Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T17:39:47+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

F8
0xf898…e720
sports · 245 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
+$2,429 +13%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$3,074 · open −$646
avoidriskycopy
~ RISKY sports specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$1,100
Realized+$3,074
Unrealized−$646
Win rate (resolved)53%
Wins / losses124 / 110
Whale WR (big bets)62%
Est. fees paid−$379
Open positions17
Markets (closed)234 / 245
History coverage2d
Avg bet$78
Trades / day1858.1
Drawdown51%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 17 History 234 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$3,074
7 days+$3,074
14 days+$3,074
30 days+$3,074
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team - Map 1 Winner BetBoom Team 21¢ 100¢ $131 $620 +$489 (+374%)
Map Handicap: FAL (-1.5) vs BetBoom Team (+1.5) BetBoom Team 53¢ 100¢ $67 $127 +$60 (+89%)
KBO: Hanwha Eagles vs. NC Dinos Hanwha Eagles 58¢ 50¢ $101 $88 −$13 (-13%)
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Spirit - Map 1 Winner Aurora Gaming 32¢ 18¢ $132 $76 −$56 (-42%)
Map Handicap: TS (-1.5) vs Aurora Gaming (+1.5) Aurora Gaming 48¢ 36¢ $83 $63 −$21 (-25%)
Games Total: O/U 2.5 Over 42¢ 34¢ $51 $41 −$10 (-20%)
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Spirit (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Aurora Gaming 25¢ 14¢ $40 $21 −$18 (-46%)
Games Total: O/U 2.5 Under 76¢ 85¢ $19 $21 +$2 (+12%)
Map Handicap: VIT (-1.5) vs 9z (+1.5) Vitality 84¢ 86¢ $16 $16 +$0 (+2%)
Map Handicap: VIT (-1.5) vs 9z (+1.5) 9z 17¢ 14¢ $10 $8 −$2 (-18%)
Map Handicap: NAVI (-1.5) vs Legacy (+1.5) Natus Vincere 46¢ 100¢ $2 $4 +$2 (+116%)
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Legacy (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Natus Vincere 73¢ 100¢ $3 $4 +$1 (+37%)
Games Total: O/U 2.5 Under 48¢ 100¢ $1 $2 +$1 (+108%)
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs 9z - Map 1 Winner 9z 8¢ 0¢ $17 $1 −$16 (-94%)
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team - Map 2 Winner BetBoom Team 36¢ 100¢ $0 $1 +$1 (+179%)
Games Total: O/U 2.5 Under 72¢ 100¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+38%)
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BetBoom Team 22¢ 100¢ $0 $1 +$1 (+356%)
Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Atlanta Braves: O/U 9.5 Under 56¢ 100¢ $0 $1 +$0 (+80%)
Spread: Miami Marlins (-4.5) Washington Nationals 64¢ 100¢ $0 $1 +$0 (+56%)
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team - Map 2 Winner Team Falcons 19¢ 0¢ $185 $0 −$185 (-100%)
Spread: Minnesota Twins (-1.5) Kansas City Royals 74¢ 100¢ $0 $0 +$0 (+35%)
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Legacy - Map 2 Winner Legacy 25¢ 0¢ $145 $0 −$144 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 - Map 2 Winner FUT Esports 68¢ 100¢ $0 $0 +$0 (+48%)
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Legacy (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Legacy 15¢ 0¢ $81 $0 −$81 (-100%)
Spread: Los Angeles Angels (-3.5) Los Angeles Angels 35¢ 100¢ $0 $0 +$0 (+190%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Atlanta Braves: O/U 9.5 Jun 12 $12 −$12 -100%
Spread: Miami Marlins (-4.5) Jun 12 $0 $0 +56%
Spread: Minnesota Twins (-1.5) Jun 12 $0 $0 +35%
Spread: Los Angeles Angels (-3.5) Jun 12 $21 −$21 -100%
Spread: Seattle Mariners (-3.5) Jun 12 $0 $0 +39%
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Legacy - Map 1 Winner Jun 12 $141 −$126 -89%
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 12 $726 +$143 +20%
Games Total: O/U 2.5 Jun 12 $53 +$11 +20%
Map Handicap: PRV (-1.5) vs Monte (+1.5) Jun 12 $26 +$29 +109%
Games Total: O/U 2.5 Jun 12 $115 +$73 +64%
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Monte (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 12 $184 +$217 +118%
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Monte - Map 2 Winner Jun 12 $161 +$59 +36%
KBO: Lotte Giants vs. LG Twins Jun 12 $427 +$136 +32%
KBO: SSG Landers vs. Samsung Lions Jun 12 $403 −$250 -62%
KBO: Doosan Bears vs. Kia Tigers Jun 12 $254 +$126 +50%
KBO: NC Dinos vs. KT Wiz Jun 12 $585 −$474 -81%
KBO: Hanwha Eagles vs. Kiwoom Heroes Jun 12 $227 +$531 +234%
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Monte - Map 1 Winner Jun 12 $274 −$145 -53%
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs MOUZ (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 12 $16 +$9 +57%
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 - Map 2 Winner Jun 12 $230 −$144 -62%
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 - Map 1 Winner Jun 12 $152 −$150 -99%
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs MOUZ - Map 1 Winner Jun 12 $32 +$23 +72%
Spread: Kansas City Royals (-2.5) Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Spread: New York Mets (-3.5) Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Chicago Cubs vs. Colorado Rockies: O/U 9.5 Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Spread: Baltimore Orioles (-2.5) Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Seattle Mariners vs. Baltimore Orioles: O/U 8.5 Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Spread: Athletics (-3.5) Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Spread: Arizona Diamondbacks (-1.5) Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Texas Rangers vs. Kansas City Royals: O/U 6.5 Jun 12 $4 −$4 -100%
Chicago Cubs vs. Colorado Rockies: O/U 8.5 Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Spread: Seattle Mariners (-1.5) Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
St. Louis Cardinals vs. New York Mets: O/U 7.5 Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Spread: Seattle Mariners (-1.5) Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Spread: Los Angeles Dodgers (-4.5) Jun 12 $17 −$17 -100%
Texas Rangers vs. Kansas City Royals: O/U 7.5 Jun 12 $28 −$28 -100%
Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Los Angeles Dodgers v Jun 12 $39 −$39 -100%
Spread: Texas Rangers (-2.5) Jun 12 $40 −$38 -95%
Spread: Los Angeles Dodgers (-1.5) Jun 12 $45 −$45 -100%
Spread: Texas Rangers (-3.5) Jun 12 $35 −$35 -100%
Spread: Miami Marlins (-3.5) Jun 12 $43 −$43 -100%
Texas Rangers vs. Kansas City Royals: O/U 8.5 Jun 12 $94 −$92 -98%
Texas Rangers vs. Kansas City Royals: O/U 10.5 Jun 12 $99 −$97 -98%
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Miami Marlins Jun 12 $138 −$131 -95%
Spread: New York Mets (-1.5) Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Seattle Mariners vs. Baltimore Orioles: O/U 10.5 Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Arizona Diamondbacks Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Spread: Colorado Rockies (-1.5) Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Texas Rangers vs. Kansas City Royals: O/U 11.5 Jun 12 $4 −$4 -100%
Seattle Mariners vs. Baltimore Orioles: O/U 9.5 Jun 12 $7 −$7 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 99% +$2,473
other 1% −$13
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Spirit (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stag BUY Aurora Gaming 30¢ $1 0m
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Spirit (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stag BUY Aurora Gaming 30¢ $1 0m
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Spirit (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stag BUY Aurora Gaming 29¢ $1 0m
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Spirit (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stag BUY Aurora Gaming 29¢ $1 0m
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Spirit (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stag BUY Aurora Gaming 29¢ $15 0m
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Spirit (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stag BUY Aurora Gaming 28¢ $1 0m
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Spirit (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stag BUY Aurora Gaming 26¢ $1 3m
Games Total: O/U 2.5 BUY Over 45¢ $10 3m
Games Total: O/U 2.5 BUY Over 45¢ $10 3m
Games Total: O/U 2.5 BUY Over 45¢ $10 3m
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Spirit - Map 1 Winner BUY Aurora Gaming 38¢ $1 5m
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Spirit - Map 1 Winner BUY Aurora Gaming 38¢ $15 5m
Map Handicap: TS (-1.5) vs Aurora Gaming (+1.5) BUY Aurora Gaming 55¢ $1 7m
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Spirit - Map 1 Winner BUY Aurora Gaming 40¢ $1 7m
Map Handicap: TS (-1.5) vs Aurora Gaming (+1.5) BUY Aurora Gaming 55¢ $5 7m
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Spirit - Map 1 Winner BUY Aurora Gaming 40¢ $1 7m
Games Total: O/U 2.5 BUY Over 44¢ $10 7m
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Spirit - Map 1 Winner BUY Aurora Gaming 37¢ $15 7m
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Spirit (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stag BUY Aurora Gaming 22¢ $15 7m
Map Handicap: TS (-1.5) vs Aurora Gaming (+1.5) BUY Aurora Gaming 51¢ $1 7m
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Spirit - Map 1 Winner BUY Aurora Gaming 36¢ $1 7m
Map Handicap: TS (-1.5) vs Aurora Gaming (+1.5) BUY Aurora Gaming 51¢ $1 7m
Map Handicap: TS (-1.5) vs Aurora Gaming (+1.5) BUY Aurora Gaming 51¢ $1 7m
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Spirit - Map 1 Winner BUY Aurora Gaming 38¢ $1 7m
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Spirit (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stag BUY Aurora Gaming 21¢ $1 7m
Games Total: O/U 2.5 BUY Over 44¢ $1 7m
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Spirit - Map 1 Winner BUY Aurora Gaming 39¢ $1 7m
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Spirit (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stag BUY Aurora Gaming 21¢ $1 7m
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Spirit - Map 1 Winner BUY Aurora Gaming 39¢ $15 7m
Map Handicap: TS (-1.5) vs Aurora Gaming (+1.5) BUY Aurora Gaming 51¢ $10 7m
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
borderline — thin edge, slippage-sensitive
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +50%
net ROI/market (all)+14.5%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 234 +26.6% +14.5% 53% 50% +6.1%
≤30d 234 +26.6% +14.5% 53% 50% +6.1%
≤90d 234 +26.6% +14.5% 53% 50% +6.1%
all 234 +26.6% +14.5% 53% 50% +6.1%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover1858.1 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to10%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal +14.5% 50% +6.1%
10% ← realistic here +3.6% 45% -4.0%
15% -6.4% 40% -13.3%
20% -15.6% 34% -21.8%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $1,100.38 · official $1,097.93 (match) · 3500 history records