trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 7 | -0.4% | -9.9% | 43% | 0% | -10.0% |
| ≤30d | 11 | -2.0% | -11.3% | 27% | 0% | -10.3% |
| ≤90d | 11 | -2.0% | -11.3% | 27% | 0% | -10.3% |
| all | 24 | +1.0% | -8.6% | 46% | 4% | -10.2% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -8.6% | 4% | -10.2% |
| 10% | -17.3% | 4% | -18.8% |
| 15% | -25.3% | 4% | -26.6% |
| 20% | -32.6% | 4% | -33.8% |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? | Jun 15 | $38 | $0 | +1% |
| Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | Jun 14 | $26 | $0 | +0% |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? | Jun 12 | $39 | −$2 | -5% |
| Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by July 31, 2026? | Jun 10 | $7 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Stra | Jun 10 | $72 | $0 | +0% |
| US-Iran nuclear deal before 2027? | Jun 09 | $16 | $0 | +0% |
| Israel closes its airspace by June 8? | Jun 08 | $35 | $0 | +1% |
| Iran closes its airspace by June 30? | Jun 07 | $75 | −$1 | -2% |
| Ukraine agrees not to join NATO by June 30? | Jun 06 | $2 | $0 | -10% |
| Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026? | Jun 06 | $36 | $0 | +0% |
| Iran leadership change by June 30? | Jun 05 | $3 | $0 | -7% |
| Will Palmeiras win the FIFA Club World Cup? | Dec 10 | $2 | $0 | +3% |
| Will DeepSeek have the top AI model on June 30? | Jun 29 | $6 | $0 | +4% |
| Will Ahn Cheol-soo be elected the next president of South Korea? | Jun 04 | $1 | $0 | +1% |
| Will DeepSeek have the top AI model on May 31? | Jun 01 | $2 | $0 | +2% |
| Will the New Jersey Devils win the 2025 Stanley Cup? | May 05 | $1 | $0 | +2% |
| Will the St. Louis Blues win the 2025 Stanley Cup? | May 05 | $2 | $0 | +1% |
| Israel x Hamas Ceasefire Phase II by March 15? | Mar 17 | $10 | $0 | +1% |
| Bowling Green vs. Northern Illinois | Mar 04 | $11 | −$1 | -6% |
| Thunder vs. Grizzlies | Mar 04 | $14 | −$4 | -26% |
| Will Trump say 'Greenland' during the 2025 State of the Union? | Mar 04 | $15 | $0 | -1% |
| Will Bayern Munich vs. Bayer Leverkusen end in a draw? | Mar 04 | $14 | $0 | +0% |
| Green Bay vs. Oakland | Mar 04 | $22 | −$7 | -34% |
| Louisiana vs. Troy | Mar 04 | $11 | +$11 | +100% |