Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T01:04:45+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

F8
0xf805…bb8d
crypto · 63 markets active 2h ago
0.0score
+$172 +20%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$172 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFresh edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized+$172
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)59%
Wins / losses37 / 26
Open positions0
Markets (closed)63 / 63
History coverage1d
Avg bet$14
Trades / day231.0
Drawdown32%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 0 History 63 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$172
7 days+$172
14 days+$172
30 days+$172
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET Down 3¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET Down 18¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET Down 63¢ 0¢ $16 $0 −$16 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET Down 43¢ 0¢ $8 $0 −$8 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET Down 54¢ 0¢ $12 $0 −$12 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET Up 10¢ 0¢ $8 $0 −$8 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET Down 1¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.2T? Yes 42¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET Up 39¢ 0¢ $9 $0 −$9 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET Down 33¢ 0¢ $13 $0 −$13 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET Down 17¢ 0¢ $8 $0 −$8 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET Down 20¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
SpaceX IPO: Will Elon Musk Ring the Bell? Yes 14¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET Down 37¢ 0¢ $8 $0 −$8 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET Up 6¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET Up 62¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET Down 37¢ 0¢ $11 $0 −$11 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET Up 55¢ 0¢ $12 $0 −$12 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET Down 25¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET Up 61¢ 0¢ $7 $0 −$7 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET Down 59¢ 0¢ $14 $0 −$14 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET Down 54¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET Down 44¢ 0¢ $16 $0 −$16 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET Down 14¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET Up 66¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET Jun 12 $11 +$13 +116%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET Jun 12 $16 +$4 +27%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET Jun 12 $28 +$16 +59%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET Jun 12 $16 −$16 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET Jun 12 $17 +$3 +15%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET Jun 12 $29 +$27 +92%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET Jun 12 $17 −$16 -96%
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2T? Jun 12 $157 +$64 +41%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET Jun 12 $8 +$27 +324%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET Jun 12 $29 +$11 +39%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET Jun 12 $22 +$10 +45%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET Jun 12 $8 −$8 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET Jun 12 $30 +$27 +90%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET Jun 12 $14 −$13 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET Jun 12 $8 −$8 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET Jun 12 $11 +$3 +29%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET Jun 12 $15 +$13 +82%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET Jun 12 $13 +$12 +90%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET Jun 12 $5 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET Jun 12 $12 +$21 +169%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET Jun 12 $10 −$10 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET Jun 12 $9 +$9 +97%
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.2T? Jun 12 $5 −$5 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET Jun 12 $15 +$4 +23%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET Jun 12 $9 +$3 +35%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET Jun 12 $15 +$3 +21%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET Jun 12 $6 +$1 +21%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET Jun 12 $22 +$28 +127%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET Jun 12 $16 −$16 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET Jun 12 $19 +$9 +48%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET Jun 12 $8 −$8 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET Jun 12 $9 −$9 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET Jun 12 $8 +$17 +198%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET Jun 12 $6 −$6 -95%
Will SpaceX’s opening share price on its first day of trading be betwe Jun 12 $1 $0 +20%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET Jun 12 $10 +$5 +48%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET Jun 12 $17 +$15 +93%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET Jun 12 $11 −$11 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET Jun 12 $4 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET Jun 12 $5 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET Jun 12 $26 +$15 +57%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET Jun 12 $12 −$12 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET Jun 12 $9 +$3 +38%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET Jun 12 $10 +$1 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET Jun 12 $17 +$6 +35%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET Jun 12 $14 −$14 -97%
SpaceX IPO: Will Elon Musk Ring the Bell? Jun 12 $5 −$3 -51%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET Jun 12 $8 −$8 -96%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 80% +$115
tech 20% +$56
finance 0% $0
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET BUY Up 45¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET BUY Up 50¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET BUY Up 43¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET BUY Up 43¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET BUY Down 91¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET BUY Down 92¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET BUY Down 84¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET BUY Down 81¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET BUY Down 65¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET BUY Up 49¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET BUY Up 51¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET BUY Up 62¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET BUY Up 68¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET BUY Up 63¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET BUY Up 63¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET BUY Up 62¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET BUY Up 62¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET BUY Up 82¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET BUY Up 81¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET BUY Up 78¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET BUY Up 69¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET BUY Up 75¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET BUY Down 88¢ $2 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET BUY Down 88¢ $5 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET BUY Down 85¢ $5 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET BUY Down 85¢ $5 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET BUY Up 90¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET BUY Up 84¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET BUY Up 62¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET BUY Up 53¢ $5 2h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +52%
net ROI/market (all)-12.3%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 63 -3.1% -12.3% 59% 52% +8.9%
≤30d 63 -3.1% -12.3% 59% 52% +8.9%
≤90d 63 -3.1% -12.3% 59% 52% +8.9%
all 63 -3.1% -12.3% 59% 52% +8.9%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover231.0 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -12.3% 52% +8.9%
10% ← realistic here -20.7% 41% -1.5%
15% -28.4% 35% -11.0%
20% -35.4% 24% -19.8%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 266 history records