Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T14:11:10+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

F8
0xf88b…0ed2
sports · 1225 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
+$152 +0%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$107 · open +$60
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP sports specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$2,925
Realized+$107
Unrealized+$60
Win rate (resolved)47%
Wins / losses542 / 603
Whale WR (big bets)71%
Est. fees paid−$307
Open positions78
Markets (closed)1145 / 1225
History coverage70d
Avg bet$36
Trades / day43.0
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit85%
Chart Positions 78 History 1145 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$90
7 days−$209
14 days−$299
30 days+$144
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will Israel annex Gaza territory by June 30 2026? No 97¢ 99¢ $194 $198 +$4 (+2%)
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of June? No 88¢ 96¢ $175 $192 +$16 (+9%)
Will Iraq advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? No 88¢ 86¢ $176 $172 −$4 (-2%)
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026? No 91¢ 90¢ $146 $144 −$2 (-1%)
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on June 12? No 95¢ 100¢ $123 $130 +$7 (+6%)
Will Curacao advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? No 90¢ 92¢ $121 $124 +$3 (+3%)
World Cup: Any Player to Score a Hat Trick? Yes 89¢ 88¢ $125 $123 −$1 (-1%)
Will Hong Wang win the 2026 Fields Medal? Yes 75¢ 86¢ $96 $110 +$14 (+15%)
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on June 12? No 91¢ 100¢ $91 $100 +$9 (+10%)
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $175 by end of June? No 94¢ 99¢ $94 $99 +$5 (+6%)
Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026? No 94¢ 94¢ $94 $94 +$0 (+1%)
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in June? No 91¢ 94¢ $72 $75 +$2 (+3%)
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on June 14? No 89¢ 99¢ $62 $69 +$7 (+11%)
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in June? No 92¢ 97¢ $60 $63 +$3 (+5%)
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 18¢ 17¢ $63 $61 −$2 (-3%)
Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? No 90¢ 61¢ $90 $61 −$29 (-32%)
Will Vitality win IEM Cologne Major 2026? Yes 57¢ 40¢ $85 $61 −$25 (-29%)
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 18¢ 16¢ $63 $58 −$5 (-8%)
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $58,000 on June 12? Yes 94¢ 100¢ $47 $50 +$3 (+6%)
Israel closes its airspace by June 15? No 73¢ 97¢ $36 $48 +$12 (+33%)
Will South America (CONMEBOL) win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 22¢ 22¢ $44 $43 −$1 (-2%)
Will Morocco win Group C in the 2026 FIFA World Cup? No 82¢ 78¢ $41 $39 −$2 (-4%)
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 11¢ 11¢ $39 $39 +$1 (+1%)
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 11¢ 10¢ $41 $38 −$3 (-8%)
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in June? No 87¢ 92¢ $35 $37 +$2 (+5%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs MOUZ (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 12 $27 +$18 +67%
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Monte (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 12 $9 +$7 +79%
Libema Open: Daniil Medvedev vs Thijs Boogaard Jun 12 $14 −$7 -48%
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 1 Winner Jun 12 $5 +$5 +90%
Map Handicap: MGLZ (-1.5) vs B8 (+1.5) Jun 12 $19 −$9 -49%
Map Handicap: TS (-1.5) vs Natus Vincere (+1.5) Jun 11 $20 +$30 +152%
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Spirit (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stag Jun 11 $19 +$11 +55%
LoL: Vivo Keyd Stars vs RED Canids - Game 2 Winner Jun 11 $3 −$2 -98%
Map Handicap: FURIA (-1.5) vs B8 (+1.5) Jun 11 $10 +$10 +105%
Alexis Vega: 2+ shots Jun 11 $6 −$2 -30%
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs B8 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 11 $15 +$5 +32%
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs FUT Esports (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stag Jun 11 $24 +$12 +49%
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major S Jun 11 $3 +$6 +180%
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs Legacy (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 11 $18 −$11 -63%
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs 9z - Map 2 Winner Jun 11 $7 −$7 -100%
Map Handicap: PRV (-1.5) vs 9z (+1.5) Jun 11 $1 −$1 -97%
Will Gold (GC) hit (LOW) $4,200 by end of June? Jun 11 $3 +$2 +70%
Libema Open: Panna Udvardy vs Daria Snigur Jun 11 $7 −$7 -99%
Spurs vs. Knicks Jun 11 $32 +$29 +92%
Spurs vs. Knicks: O/U 217.5 Jun 11 $21 −$10 -45%
Will Trump restart Project Freedom by June 30? Jun 11 $138 +$12 +9%
Game Handicap: LOS (-1.5) vs paiN Gaming (+1.5) Jun 10 $8 −$8 -100%
Will May 2026 be the 4th or lower hottest on record? Jun 10 $45 +$5 +11%
Will May 2026 be the 2nd hottest on record? Jun 10 $33 +$11 +32%
Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire over by June 15? Jun 10 $73 −$6 -8%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on June 10? Jun 10 $10 $0 +3%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $58,000 on June 10? Jun 10 $47 +$3 +6%
Korea Republic vs. Czechia: O/U 2.5 Jun 10 $18 −$17 -99%
Will Jordan advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jun 10 $164 −$5 -3%
Will global temperature increase by between 1.10ºC and 1.14ºC in May 2 Jun 10 $102 +$23 +22%
Exact Score: Korea Republic 1 - 0 Czechia? Jun 10 $3 −$3 -98%
Valorant: FUT Esports vs NRG (BO3) - VCT Masters London Group Stage Jun 10 $8 −$2 -24%
Will Bitcoin reach $67,500 in June? Jun 10 $2 $0 -8%
Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (HIGH) $3.60 in June? Jun 10 $4 $0 -12%
Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (LOW) $3.00 in June? Jun 10 $3 −$1 -35%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on June 11? Jun 10 $46 −$7 -15%
Stuttgart Open: Nick Kyrgios vs Corentin Moutet Jun 09 $2 +$3 +180%
Map Handicap: XLG (-1.5) vs Dragon Ranger Gaming (+1.5) Jun 09 $10 +$10 +96%
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11? Jun 09 $13 −$12 -98%
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 30? Jun 09 $23 −$2 -9%
Counter-Strike: BIG vs B8 - Map 2 Winner Jun 09 $11 −$5 -44%
Counter-Strike: BIG vs B8 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 09 $22 −$13 -60%
Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire over by June 12? Jun 09 $47 $0 +0%
Counter-Strike: Monte vs paiN (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 09 $31 +$19 +63%
LoL: LOS vs Vivo Keyd Stars (BO3) - Esports World Cup South America & Jun 09 $5 +$15 +276%
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 32°C or higher on June 9? Jun 09 $3 −$3 -100%
Map Handicap: G2 (-1.5) vs BIG (+1.5) Jun 08 $22 +$28 +129%
Map Handicap: BB (-1.5) vs Monte (+1.5) Jun 08 $19 +$11 +60%
Games Total: O/U 2.5 Jun 08 $23 +$27 +119%
Valorant: NRG vs Leviatán Esports (BO3) - VCT Masters London Group Sta Jun 08 $13 −$2 -12%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 57% −$348
world 20% +$504
other 11% −$38
finance 4% +$62
politics 3% −$37
crypto 3% +$116
weather 2% −$47
culture 0% −$41
economics 0% +$1
tech 0% −$6
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Monte (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 SELL Monte 80¢ $16 25m
Games Total: O/U 2.5 BUY Over 50¢ $1 1h
Games Total: O/U 2.5 BUY Over 50¢ $2 1h
Games Total: O/U 2.5 BUY Over 50¢ $1 1h
Games Total: O/U 2.5 BUY Over 50¢ $4 1h
World Cup: Any Team to Score 10+ Goals in the Group Stage? BUY Yes 74¢ $11 1h
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Monte - Map 2 Winner BUY Monte 61¢ $6 1h
Libema Open: Daniil Medvedev vs Thijs Boogaard SELL Thijs Boogaard 38¢ $7 1h
Libema Open: Daniil Medvedev vs Thijs Boogaard BUY Thijs Boogaard 79¢ $8 1h
Libema Open: Daniil Medvedev vs Thijs Boogaard BUY Thijs Boogaard 65¢ $7 1h
World Cup: Any Team to Score 10+ Goals in the Group Stage? BUY Yes 74¢ $4 1h
Libema Open: Nuno Borges vs Marin Cilic BUY Marin Cilic 56¢ $3 2h
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Monte (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY Monte 41¢ $4 2h
Games Total: O/U 2.5 BUY Over 52¢ $4 2h
Games Total: O/U 2.5 BUY Over 52¢ $2 2h
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Monte (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY Monte 48¢ $2 2h
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Monte (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY Monte 48¢ $2 2h
Map Handicap: MGLZ (-1.5) vs B8 (+1.5) SELL B8 33¢ $10 4h
Map Handicap: TS (-1.5) vs Aurora Gaming (+1.5) BUY Spirit 60¢ $24 4h
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs MOUZ (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY FURIA 59¢ $27 5h
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in June? BUY No 89¢ $27 5h
Map Handicap: MGLZ (-1.5) vs B8 (+1.5) BUY B8 63¢ $19 5h
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 1 Winner BUY Hanwha Life Esports 52¢ $5 5h
Will Messi and Ronaldo Shake Hands During World Cup? BUY No 70¢ $21 11h
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in June? BUY No 70¢ $7 19h
LoL: Vivo Keyd Stars vs RED Canids - Game 2 Winner BUY Vivo Keyd Stars 25¢ $3 19h
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026? BUY No 88¢ $49 19h
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026? BUY No 88¢ $4 19h
Korea Republic vs. Czechia: O/U 2.5 AND Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11? BUY 8¢ $1 19h
Will Korea Republic vs. Czechia end in a draw? AND Will Mexico win on BUY 3¢ $3 19h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +38%
net ROI/market (all)-16.3%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 97 -11.0% -19.5% 40% 34% -17.7%
≤30d 553 -0.1% -9.6% 47% 40% -8.6%
≤90d 1145 -7.5% -16.3% 47% 38% -9.1%
all 1145 -7.5% -16.3% 47% 38% -9.1%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover43.0 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -16.3% 38% -9.1%
10% ← realistic here -24.3% 31% -17.8%
15% -31.7% 27% -25.7%
20% -38.4% 22% -33.0%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $2,925.39 · official $2,925.44 (match) · 3500 history records