| Netanyahu out by June 30? |
Jun 22 |
$654 |
+$30 |
+4% |
| Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? |
Jun 22 |
$188 |
+$227 |
+120% |
| Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? |
May 30 |
$82 |
+$65 |
+80% |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026? |
May 21 |
$39 |
+$61 |
+156% |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026? |
May 21 |
$40 |
+$127 |
+317% |
| Will the DHS shutdown end after April 30, 2026? |
Apr 22 |
$121 |
−$121 |
-100% |
| Starmer out by June 30, 2026? |
Apr 22 |
$54 |
+$36 |
+67% |
| Nothing Ever Happens: 2026 |
Apr 17 |
$18 |
$0 |
+2% |
| Netanyahu out by April 30? |
Apr 15 |
$648 |
+$4 |
+1% |
| US forces enter Iran by April 30? |
Apr 15 |
$1,073 |
−$1,073 |
-100% |
| US forces enter Iran by March 31? |
Apr 03 |
$1,794 |
+$542 |
+30% |
| U.S. anti-cartel ground operation in Mexico by March 31? |
Apr 02 |
$334 |
+$14 |
+4% |
| Will One Battle After Another win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awa |
Mar 24 |
$133 |
−$133 |
-100% |
| Netanyahu out by March 31? |
Mar 24 |
$533 |
+$17 |
+3% |
| Pam Bondi out as Attorney General by March 31? |
Mar 24 |
$1,226 |
+$51 |
+4% |
| Iran leadership change by March 13? |
Mar 17 |
$420 |
+$53 |
+13% |
| Will Timothée Chalamet win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards? |
Mar 17 |
$405 |
+$560 |
+138% |
| Will the U.S. invade Mexico in 2026? |
Mar 14 |
$97 |
−$11 |
-11% |
| Will Gretchen Whitmer win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? |
Mar 11 |
$139 |
−$42 |
-30% |
| Will Russia capture Lyman by March 31, 2026? |
Mar 10 |
$100 |
+$45 |
+45% |
| Will John Cornyn win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary? |
Mar 10 |
$1,218 |
−$889 |
-73% |
| Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 15? |
Mar 10 |
$474 |
−$474 |
-100% |
| Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran? |
Mar 10 |
$1,536 |
−$1,536 |
-100% |
| Israel strikes Iran by March 31, 2026? |
Mar 07 |
$18 |
−$18 |
-100% |
| US strikes Iran by March 15, 2026? |
Mar 07 |
$100 |
−$100 |
-100% |
| Israel strikes Iran by June 30, 2026? |
Mar 07 |
$100 |
−$100 |
-100% |
| US strikes Iran by March 1, 2026? |
Mar 07 |
$158 |
−$158 |
-100% |
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31? |
Mar 07 |
$255 |
−$255 |
-100% |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire broken by March 31, 2026? |
Mar 07 |
$591 |
−$463 |
-78% |
| US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026? |
Mar 07 |
$1,208 |
−$1,010 |
-84% |
| US strike on Cuba by March 31? |
Mar 07 |
$95 |
−$2 |
-2% |
| Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair? |
Mar 05 |
$3,702 |
+$1,078 |
+29% |
| US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026? |
Feb 27 |
$295 |
−$136 |
-46% |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31? |
Feb 27 |
$359 |
−$6 |
-2% |
| Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 US Presidential Election? |
Feb 27 |
$346 |
−$90 |
-26% |
| Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? |
Feb 21 |
$100 |
−$4 |
-4% |
| US strikes Iran by February 20, 2026? |
Feb 21 |
$87 |
+$5 |
+6% |
| Starmer out by February 28, 2026? |
Feb 16 |
$742 |
+$39 |
+5% |
| Will anyone be charged over Daycare fraud in Minnesota by June 30? |
Feb 15 |
$40 |
−$2 |
-5% |
| Government shutdown on Saturday? |
Feb 14 |
$306 |
+$478 |
+156% |
| Will People’s Party (PPLE) win the most seats in the 2026 Thai legisla |
Feb 14 |
$158 |
−$158 |
-100% |
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28? |
Feb 13 |
$445 |
+$45 |
+10% |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30? |
Feb 13 |
$118 |
+$4 |
+4% |
| Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? |
Feb 11 |
$894 |
+$30 |
+3% |
| Nicolás Maduro released from custody by January 31, 2026? |
Feb 11 |
$2 |
−$2 |
-100% |
| Will the government shutdown last 7 days or more? |
Feb 11 |
$10 |
−$10 |
-100% |
| Will Khamenei leave Iran by March 31? |
Feb 09 |
$424 |
+$23 |
+5% |
| Will the government shutdown last 6 days or more? |
Feb 04 |
$87 |
+$20 |
+24% |
| Will the government shutdown last 5 days or more? |
Feb 03 |
$47 |
−$30 |
-64% |
| Don Lemon sentenced to prison? |
Feb 03 |
$276 |
−$6 |
-2% |