Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T06:06:46+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

F7
0xf7fc…2d10
sports · 998 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
−$35 -2%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$70 · open −$1
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP sports specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized−$70
Unrealized−$1
Win rate (resolved)50%
Wins / losses500 / 497
Est. fees paid−$21
Open positions1
Markets (closed)997 / 998
History coverage83d
Avg bet$2
Trades / day26.6
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit83%
Chart Positions 1 History 997 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$8
7 days−$16
14 days−$3
30 days−$10
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Australia vs. Türkiye: O/U 1.5 Under 41¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-99%)
Counter-Strike: B8 vs FUT Esports - Map 2 Winner B8 40¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Will Dalian Yingbo FC win on 2026-05-06? Yes 15¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Valorant: TYLOO vs All Gamers - Map 2 Winner All Gamers 32¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Valorant: Eternal Fire vs Team Heretics - Map 2 Winner Team Heretics 59¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
LoL: Top Esports vs JD Gaming - Game 2 Winner JD Gaming 54¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Arsenal FC vs. Burnley FC: O/U 2.5 Over 70¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
LoL: Weibo Gaming vs Invictus Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend Weibo Gaming 65¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
LoL: KT Rolster vs BNK FEARX - Game 1 Winner KT Rolster 65¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Valorant: GIANTX vs Eternal Fire (BO3) - VCT EMEA Group Omega GIANTX 64¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
LoL: Top Esports Challenger vs CTBC Flying Oyster Academy - Game 1 Winner CTBC Flying Oyster Academy 34¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
LoL: GIANTX vs Natus Vincere - Game 1 Winner GIANTX 43¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
LoL: KT Rolster vs Dplus KIA - Game 3 Winner Dplus KIA 69¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 1 Winner Anyones Legend 31¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
LoL: CTBC Flying Oyster vs Team Secret Whales - Game 2 Winner CTBC Flying Oyster 15¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Will Villarreal CF win on 2026-05-13? Yes 44¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Will Al Nassr Saudi Club win on 2026-05-03? Yes 43¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Will Girona FC win on 2026-05-01? Yes 48¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
LoL: Karmine Corp vs Movistar KOI - Game 2 Winner Movistar KOI 49¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
LoL: KT Rolster vs BNK FEARX - Game 1 Winner KT Rolster 49¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Will Athletic Club win on 2026-05-10? Yes 38¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs KT Rolster - Game 2 Winner KT Rolster 33¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
LoL: Kiwoom DRX Challengers vs Hanwha Life Esports Challengers - Game 1 Winner Kiwoom DRX Challengers 61¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Will FC Ōsaka win on 2026-05-17? Yes 42¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
LoL: BNK FEARX vs T1 - Game 2 Winner BNK FEARX 34¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Will Australia vs. Türkiye end in a draw? Jun 14 $1 −$1 -79%
Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-14? Jun 14 $1 −$1 -54%
Qatar vs. Switzerland: O/U 2.5 Jun 13 $1 $0 -18%
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs 9z - Map 1 Winner Jun 13 $1 −$1 -81%
Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs FURIA - Map 2 Winner Jun 13 $1 −$1 -82%
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Legacy - Map 2 Winner Jun 13 $3 $0 +17%
Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs FURIA - Map 1 Winner Jun 13 $1 −$1 -63%
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs MOUZ - Map 2 Winner Jun 13 $3 −$2 -54%
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs MOUZ - Map 1 Winner Jun 13 $1 +$1 +57%
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Monte (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage Jun 13 $1 −$1 -98%
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Monte - Map 2 Winner Jun 13 $1 +$1 +91%
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs G2 - Map 2 Winner Jun 13 $1 +$1 +66%
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs G2 - Map 1 Winner Jun 13 $1 +$2 +158%
LoL: Team WE vs Bilibili Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffs Jun 13 $1 −$1 -98%
LoL: Team WE vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 4 Winner Jun 13 $3 −$2 -98%
LoL: Team WE vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 3 Winner Jun 13 $1 +$4 +360%
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs TheMongolz - Map 2 Winner Jun 13 $5 −$1 -12%
LoL: Team WE vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 2 Winner Jun 13 $1 +$4 +436%
Counter-Strike: B8 vs FUT Esports - Map 2 Winner Jun 13 $1 −$1 -98%
Counter-Strike: B8 vs FUT Esports - Map 1 Winner Jun 13 $1 −$1 -51%
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs TheMongolz - Map 1 Winner Jun 13 $1 $0 +32%
LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster - Game 3 Winner Jun 13 $4 −$2 -45%
LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster - Game 2 Winner Jun 13 $2 −$2 -98%
LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster - Game 1 Winner Jun 13 $4 −$1 -16%
United States vs. Paraguay: O/U 3.5 Jun 13 $1 +$1 +63%
United States vs. Paraguay: O/U 4.5 Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? Jun 13 $1 +$1 +39%
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs 9z - Map 1 Winner Jun 12 $2 $0 +21%
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Spirit - Map 1 Winner Jun 12 $1 −$1 -99%
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? Jun 12 $2 −$1 -99%
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team - Map 2 Winner Jun 12 $2 −$1 -60%
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Legacy - Map 2 Winner Jun 12 $2 $0 +19%
LoL: Weibo Gaming Youth Team vs Saigon Warriors - Game 1 Winner Jun 11 $1 −$1 -99%
LoL: Top Esports Challenger vs CTBC Flying Oyster Academy - Game 1 Win Jun 11 $2 −$1 -37%
Portugal vs. Nigeria: O/U 2.5 Jun 10 $1 +$1 +57%
Counter-Strike: SPARTA vs Atreides - Map 2 Winner Jun 10 $1 −$1 -69%
Counter-Strike: SPARTA vs Atreides - Map 1 Winner Jun 10 $1 +$1 +58%
LoL: Saigon Warriors vs Saigon Dino - Game 1 Winner Jun 10 $2 −$1 -37%
Counter-Strike: BIG vs B8 - Map 2 Winner Jun 09 $1 −$1 -46%
Counter-Strike: BIG vs B8 - Map 1 Winner Jun 09 $1 −$1 -99%
Counter-Strike: Monte vs paiN - Map 2 Winner Jun 09 $1 +$1 +62%
Counter-Strike: Monte vs paiN - Map 1 Winner Jun 09 $2 −$1 -42%
Counter-Strike: CYBERSHOKE Esports vs ex-RUBY - Map 2 Winner Jun 09 $1 $0 -14%
Counter-Strike: INOX Division vs Bebop - Map 1 Winner Jun 09 $1 $0 -12%
LoL: LOS vs Vivo Keyd Stars - Game 1 Winner Jun 08 $1 $0 -4%
Counter-Strike: G2 vs BIG - Map 2 Winner Jun 08 $2 $0 +24%
LoL: FN Esports vs Verdant (BO1) - EMEA Masters Swiss Stage Jun 08 $1 $0 -7%
LoL: Leviatan Esports vs paiN Gaming - Game 2 Winner Jun 08 $2 +$1 +50%
Counter-Strike: TYLOO vs 9z - Map 2 Winner Jun 08 $1 −$1 -69%
LoL: Leviatan Esports vs paiN Gaming - Game 1 Winner Jun 08 $2 +$1 +40%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 54% +$24
crypto 30% −$76
other 15% −$14
politics 1% −$2
world 0% −$3
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will Australia vs. Türkiye end in a draw? SELL Yes 7¢ $0 30m
Will Australia vs. Türkiye end in a draw? BUY Yes 32¢ $1 1h
Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-14? SELL Yes 27¢ $1 1h
Australia vs. Türkiye: O/U 1.5 BUY Under 41¢ $1 1h
Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-14? BUY Yes 57¢ $1 2h
Qatar vs. Switzerland: O/U 2.5 SELL Over 48¢ $1 10h
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs 9z - Map 1 Winner SELL Spirit 17¢ $0 10h
Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs FURIA - Map 2 Winner SELL BetBoom Team 9¢ $0 10h
Qatar vs. Switzerland: O/U 2.5 BUY Over 57¢ $1 11h
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs 9z - Map 1 Winner BUY Spirit 86¢ $1 11h
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Legacy - Map 2 Winner SELL Legacy 48¢ $3 11h
Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs FURIA - Map 1 Winner SELL BetBoom Team 12¢ $0 11h
Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs FURIA - Map 1 Winner BUY BetBoom Team 31¢ $1 12h
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Legacy - Map 2 Winner BUY Legacy 21¢ $1 12h
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Legacy - Map 2 Winner SELL Legacy 16¢ $0 12h
Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs FURIA - Map 2 Winner BUY BetBoom Team 47¢ $1 12h
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Legacy - Map 2 Winner BUY Legacy 53¢ $1 14h
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs MOUZ - Map 2 Winner BUY Vitality 62¢ $2 14h
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs MOUZ - Map 1 Winner SELL Vitality 100¢ $2 14h
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs MOUZ - Map 1 Winner BUY Vitality 63¢ $1 14h
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs MOUZ - Map 2 Winner SELL Vitality 75¢ $1 14h
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs MOUZ - Map 2 Winner BUY Vitality 76¢ $1 15h
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Monte (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage BUY Monte 27¢ $1 15h
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Monte - Map 2 Winner SELL Monte 99¢ $2 15h
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs G2 - Map 2 Winner SELL Aurora Gaming 99¢ $2 15h
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs G2 - Map 2 Winner BUY Aurora Gaming 59¢ $1 16h
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Monte - Map 2 Winner BUY Monte 51¢ $1 16h
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs G2 - Map 1 Winner SELL Aurora Gaming 100¢ $3 16h
LoL: Team WE vs Bilibili Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffs BUY Team WE 28¢ $1 17h
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs G2 - Map 1 Winner BUY Aurora Gaming 38¢ $1 18h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +47%
net ROI/market (all)-12.8%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 78 -9.6% -18.2% 40% 40% -22.1%
≤30d 324 -1.3% -10.7% 51% 49% -11.2%
≤90d 997 -3.7% -12.8% 50% 47% -12.3%
all 997 -3.7% -12.8% 50% 47% -12.3%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover26.6 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -12.8% 47% -12.3%
10% ← realistic here -21.2% 42% -20.7%
15% -28.8% 34% -28.3%
20% -35.8% 24% -35.4%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.01 · official $0.01 (match) · 2414 history records