trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 1 | +2.1% | -7.6% | 100% | 0% | -7.6% |
| ≤30d | 11 | +0.8% | -8.8% | 55% | 0% | -8.7% |
| ≤90d | 12 | -7.6% | -16.4% | 50% | 0% | -8.7% |
| all | 27 | -3.8% | -13.0% | 44% | 0% | -8.9% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -13.0% | 0% | -8.9% |
| 10% | -21.3% | 0% | -17.7% |
| 15% | -28.9% | 0% | -25.6% |
| 20% | -35.9% | 0% | -32.9% |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026 | Jun 23 | $32 | +$1 | +2% |
| Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026? | Jun 04 | $44 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by June 30? | Jun 03 | $18 | $0 | +0% |
| Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027? | Jun 01 | $48 | $0 | -0% |
| Ukraine agrees not to join NATO by June 30? | May 31 | $46 | $0 | +1% |
| Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by May 31, 2026? | May 30 | $21 | $0 | -0% |
| US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31? | May 30 | $64 | +$1 | +2% |
| Iran closes its airspace by May 31? | May 28 | $46 | −$1 | -2% |
| Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Stra | May 28 | $24 | $0 | +1% |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026? | May 26 | $48 | +$3 | +6% |
| US strike on Cuba by December 31? | May 26 | $48 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Tommy Paul win Wimbledon 2025? | Mar 31 | $0 | $0 | -100% |
| Will José Carlos Sánchez Verazaín win the 2025 Bolivia presidential el | Jul 16 | $2 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Alexander Zverev win Wimbledon 2025? | Jun 24 | $6 | $0 | +0% |
| Will the number of federal employees decrease by 200,000 or more betwe | Jun 24 | $19 | −$1 | -3% |
| Will Bitcoin reach $120K in June? | Jun 20 | $2 | $0 | -12% |
| Will Trump announce Judy Shelton as next Fed Chair? | Jun 19 | $7 | $0 | +1% |
| Will Ferrari be the 2025 Constructors Champion? | Jun 18 | $7 | $0 | +0% |
| North Korea missile test by June 15? | Jun 18 | $7 | $0 | +2% |
| Will the San Diego Padres win the 2025 National League Championship? | Jun 14 | $7 | $0 | -1% |
| Will Elon tweet 225–249 times June 6–13? | Jun 12 | $20 | +$1 | +3% |
| Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the first leader out in 2025? | Jun 12 | $18 | $0 | -2% |
| Starmer out before July? | Jun 11 | $4 | $0 | -0% |
| Will the Pittsburgh Steelers win Super Bowl 2026? | Jun 10 | $22 | $0 | -0% |
| Will the Philadelphia Phillies win the 2025 National League Championsh | Jun 10 | $4 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Xi Jinping be the first leader out in 2025? | Jun 09 | $5 | $0 | -2% |
| Will the price of Ethereum be less than $2400 on June 8 at 5 PM ET? | Jun 09 | $2 | $0 | +1% |