trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | no closed markets | |||||
| ≤30d | 12 | -71.8% | -74.5% | 8% | 8% | -88.3% |
| ≤90d | 23 | -29.8% | -36.5% | 39% | 35% | -36.2% |
| all | 23 | -29.8% | -36.5% | 39% | 35% | -36.2% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -36.5% | 35% | -36.2% |
| 10% | -42.6% | 30% | -42.3% |
| 15% | -48.1% | 26% | -47.9% |
| 20% | -53.2% | 26% | -53.0% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 13¢ | 10¢ | $100 | $79 | −$21 (-21%) |
| Will Portugal reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | No | 31¢ | 32¢ | $50 | $52 | +$2 (+4%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Switzerland vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina end in a draw? | Jun 18 | $38 | −$36 | -94% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET | Jun 17 | $28 | −$26 | -93% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET | Jun 17 | $62 | −$20 | -32% |
| Will France vs. Senegal end in a draw? | Jun 16 | $74 | −$35 | -47% |
| Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-05-03? | Jun 16 | $196 | −$196 | -100% |
| Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 Champions League? | Jun 16 | $203 | −$203 | -100% |
| Will Sunderland AFC win on 2026-05-09? | Jun 16 | $102 | −$102 | -100% |
| Liverpool FC vs. Chelsea FC: O/U 2.5 | Jun 16 | $101 | −$101 | -100% |
| Spread: Nottingham Forest FC (-1.5) | Jun 16 | $1 | −$1 | -100% |
| Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-05-09? | Jun 16 | $101 | −$101 | -100% |
| Spread: Nottingham Forest FC (-2.5) | Jun 16 | $4 | −$4 | -100% |
| Will Belgium vs. Egypt end in a draw? | Jun 16 | $27 | +$49 | +186% |
| Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-05-07? | May 07 | $101 | +$77 | +76% |
| SC Freiburg vs. SC Braga: O/U 2.5 | May 07 | $41 | +$23 | +57% |
| FC Bayern München vs. Paris Saint-Germain FC: O/U 1.5 | May 06 | $66 | +$45 | +68% |
| Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-05-06? | May 06 | $162 | −$155 | -96% |
| Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-05-05? | May 05 | $202 | +$120 | +59% |
| Will Everton FC vs. Manchester City FC end in a draw? | May 04 | $51 | −$10 | -19% |
| Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-05-04? | May 04 | $354 | −$346 | -98% |
| Everton FC vs. Manchester City FC: O/U 1.5 | May 04 | $101 | +$20 | +20% |
| Everton FC vs. Manchester City FC: O/U 2.5 | May 04 | $101 | +$1 | +1% |
| Will Nottingham Forest FC win on 2026-05-04? | May 04 | $263 | +$194 | +74% |
| Chelsea FC vs. Nottingham Forest FC: O/U 4.5 | May 04 | $191 | +$63 | +33% |