9%
20% -33.3% 0% -33.1%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 1% · top 2 1% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI +0% 90d near zero / fading
Fragile wins
99% wins margin < slip most wins thinner than slippage → losses for you
Flat-copyable
equal-wt +0% · $-wt +0% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early +0% → late -0% edge faded
Add-ons / DCA
1.0 add-ons/market flat bettor — clean entries
Win / loss size
+$0 vs −$3 · ×0.03 wins small, loses big
Profit factor
×1.13 profit barely above losses
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

113d coverage
Net worth$2
Realized+$37
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)97%
Wins / losses1714 / 47
Open positions0
Markets (closed)1761 / 1757
History coverage113d ⚠
Avg bet$4
Trades / day15.7
Drawdown96%
Kalshi-fit100%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 1761 Trades
no open positions (48 resolved losses — in realized PnL)
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 20, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET Jun 15 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 21, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET Jun 15 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 22, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET Jun 15 $1 −$1 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - February 22, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET Jun 15 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 22, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET Jun 15 $2 −$2 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET Jun 15 $5 $0 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET Jun 15 $5 $0 +3%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET Jun 15 $5 $0 +5%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET Jun 15 $5 $0 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET Jun 15 $5 $0 +4%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET Jun 15 $5 $0 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET Jun 15 $5 $0 +4%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET Jun 15 $5 $0 +5%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET Jun 15 $5 $0 +6%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET Jun 15 $5 $0 +4%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET Jun 15 $5 $0 +7%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET Jun 15 $5 $0 +5%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET Jun 15 $5 $0 +2%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET Jun 15 $5 $0 +2%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET Jun 15 $5 $0 +6%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET Jun 15 $5 $0 +6%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET Jun 15 $4 +$1 +15%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET Jun 15 $5 $0 +7%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET Jun 15 $5 $0 +2%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET Jun 15 $5 $0 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET Jun 15 $5 $0 +2%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET Jun 15 $5 $0 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET Jun 15 $5 $0 +2%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET Jun 15 $5 $0 +5%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET Jun 15 $5 $0 +3%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET Jun 15 $5 $0 +8%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET Jun 15 $5 $0 +3%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET Jun 15 $5 $0 +5%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET Jun 15 $5 $0 +0%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET Jun 15 $5 $0 +2%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET Jun 15 $5 $0 +6%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET Jun 15 $5 $0 +3%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET Jun 15 $5 $0 +5%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET Jun 15 $5 $0 +7%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET Jun 15 $5 $0 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET Jun 15 $5 $0 +2%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET Jun 15 $5 $0 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET Jun 15 $5 $0 +4%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET Jun 15 $5 $0 +4%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET Jun 15 $5 $0 +2%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET Jun 15 $5 $0 +5%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET Jun 15 $5 $0 +5%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET Jun 15 $5 $0 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET Jun 15 $5 $0 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET Jun 15 $5 $0 +2%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $5 18m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET BUY Down 97¢ $5 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET BUY Up 95¢ $5 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $5 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET BUY Down 96¢ $5 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $5 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET BUY Down 96¢ $5 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET BUY Down 95¢ $5 2h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET BUY Down 94¢ $5 2h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET BUY Down 96¢ $5 2h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET BUY Up 93¢ $5 3h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET BUY Up 95¢ $5 3h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET BUY Up 98¢ $5 3h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET BUY Up 98¢ $5 3h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET BUY Up 94¢ $5 3h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET BUY Up 94¢ $5 3h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET BUY Up 87¢ $4 4h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET BUY Down 93¢ $5 4h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET BUY Down 98¢ $5 4h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $5 5h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET BUY Down 98¢ $5 5h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $5 6h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET BUY Down 98¢ $5 6h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET BUY Down 95¢ $5 7h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET BUY Up 97¢ $5 7h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET BUY Down 93¢ $5 8h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET BUY Up 97¢ $5 8h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET BUY Up 95¢ $5 8h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET BUY Up 100¢ $5 8h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET BUY Down 98¢ $5 8h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
≈ Vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $1.79 · official $0.00 · 3500 history records