trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 17 | -6.4% | -15.3% | 0% | 0% | -13.3% |
| ≤30d | 20 | -5.8% | -14.8% | 0% | 0% | -13.3% |
| ≤90d | 20 | -5.8% | -14.8% | 0% | 0% | -13.3% |
| all | 20 | -5.8% | -14.8% | 0% | 0% | -13.3% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -14.8% | 0% | -13.3% |
| 10% | -22.9% | 0% | -21.6% |
| 15% | -30.4% | 0% | -29.1% |
| 20% | -37.2% | 0% | -36.1% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Benjamin Netanyahu sign a U.S. x Iran deal by July 31? | No | 94¢ | 97¢ | $0 | $0 | +$0 (+3%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by June 30, 2026? | Jun 18 | $928 | −$10 | -1% |
| Will Steve Witkoff sign a U.S. x Iran deal by July 31? | Jun 18 | $97 | −$2 | -2% |
| Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Qatar? | Jun 18 | $130 | −$2 | -2% |
| Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $4,000 in June? | Jun 18 | $161 | −$5 | -3% |
| Will Phil Lyman be the Republican nominee for UT-03? | Jun 17 | $31 | −$5 | -16% |
| Will SpaceX's market cap be between $2.5T and $3.0T at market close on | Jun 16 | $108 | −$2 | -2% |
| Will Ed Hale win the 2026 Maryland Governor Republican primary electio | Jun 16 | $160 | −$33 | -21% |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in June? | Jun 15 | $104 | −$1 | -1% |
| Will Fujimori win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election | Jun 15 | $25 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Mexico reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final? | Jun 14 | $94 | −$1 | -1% |
| Will Steve Hilton win the California Governor Election in 2026? | Jun 14 | $8 | $0 | -6% |
| Will USA reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final? | Jun 13 | $7 | −$1 | -16% |
| Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland? | Jun 12 | $232 | −$31 | -14% |
| Will SpaceX's market cap be between $2.5T and $3.0T at market close on | Jun 12 | $302 | −$3 | -1% |
| World Cup: Goalkeeper to Score? | Jun 12 | $5 | −$1 | -16% |
| Will OpenAI’s market cap be $1.5T or greater at market close on IPO da | Jun 11 | $29 | −$1 | -5% |
| Will Durable Goods Orders MoM be below -4% in May? | Jun 11 | $4 | $0 | -2% |
| Will Valve add Cache to the Map Pool by June 30, 2026? | Jun 11 | $20 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Symbiotic launch a token by December 31, 2027? | Jun 11 | $0 | $0 | -5% |
| Will UMich Consumer Sentiment be between 40.0 and 42.9 in June? | Jun 05 | $4 | $0 | -2% |