Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T17:05:25+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

F8
0xf89b…628f
crypto · 575 markets active 17h ago
2.5score
+$89 +3%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$89 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized+$89
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)84%
Wins / losses485 / 90
Open positions0
Markets (closed)575 / 575
History coverage25d
Avg bet$5
Trades / day24.4
Drawdown66%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 0 History 575 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$18
7 days−$131
14 days−$64
30 days+$89
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET Up 88¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET Up 74¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET Down 87¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET Down 85¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET Down 69¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET Up 85¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET Down 87¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET Down 89¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET Down 93¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET Down 86¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET Down 90¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET Down 83¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET Up 74¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET Up 83¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET Down 79¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET Up 88¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET Up 84¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET Down 89¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET Up 92¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET Down 87¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET Down 77¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET Down 84¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET Up 80¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET Down 61¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET Down 89¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET Jun 12 $5 +$1 +14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET Jun 12 $4 −$4 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET Jun 12 $5 +$1 +23%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET Jun 12 $9 −$4 -39%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET Jun 12 $5 +$1 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET Jun 12 $5 +$1 +23%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET Jun 12 $5 +$1 +23%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET Jun 12 $5 +$1 +15%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET Jun 12 $5 +$1 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -99%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET Jun 12 $5 +$1 +28%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET Jun 12 $5 +$1 +31%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET Jun 12 $4 +$1 +23%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET Jun 12 $5 +$1 +26%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -99%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET Jun 12 $5 +$1 +25%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET Jun 12 $5 +$1 +14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET Jun 12 $5 +$1 +22%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET Jun 12 $5 +$1 +25%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET Jun 12 $4 +$1 +29%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET Jun 12 $5 +$1 +25%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -99%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET Jun 12 $5 +$1 +25%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -99%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -99%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET Jun 12 $5 +$1 +16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET Jun 12 $5 +$1 +28%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -99%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET Jun 12 $5 $0 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET Jun 12 $5 +$1 +18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET Jun 12 $5 +$1 +14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET Jun 12 $5 +$1 +16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET Jun 12 $5 +$1 +19%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET Jun 12 $5 +$1 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET Jun 12 $5 +$1 +15%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET Jun 12 $5 +$1 +11%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET Jun 12 $5 +$2 +36%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET Jun 12 $5 $0 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET Jun 12 $5 +$1 +25%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET Jun 12 $5 +$1 +19%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET Jun 11 $5 +$1 +15%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET Jun 11 $5 +$1 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET Jun 11 $5 −$5 -99%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET Jun 11 $5 +$1 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET Jun 11 $5 +$2 +31%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET Jun 11 $5 +$1 +26%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET Jun 11 $5 +$1 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET Jun 11 $5 +$1 +23%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET Jun 11 $5 +$1 +22%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% +$89
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET BUY Down 77¢ $5 17h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET BUY Up 87¢ $5 17h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET BUY Up 74¢ $4 17h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET BUY Up 80¢ $5 17h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET BUY Down 78¢ $4 17h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET BUY Up 90¢ $5 17h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET BUY Down 89¢ $5 18h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET BUY Up 80¢ $5 18h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET BUY Up 80¢ $5 18h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET BUY Up 86¢ $5 19h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET BUY Down 89¢ $5 20h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET BUY Up 88¢ $5 20h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET BUY Down 77¢ $5 20h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET BUY Up 75¢ $5 20h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET BUY Down 80¢ $4 20h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET BUY Down 78¢ $5 21h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET BUY Down 84¢ $5 22h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET BUY Up 80¢ $5 22h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET BUY Up 87¢ $5 23h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET BUY Up 81¢ $5 23h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET BUY Down 80¢ $5 24h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET BUY Down 76¢ $4 24h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET BUY Up 79¢ $5 24h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET BUY Down 87¢ $5 25h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET BUY Up 80¢ $5 26h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET BUY Down 85¢ $5 26h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET BUY Down 86¢ $5 26h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET BUY Down 85¢ $5 27h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET BUY Up 77¢ $5 28h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET BUY Up 80¢ $5 28h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +71%
net ROI/market (all)-4.7%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 214 -11.3% -19.7% 71% 64% -20.7%
≤30d 575 +5.3% -4.7% 84% 71% -6.7%
≤90d 575 +5.3% -4.7% 84% 71% -6.7%
all 575 +5.3% -4.7% 84% 71% -6.7%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover24.4 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -4.7% 71% -6.7%
10% ← realistic here -13.8% 30% -15.7%
15% -22.2% 7% -23.8%
20% -29.8% 2% -31.3%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 1175 history records