trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? | Yes | 61¢ | 60¢ | $10 | $10 | −$0 (-1%) |
| Roland Garros ATP: Hubert Hurkacz vs Frances Tiafoe | Hubert Hurkacz | 58¢ | 0¢ | $266,957 | $0 | −$266,957 (-100%) |
| Will AC Milan win on 2026-05-24? | Yes | 73¢ | 0¢ | $598,017 | $0 | −$598,017 (-100%) |
| Roland Garros ATP: Matteo Berrettini vs Matteo Arnaldi | Matteo Berrettini | 58¢ | 0¢ | $68,947 | $0 | −$68,947 (-100%) |
| Roland Garros ATP: Nuno Borges vs Miomir Kecmanovic | Miomir Kecmanovic | 60¢ | 0¢ | $300,823 | $0 | −$300,823 (-100%) |
| Roland Garros ATP: Francisco Cerundolo vs Zachary Svajda | Francisco Cerundolo | 92¢ | 0¢ | $1,186,671 | $0 | −$1,186,671 (-100%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Roland Garros ATP: Flavio Cobolli vs Alexander Zverev | Jun 07 | $5,000,329 | +$1,160,797 | +23% |
| Roland Garros WTA: Maja Chwalinska vs Mirra Andreeva | Jun 06 | $3,864,634 | +$850,876 | +22% |
| Roland Garros ATP: Jakub Mensik vs Alexander Zverev | Jun 05 | $2,009,238 | +$514,455 | +26% |
| Roland Garros WTA: Diana Shnaider vs Maja Chwalinska | Jun 04 | $397,036 | +$361,982 | +91% |
| Roland Garros ATP: Matteo Berrettini vs Matteo Arnaldi | Jun 03 | $69,714 | −$68,947 | -99% |
| Roland Garros ATP: Rafael Jodar vs Alexander Zverev | Jun 02 | $2,651,341 | +$690,320 | +26% |
| Roland Garros ATP: Juan Manuel Cerundolo vs Matteo Berrettini | Jun 01 | $365,191 | +$237,480 | +65% |
| Roland Garros ATP: Flavio Cobolli vs Zachary Svajda | Jun 01 | $816,794 | +$109,300 | +13% |
| Roland Garros WTA: Anastasia Potapova vs Anna Kalinskaya | Jun 01 | $1,023 | +$1,920 | +188% |
| Roland Garros ATP: Jakub Mensik vs Andrey Rublev | Jun 01 | $1,161,792 | +$1,081,228 | +93% |
| Roland Garros ATP: Matteo Berrettini vs Francisco Comesana | May 30 | $738,818 | +$354,187 | +48% |
| Roland Garros WTA: Diana Shnaider vs Oleksandra Oliynykova | May 30 | $93,747 | +$34,563 | +37% |
| Roland Garros ATP: Francisco Cerundolo vs Zachary Svajda | May 30 | $1,189,394 | −$1,186,671 | -100% |
| Roland Garros ATP: Joao Fonseca vs Novak Djokovic | May 29 | $135,513 | +$245,746 | +181% |
| Roland Garros WTA: Xiyu Wang vs Yulia Starodubtseva | May 29 | $102,855 | +$168,768 | +164% |
| Roland Garros ATP: Mariano Navone vs Jenson Brooksby | May 29 | $67,480 | +$8,352 | +12% |
| Roland Garros ATP: Arthur Rinderknech vs Matteo Berrettini | May 28 | $159,699 | +$89,577 | +56% |
| Roland Garros ATP: Hubert Hurkacz vs Frances Tiafoe | May 28 | $270,288 | −$266,957 | -99% |
| Roland Garros WTA: Mirra Andreeva vs Marina Bassols Ribera | May 27 | $178,487 | +$16,424 | +9% |
| Roland Garros ATP: Nuno Borges vs Miomir Kecmanovic | May 27 | $304,402 | −$300,823 | -99% |
| Roland Garros ATP: Jacob Fearnley vs Juan Manuel Cerundolo | May 27 | $109,768 | +$25,446 | +23% |
| Roland Garros WTA: Emma Navarro vs Janice Tjen | May 27 | $132,553 | +$36,723 | +28% |
| Roland Garros WTA: Coco Gauff vs Taylor Townsend | May 27 | $44,317 | +$5,327 | +12% |
| Roland Garros WTA: Daria Kasatkina vs Zeynep Sonmez | May 26 | $110,055 | +$43,824 | +40% |
| Will Wolfsburg win on 2026-05-25? | May 26 | $196,131 | +$142,384 | +73% |
| Will AC Milan win on 2026-05-24? | May 24 | $602,949 | −$598,017 | -99% |
| Will Tottenham Hotspur FC win on 2026-05-24? | May 24 | $111,024 | +$105,901 | +95% |
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 3 | +23.6% | +11.8% | 100% | 100% | +11.5% |
| ≤30d | 27 | +30.6% | +18.2% | 81% | 78% | +7.2% |
| ≤90d | 27 | +30.6% | +18.2% | 81% | 78% | +7.2% |
| all | 27 | +30.6% | +18.2% | 81% | 78% | +7.2% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal | +18.2% | 78% | +7.2% |
| 10% | +6.8% | 63% | -3.0% |
| 15% ← realistic here | -3.5% | 44% | -12.4% |
| 20% | -12.9% | 33% | -21.0% |