trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | no closed markets | |||||
| ≤30d | 8 | -35.8% | -41.9% | 38% | 38% | -65.7% |
| ≤90d | 8 | -35.8% | -41.9% | 38% | 38% | -65.7% |
| all | 27 | -19.1% | -26.8% | 63% | 44% | -39.9% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -26.8% | 44% | -39.9% |
| 10% | -33.8% | 22% | -45.7% |
| 15% | -40.2% | 15% | -50.9% |
| 20% | -46.1% | 11% | -55.7% |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the lowest temperature in Seoul be 18°C on June 17? | Jun 16 | $4 | −$4 | -96% |
| Will the lowest temperature in Seoul be 19°C on June 17? | Jun 16 | $5 | −$5 | -88% |
| Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 30°C on June 16? | Jun 16 | $1 | −$1 | -95% |
| Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 29°C on June 15? | Jun 15 | $1 | +$1 | +54% |
| Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 29°C on June 16? | Jun 15 | $1 | −$1 | -98% |
| Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 27°C on June 14? | Jun 14 | $1 | +$1 | +51% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET | Jun 13 | $1 | +$1 | +93% |
| Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 27°C on June 13? | Jun 12 | $1 | −$1 | -98% |
| Nuggets vs. Kings | Dec 17 | $3 | −$3 | -100% |
| Heat vs. Pistons | Dec 17 | $3 | $0 | +12% |
| Mavericks vs. Warriors | Dec 16 | $3 | $0 | +12% |
| Will Crystal Palace win on 2024-12-15? | Dec 15 | $11 | −$8 | -75% |
| South Alabama vs. Western Michigan | Dec 15 | $2 | −$2 | -86% |
| Rockets vs. Thunder | Dec 15 | $10 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Everton win on 2024-12-14? | Dec 15 | $2 | $0 | +6% |
| Will Fulham win on 2024-12-14? | Dec 15 | $2 | $0 | +9% |
| Pacers vs. 76ers | Dec 14 | $1 | +$1 | +49% |
| Rams vs. 49ers | Dec 13 | $1 | $0 | +16% |
| Hawks vs. Knicks | Dec 12 | $1 | −$1 | -100% |
| Mavericks vs. Thunder | Dec 11 | $1 | $0 | +10% |
| Knicks vs. Raptors | Dec 10 | $1 | $0 | +20% |
| Rockets vs. Clippers | Dec 09 | $0 | $0 | +19% |
| Nuggets vs. Hawks | Dec 09 | $0 | $0 | +25% |
| Will Leicester win on 2024-12-08? | Dec 08 | $0 | $0 | +22% |
| Will Assad remain President of Syria through 2024? | Dec 08 | $14 | −$14 | -98% |
| Will another candidate win the 2024 Romanian Presidential election? | Dec 07 | $14 | $0 | +2% |
| Will Yamandú Orsi win the 2024 Uruguay presidential election? | Nov 25 | $11 | +$3 | +24% |