Wallet analysis

2026-06-29T08:01:46+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

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score
F8 0xf888…5b8c crypto 232 markets active 4h ago coverage 32d ⚠
BOTnot copyable crypto specialist⚠ High turnover⚠ Covers last 31d onlyP/L from Polymarket (history capped)
✗ bot/MM pace (100 trades/day) — uncopyable✗ on-chain reconstruction ≠ official P&L (longshot/capped history)✗ negative after realistic slippage✗ wins on margins thinner than slippage
Total PnL +$7,410 (+1%) realized +$7,410 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt +2% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -29% what you keep after slip
Net edge-29%after slip
Net WR0%break-even
Win rate100%232W / 0L
Whale WR100%big bets
Drawdown0%max
Avg bet$3,714per market
Trades / day100.0pace
Kalshi-fit100%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
Not enough resolved history to chart — analysis covers only 32d (hyperactive wallet — we see only the tail of its trades). A “Total PnL” curve will appear once daily tracking accumulates.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 100% +$12,141
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
uncopyable — bot pace (100 trades/day)
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +0%
net ROI/market (all)-7.6%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 39 +1.0% -8.6% 100% 0% -8.6%
≤30d 221 +1.0% -8.6% 100% 0% -8.6%
≤90d 232 +2.1% -7.6% 100% 0% -8.2%
all 232 +2.1% -7.6% 100% 0% -8.2%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover100.0 tr/day
realistic slip~18%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -7.6% 0% -8.2%
10% -16.4% 0% -17.0%
15% ← realistic here -24.5% 0% -25.0%
20% -31.9% 0% -32.4%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 24% · top 2 27% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI +1% 90d near zero / fading
Fragile wins
100% wins margin < slip most wins thinner than slippage → losses for you
Flat-copyable
equal-wt +2% · $-wt +1% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR 100% (≥$5,643) strong on big bets
Persistence
early +3% → late +1% edge persists early→late
Add-ons / DCA
13.7 add-ons/market averages down — deposit killer
Win / loss size
+$52 vs — no data
Profit factor
— no data
Copy size
≥ $700 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

32d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized+$7,410
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)100%
Wins / losses232 / 0
Whale WR (big bets)100%
Open positions0
Markets (closed)232 / 232
History coverage32d ⚠
Avg bet$3,714
Trades / day100.0
Drawdown0%
Kalshi-fit100%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 232 Trades
no open positions
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 29, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET Jun 29 $6,138 +$62 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET Jun 29 $376 +$4 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET Jun 28 $6,138 +$62 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET Jun 28 $2,521 +$26 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET Jun 28 $6,142 +$58 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET Jun 28 $1,354 +$14 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET Jun 28 $1,040 +$10 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET Jun 28 $6,138 +$62 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET Jun 28 $672 +$7 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET Jun 28 $6,115 +$85 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET Jun 27 $6,138 +$62 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET Jun 27 $1,689 +$17 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET Jun 27 $2,751 +$28 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET Jun 27 $6,138 +$62 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET Jun 27 $6,138 +$62 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET Jun 27 $6,138 +$62 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET Jun 27 $3,508 +$35 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET Jun 27 $3,104 +$31 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET Jun 27 $6,114 +$62 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET Jun 26 $6,138 +$62 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET Jun 26 $1,897 +$19 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET Jun 26 $6,138 +$62 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET Jun 26 $5,107 +$52 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET Jun 25 $6,130 +$70 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET Jun 25 $6,138 +$62 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET Jun 25 $6,138 +$62 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET Jun 25 $5,258 +$53 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET Jun 25 $6,138 +$62 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET Jun 24 $6,138 +$62 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET Jun 24 $311 +$3 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET Jun 24 $5,456 +$55 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET Jun 24 $2,592 +$26 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET Jun 23 $6,138 +$62 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET Jun 23 $4,402 +$83 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET Jun 23 $1,469 +$15 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET Jun 23 $6,138 +$62 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET Jun 23 $6,138 +$62 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET Jun 22 $6,138 +$62 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET Jun 22 $6,138 +$62 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET Jun 22 $6,138 +$62 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET Jun 22 $6,138 +$62 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET Jun 22 $1,112 +$11 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET Jun 22 $6,138 +$62 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET Jun 22 $1,097 +$11 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET Jun 22 $712 +$7 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET Jun 21 $1,591 +$16 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET Jun 21 $734 +$7 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET Jun 21 $900 +$9 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET Jun 21 $527 +$5 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET Jun 21 $5,688 +$57 +1%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 29, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $6,138 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $108 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $31 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $30 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $5 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $20 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $33 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $129 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $11 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $11 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $4,413 14h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $1,725 14h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $2 14h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $2 14h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $1 14h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $3 14h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $906 14h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $29 14h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $1 14h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $59 14h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $10 14h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $138 14h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $3 14h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $39 14h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $15 14h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $2 14h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $3 14h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $171 14h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $156 14h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $116 14h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 3500 history records