trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 2 | -0.1% | -9.7% | 0% | 0% | -9.7% |
| ≤30d | 7 | -0.1% | -9.6% | 14% | 0% | -9.6% |
| ≤90d | 9 | -0.1% | -9.6% | 11% | 0% | -9.6% |
| all | 12 | -0.1% | -9.6% | 8% | 0% | -9.6% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -9.6% | 0% | -9.6% |
| 10% | -18.3% | 0% | -18.3% |
| 15% | -26.2% | 0% | -26.2% |
| 20% | -33.4% | 0% | -33.4% |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Sébastien Lecornu win the 2027 French presidential election? | Jun 26 | $721 | −$1 | -0% |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 me | Jun 26 | $725 | −$1 | -0% |
| Will Pete Hegseth win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Jun 16 | $727 | −$1 | -0% |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on June 3? | Jun 15 | $656 | +$1 | +0% |
| Will Phil Murphy win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Jun 01 | $727 | −$1 | -0% |
| Will Ruben Gallego win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | May 29 | $728 | −$1 | -0% |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 me | May 29 | $729 | −$1 | -0% |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on April 2? | Apr 02 | $730 | −$1 | -0% |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on March 30? | Mar 30 | $732 | −$1 | -0% |
| Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,000 on March 17? | Mar 17 | $733 | −$1 | -0% |
| Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,800 on March 16? | Mar 16 | $733 | −$1 | -0% |
| Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,700 on March 11? | Mar 11 | $734 | −$1 | -0% |