Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T20:48:16+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

F8
0xf8af…54c6
crypto · 756 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$1,929 -27%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$1,927 · open −$1
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$10
Realized−$1,927
Unrealized−$1
Win rate (resolved)39%
Wins / losses428 / 673
Open positions1
Markets (closed)1101 / 756
History coverage1d
Avg bet$10
Trades / day2890.0
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit82%
Chart Positions 1 History 1101 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$1,927
7 days−$1,927
14 days−$1,927
30 days−$1,927
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
XRP Up or Down - June 11, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET Down 83¢ 100¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+20%)
BNB Up or Down - June 12, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET Up 76¢ 100¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+31%)
XRP Up or Down - June 9, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET Up 77¢ 100¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+30%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET Up 88¢ 100¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+14%)
BNB Up or Down - June 9, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET Down 57¢ 100¢ $0 $1 +$0 (+75%)
BNB Up or Down - June 11, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET Down 21¢ 100¢ $0 $1 +$0 (+376%)
Solana Up or Down - June 10, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET Down 79¢ 100¢ $0 $1 +$0 (+27%)
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET Down 82¢ 100¢ $0 $1 +$0 (+22%)
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 8, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET Up 68¢ 100¢ $0 $1 +$0 (+47%)
BNB Up or Down - June 9, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET Down 57¢ 100¢ $0 $1 +$0 (+75%)
BNB Up or Down - June 10, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET Up 90¢ 100¢ $0 $1 +$0 (+11%)
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET Up 78¢ 100¢ $0 $1 +$0 (+28%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET Down 44¢ 100¢ $0 $0 +$0 (+127%)
BNB Up or Down - June 9, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET Up 49¢ 100¢ $0 $0 +$0 (+104%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 9, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET Down 70¢ 100¢ $0 $0 +$0 (+43%)
BNB Up or Down - June 10, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET Down 88¢ 100¢ $0 $0 +$0 (+14%)
BNB Up or Down - June 9, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET Up 59¢ 100¢ $0 $0 +$0 (+69%)
BNB Up or Down - June 9, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET Down 93¢ 100¢ $0 $0 +$0 (+7%)
BNB Up or Down - June 8, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET Down 57¢ 100¢ $0 $0 +$0 (+75%)
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET Down 22¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-98%)
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET Down 67¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - June 10, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET Down 2¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 9, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET Down 90¢ 0¢ $25 $0 −$25 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - June 9, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET Up 73¢ 0¢ $44 $0 −$44 (-100%)
BNB Up or Down - June 9, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET Down 5¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
XRP Up or Down - June 11, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +20%
XRP Up or Down - June 9, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +14%
BNB Up or Down - June 9, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
BNB Up or Down - June 11, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET Jun 12 $0 $0 +376%
Solana Up or Down - June 10, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET Jun 12 $0 $0 +27%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 8, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET Jun 12 $0 $0 +47%
BNB Up or Down - June 9, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET Jun 12 $9 −$9 -100%
BNB Up or Down - June 10, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET Jun 12 $0 $0 +11%
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET Jun 12 $0 $0 +28%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET Jun 12 $0 $0 +127%
BNB Up or Down - June 9, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET Jun 12 $0 $0 +104%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 9, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
BNB Up or Down - June 10, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET Jun 12 $0 $0 +14%
BNB Up or Down - June 9, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET Jun 12 $0 $0 +70%
BNB Up or Down - June 9, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET Jun 12 $0 $0 +8%
BNB Up or Down - June 8, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
XRP Up or Down - June 10, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 9, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET Jun 12 $25 −$25 -100%
XRP Up or Down - June 9, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET Jun 12 $44 −$44 -100%
BNB Up or Down - June 9, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET Jun 12 $0 $0 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
XRP Up or Down - June 11, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 8, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
XRP Up or Down - June 11, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET Jun 12 $11 −$11 -100%
XRP Up or Down - June 11, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
BNB Up or Down - June 9, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET Jun 12 $12 −$12 -100%
XRP Up or Down - June 8, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET Jun 12 $8 −$8 -100%
BNB Up or Down - June 10, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
BNB Up or Down - June 10, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET Jun 12 $0 $0 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 8, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 9, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
BNB Up or Down - June 8, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET Jun 12 $0 $0 -100%
BNB Up or Down - June 9, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
BNB Up or Down - June 10, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
BNB Up or Down - June 8, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET Jun 12 $7 −$7 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 8, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET Jun 12 $25 −$25 -100%
BNB Up or Down - June 11, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET Jun 12 $6 −$6 -100%
BNB Up or Down - June 9, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
XRP Up or Down - June 9, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET Jun 12 $7 −$7 -100%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET Jun 12 $6 −$6 -100%
BNB Up or Down - June 10, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
XRP Up or Down - June 11, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET Jun 12 $7 −$7 -100%
XRP Up or Down - June 10, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET Jun 12 $7 −$7 -100%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 10, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 89% +$104
other 11% +$34
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET BUY Down 24¢ $1 3m
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET BUY Down 79¢ $4 3m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET BUY Down 27¢ $1 3m
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET BUY Up 17¢ $1 3m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET BUY Down 33¢ $2 3m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET BUY Down 34¢ $0 3m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET BUY Down 34¢ $1 3m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET BUY Down 34¢ $1 3m
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET BUY Down 58¢ $3 3m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET BUY Down 32¢ $2 3m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET BUY Down 90¢ $4 3m
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET BUY Up 83¢ $4 3m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET BUY Up 56¢ $3 3m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET BUY Up 55¢ $3 4m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET BUY Up 74¢ $2 4m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET BUY Up 55¢ $1 4m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET BUY Up 55¢ $1 4m
BNB Up or Down - June 12, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET BUY Up 3¢ $0 4m
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET BUY Down 28¢ $1 5m
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET BUY Down 14¢ $0 6m
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET BUY Down 22¢ $1 6m
BNB Up or Down - June 12, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET BUY Down 32¢ $2 6m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET BUY Down 64¢ $3 8m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET BUY Up 40¢ $2 8m
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET BUY Down 30¢ $2 8m
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET BUY Down 86¢ $3 8m
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET BUY Up 81¢ $4 8m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET BUY Up 74¢ $4 8m
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET BUY Up 61¢ $3 9m
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET BUY Up 89¢ $4 9m
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +31%
net ROI/market (all)-40.7%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 1101 -34.5% -40.7% 39% 31% -28.6%
≤30d 1101 -34.5% -40.7% 39% 31% -28.6%
≤90d 1101 -34.5% -40.7% 39% 31% -28.6%
all 1101 -34.5% -40.7% 39% 31% -28.6%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover2890.0 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -40.7% 31% -28.6%
10% ← realistic here -46.4% 20% -35.5%
15% -51.6% 12% -41.7%
20% -56.3% 7% -47.4%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
≈ Vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $10.05 · official $1.43 · 3500 history records