Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T15:31:10+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

F8
0xf824…a032
crypto · 108 markets active 1h ago
5.0score
+$464 +10%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$464 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFading edge
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized+$464
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)56%
Wins / losses60 / 48
Est. fees paid−$4
Open positions0
Markets (closed)108 / 108
History coverage90d
Avg bet$44
Trades / day2.9
Drawdown64%
Kalshi-fit83%
Chart Positions 0 History 108 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$77
7 days−$28
14 days+$190
30 days+$190
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET Up 46¢ 0¢ $25 $0 −$25 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 24, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET Down 4¢ 0¢ $28 $0 −$28 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET Down 33¢ 0¢ $25 $0 −$25 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET Up 46¢ 0¢ $30 $0 −$30 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 24, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET Down 33¢ 0¢ $57 $0 −$57 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 24, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET Down 26¢ 0¢ $28 $0 −$28 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET Up 40¢ 0¢ $25 $0 −$25 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET Down 28¢ 0¢ $74 $0 −$74 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 22, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET Down 61¢ 0¢ $19 $0 −$19 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET Down 29¢ 0¢ $25 $0 −$25 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET Down 52¢ 0¢ $25 $0 −$25 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 23, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET Up 16¢ 0¢ $24 $0 −$24 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET Up 15¢ 0¢ $25 $0 −$25 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 22, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET Up 21¢ 0¢ $66 $0 −$66 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET Up 42¢ 0¢ $25 $0 −$25 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET Down 29¢ 0¢ $25 $0 −$25 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET Down 3¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 23, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET Up 54¢ 0¢ $15 $0 −$15 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 22, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET Up 35¢ 0¢ $44 $0 −$44 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 24, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET Down 22¢ 0¢ $33 $0 −$33 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET Jun 12 $26 −$25 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET Jun 12 $26 +$10 +40%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET Jun 12 $102 +$12 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET Jun 12 $26 −$25 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET Jun 12 $26 +$23 +88%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET Jun 12 $52 −$25 -48%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET Jun 12 $5 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET Jun 12 $26 +$6 +23%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET Jun 11 $208 +$144 +69%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET Jun 11 $207 +$18 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET Jun 11 $103 −$13 -13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET Jun 11 $105 −$95 -91%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET Jun 11 $51 +$11 +22%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET Jun 11 $104 −$26 -25%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET Jun 11 $109 +$43 +39%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET Jun 11 $103 +$10 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET Jun 11 $52 −$20 -38%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET Jun 11 $77 +$14 +18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET Jun 11 $26 −$25 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET Jun 11 $26 −$25 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET Jun 11 $26 +$21 +82%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET Jun 11 $52 +$26 +50%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET Jun 11 $31 −$30 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET Jun 11 $52 −$1 -2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET Jun 11 $26 +$20 +79%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET Jun 11 $26 +$12 +45%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET Jun 11 $25 +$7 +28%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET Jun 11 $26 +$3 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET Jun 11 $26 +$11 +44%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET Jun 11 $5 −$5 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET Jun 10 $105 −$37 -36%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET Jun 10 $57 −$30 -52%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET Jun 10 $52 +$5 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET Jun 10 $27 −$18 -70%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET Jun 10 $109 +$47 +43%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET Jun 10 $5 −$1 -18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET Jun 10 $26 −$22 -86%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET Jun 10 $83 −$36 -43%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET Jun 05 $31 −$12 -39%
Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League? May 30 $212 +$209 +98%
Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 Champions League? May 30 $25 +$10 +39%
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-05-02? May 03 $122 +$89 +73%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 24, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET Apr 24 $30 −$28 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 24, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET Apr 24 $30 −$28 -93%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 24, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET Apr 24 $60 −$57 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 24, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET Apr 24 $85 +$39 +45%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 24, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET Apr 24 $35 −$33 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 24, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET Apr 24 $20 −$14 -69%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 23, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET Apr 23 $16 +$2 +15%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 23, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET Apr 23 $100 −$42 -42%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 81% −$98
other 13% +$337
sports 6% +$216
finance 1% +$8
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET BUY Up 15¢ $26 48m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET SELL Up 78¢ $36 52m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET BUY Up 53¢ $26 54m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET SELL Down 86¢ $114 57m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET BUY Down 75¢ $102 58m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET BUY Up 40¢ $26 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET SELL Up 99¢ $48 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET BUY Up 51¢ $26 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET BUY Down 52¢ $26 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET SELL Up 48¢ $23 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET BUY Up 51¢ $26 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET SELL Up 94¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET BUY Up 89¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET SELL Up 48¢ $32 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET BUY Up 36¢ $26 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET SELL Up 83¢ $250 21h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET BUY Up 33¢ $105 21h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET SELL Down 55¢ $102 21h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET BUY Down 52¢ $103 21h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET SELL Down 73¢ $133 21h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET BUY Down 54¢ $103 21h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET SELL Up 45¢ $92 21h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET BUY Up 47¢ $104 21h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET SELL Up 59¢ $90 21h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET BUY Up 64¢ $103 21h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET SELL Down 5¢ $4 21h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET BUY Down 28¢ $105 21h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET SELL Down 88¢ $28 21h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET BUY Down 77¢ $25 21h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET SELL Down 74¢ $34 21h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +48%
net ROI/market (all)-8.8%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 39 -17.3% -25.2% 51% 41% -9.1%
≤30d 41 -13.1% -21.4% 54% 44% -0.4%
≤90d 108 +0.9% -8.8% 56% 48% +0.6%
all 108 +0.9% -8.8% 56% 48% +0.6%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover2.9 tr/day
realistic slip~5%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -8.8% 48% +0.6%
10% -17.5% 39% -9.1%
15% -25.5% 33% -17.9%
20% -32.8% 23% -25.9%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 284 history records