trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 14 | +0.0% | -9.5% | 43% | 43% | -1.1% |
| ≤30d | 25 | -6.6% | -15.5% | 48% | 48% | +0.5% |
| ≤90d | 25 | -6.6% | -15.5% | 48% | 48% | +0.5% |
| all | 25 | -6.6% | -15.5% | 48% | 48% | +0.5% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -15.5% | 48% | +0.5% |
| 10% | -23.5% | 44% | -9.1% |
| 15% | -30.9% | 40% | -17.9% |
| 20% | -37.7% | 28% | -26.0% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will France win on 2026-06-30? | Yes | 77¢ | 76¢ | $60 | $60 | −$0 (-1%) |
| Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 16¢ | 23¢ | $25 | $36 | +$11 (+43%) |
| Will Canada win on 2026-06-28? | Yes | 58¢ | 57¢ | $20 | $20 | −$0 (-1%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Argentina win on 2026-06-27? | Jun 28 | $70 | +$10 | +14% |
| Will Portugal win on 2026-06-27? | Jun 28 | $15 | −$15 | -100% |
| Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026? | Jun 28 | $14 | −$1 | -7% |
| Exact Score: Jordan 1 - 2 Argentina? | Jun 28 | $5 | −$5 | -98% |
| Will Spain win on 2026-06-26? | Jun 27 | $10 | +$5 | +50% |
| Will France win on 2026-06-26? | Jun 26 | $30 | +$17 | +57% |
| Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-25? | Jun 26 | $20 | −$2 | -11% |
| Will United States win on 2026-06-25? | Jun 26 | $28 | −$21 | -74% |
| Will Paraguay vs. Australia end in a draw? | Jun 26 | $10 | $0 | -4% |
| Will Paraguay win on 2026-06-25? | Jun 26 | $10 | −$4 | -39% |
| Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-24? | Jun 25 | $20 | −$20 | -100% |
| Will Brazil win on 2026-06-24? | Jun 25 | $20 | +$7 | +32% |
| Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-24? | Jun 24 | $20 | +$31 | +152% |
| Will Norway win on 2026-06-22? | Jun 23 | $20 | +$26 | +129% |
| Will Germany win on 2026-06-20? | Jun 20 | $10 | +$5 | +52% |
| Will United States win on 2026-06-19? | Jun 19 | $20 | +$13 | +62% |
| Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-18? | Jun 18 | $10 | +$6 | +57% |
| Will England win on 2026-06-17? | Jun 17 | $10 | +$7 | +73% |
| Will Croatia win on 2026-06-17? | Jun 17 | $2 | −$2 | -98% |
| Will Portugal win on 2026-06-17? | Jun 17 | $10 | −$10 | -99% |
| Will France win on 2026-06-16? | Jun 16 | $10 | +$5 | +48% |
| Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? | Jun 13 | $5 | −$5 | -99% |
| Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11? | Jun 11 | $5 | +$2 | +44% |
| Will South Africa win on 2026-06-11? | Jun 11 | $1 | −$1 | -97% |
| Will SpaceX’s “High” share price on its first day of trading hit 200 ( | Jun 11 | $5 | −$5 | -97% |