Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T15:29:14+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

F8
0xf8ad…3efa
crypto · 95 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
−$5 -2%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$5 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFresh edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized−$5
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)52%
Wins / losses49 / 46
Open positions0
Markets (closed)95 / 95
History coverage11d
Avg bet$3
Trades / day9.6
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit94%
Chart Positions 0 History 95 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$7
7 days−$3
14 days−$6
30 days−$6
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
XRP Up or Down - June 1, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET Down 54¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET Up 51¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
BNB Up or Down - June 12, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET Down 54¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 8, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET Up 42¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 11, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET Down 54¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - June 8, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET Down 49¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 12:15AM-12:30AM ET Down 54¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - June 2, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET Down 47¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET Down 54¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET Up 54¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - June 7, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET Down 54¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET Down 54¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - June 9, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET Up 50¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
BNB Up or Down - June 11, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET Up 54¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
BNB Up or Down - June 11, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET Up 54¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET Up 49¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET Down 54¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - June 8, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET Down 48¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - June 9, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET Down 48¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - June 9, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET Down 53¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - June 2, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET Down 54¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET Down 47¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET Up 49¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET Up 54¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET Up 48¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET Jun 12 $3 +$2 +97%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET Jun 12 $3 +$2 +90%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET Jun 12 $3 +$2 +85%
BNB Up or Down - June 12, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET Jun 12 $3 +$2 +85%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET Jun 12 $3 +$2 +93%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET Jun 12 $3 +$2 +83%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET Jun 12 $3 +$2 +93%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -97%
BNB Up or Down - June 12, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -97%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET Jun 12 $3 +$2 +86%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 12:15AM-12:30AM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET Jun 12 $3 +$2 +85%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET Jun 12 $3 +$2 +93%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET Jun 12 $3 +$2 +85%
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET Jun 12 $3 +$2 +79%
BNB Up or Down - June 11, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
XRP Up or Down - June 11, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET Jun 12 $3 +$2 +93%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET Jun 12 $3 +$2 +90%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
XRP Up or Down - June 11, 6:45PM-7:00PM ET Jun 11 $3 −$3 -100%
XRP Up or Down - June 11, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET Jun 11 $3 +$2 +83%
BNB Up or Down - June 11, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET Jun 11 $3 −$3 -97%
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET Jun 11 $2 −$2 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET Jun 11 $3 −$2 -97%
XRP Up or Down - June 11, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET Jun 11 $3 +$2 +85%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET Jun 11 $3 +$2 +83%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET Jun 11 $3 +$2 +86%
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET Jun 11 $3 −$3 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET Jun 11 $3 +$2 +86%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET Jun 11 $3 −$3 -100%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET Jun 11 $2 −$2 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET Jun 11 $3 +$2 +85%
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET Jun 11 $3 +$2 +85%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET Jun 11 $3 −$3 -100%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET Jun 11 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET Jun 11 $2 +$3 +110%
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET Jun 11 $3 +$2 +86%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET Jun 11 $3 −$3 -100%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 11, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET Jun 11 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET Jun 11 $3 −$3 -97%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET Jun 11 $3 +$2 +85%
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET Jun 11 $3 −$3 -100%
XRP Up or Down - June 10, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET Jun 11 $2 +$3 +110%
Solana Up or Down - June 10, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET Jun 11 $3 +$2 +85%
XRP Up or Down - June 10, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET Jun 11 $3 +$2 +90%
XRP Up or Down - June 10, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET Jun 10 $3 +$2 +85%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 94% −$4
other 6% −$1
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET BUY Up 49¢ $3 44m
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET BUY Up 51¢ $3 1h
BNB Up or Down - June 12, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET BUY Up 54¢ $0 1h
BNB Up or Down - June 12, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET BUY Up 54¢ $3 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET BUY Up 54¢ $3 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET BUY Up 50¢ $3 2h
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET BUY Down 54¢ $3 4h
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET BUY Up 53¢ $3 4h
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET BUY Down 53¢ $3 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET BUY Up 50¢ $3 6h
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET BUY Down 54¢ $3 7h
BNB Up or Down - June 12, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET BUY Down 54¢ $3 7h
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET BUY Up 54¢ $3 8h
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET BUY Up 52¢ $3 10h
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 12:15AM-12:30AM ET BUY Down 54¢ $3 11h
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET BUY Up 54¢ $2 11h
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET BUY Up 54¢ $1 11h
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET BUY Up 54¢ $3 12h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET BUY Up 50¢ $3 12h
BNB Up or Down - June 11, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET BUY Up 54¢ $3 13h
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET BUY Up 54¢ $3 13h
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET BUY Up 54¢ $3 13h
XRP Up or Down - June 11, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET BUY Down 50¢ $3 14h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET BUY Up 51¢ $3 14h
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET BUY Up 54¢ $3 15h
XRP Up or Down - June 11, 6:45PM-7:00PM ET BUY Down 54¢ $2 16h
XRP Up or Down - June 11, 6:45PM-7:00PM ET BUY Down 54¢ $1 16h
BNB Up or Down - June 11, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET BUY Up 54¢ $3 18h
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET BUY Up 48¢ $2 18h
XRP Up or Down - June 11, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET BUY Down 53¢ $3 19h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +51%
net ROI/market (all)-12.5%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 82 -3.0% -12.3% 51% 51% -10.8%
≤30d 95 -3.2% -12.5% 52% 51% -11.5%
≤90d 95 -3.2% -12.5% 52% 51% -11.5%
all 95 -3.2% -12.5% 52% 51% -11.5%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover9.6 tr/day
realistic slip~9%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -12.5% 51% -11.5%
10% -20.8% 51% -20.0%
15% -28.5% 51% -27.7%
20% -35.5% 51% -34.8%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 153 history records