Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T15:22:24+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

F8
0xf8b2…5383
other · 261 markets active 2h ago
0.0score
−$83 -0%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$83 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP ⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized−$83
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)6%
Wins / losses15 / 246
Whale WR (big bets)5%
Est. fees paid−$8
Open positions0
Markets (closed)261 / 261
History coverage137d
Avg bet$218
Trades / day10.0
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit60%
Chart Positions 0 History 261 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$6
7 days−$17
14 days−$25
30 days−$35
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
no open positions
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Will the Kansas City Royals win the 2026 World Series? Jun 12 $313 −$1 -0%
Will Edmundo González be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? Jun 12 $209 $0 -0%
Will 12 or more Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? Jun 12 $561 −$1 -0%
Will South Korea win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jun 12 $674 −$1 -0%
Will Switzerland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jun 11 $1,198 −$2 -0%
Will Mohammed bin Salman win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? Jun 11 $68 $0 -0%
Will the Baltimore Orioles win the 2026 World Series? Jun 11 $238 $0 -0%
Will Egypt win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jun 11 $475 −$1 -0%
Will 6 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? Jun 11 $153 $0 -0%
Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jun 10 $312 $0 -0%
Will the Houston Astros win the 2026 World Series? Jun 10 $145 $0 -0%
Will Canada win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jun 10 $383 $0 -0%
Will Uruguay win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jun 10 $200 $0 -0%
Will Charles Leclerc be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? Jun 10 $69 $0 -0%
Xi Jinping out by June 30? Jun 10 $595 −$1 -0%
Will Elon Musk win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? Jun 09 $285 −$1 -0%
Will the Jacksonville Jaguars win the 2027 NFL league championship? Jun 09 $236 $0 -0%
Will Colombia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jun 08 $477 −$1 -0%
Will Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jun 08 $676 −$1 -0%
Will Eduardo Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? Jun 08 $765 −$1 -0%
Will the Detroit Tigers win the 2026 World Series? Jun 08 $579 $0 -0%
Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jun 08 $597 −$1 -0%
Will the San Diego Padres win the 2026 World Series? Jun 07 $309 −$1 -0%
Will Diosdado Cabello Rondón be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? Jun 07 $712 −$2 -0%
Will the Carolina Panthers win the 2027 NFL league championship? Jun 07 $324 −$1 -0%
Will Ghana win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jun 06 $645 −$1 -0%
Will the Indianapolis Colts win the 2027 NFL league championship? Jun 06 $149 $0 -0%
Will 4 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? Jun 04 $204 $0 -0%
Will Xi Jinping win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? Jun 04 $228 −$1 -0%
Will Khaled Mashal win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? Jun 03 $246 −$1 -0%
Will New York Red Bulls win the 2026 MLS Cup? Jun 03 $667 −$1 -0%
Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jun 02 $365 $0 -0%
Will the Pittsburgh Pirates win the 2026 World Series? Jun 02 $152 $0 -0%
Will Real Salt Lake win the 2026 MLS Cup? Jun 01 $214 $0 -0%
Will Ronaldo Caiado win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? Jun 01 $156 $0 -0%
Will Elon Musk buy Ryanair? May 31 $253 −$1 -0%
Will the New York Giants win the 2027 NFL league championship? May 31 $156 $0 -0%
Will Julian Assange win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? May 31 $554 −$1 -0%
Will Scotland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? May 30 $877 −$1 -0%
Will Charlie Kirk win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? May 30 $532 −$1 -0%
Will the New York Mets win the 2026 World Series? May 28 $329 −$1 -0%
Will Minnesota United FC win the 2026 MLS Cup? May 28 $76 $0 -0%
Will the Pittsburgh Steelers win the 2027 NFL league championship? May 27 $77 $0 -0%
Will the Minnesota Vikings win the 2027 NFL league championship? May 27 $96 $0 -0%
Will the Boston Red Sox win the 2026 World Series? May 26 $321 +$1 +0%
Will Ecuador win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? May 26 $670 −$1 -0%
Will 5 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? May 25 $403 −$1 -0%
Will António Guterres win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? May 25 $159 $0 -0%
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? May 24 $522 +$1 +0%
Will Orlando City SC win the 2026 MLS Cup? May 23 $80 $0 -0%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
other 48% −$41
sports 26% −$21
politics 7% −$5
culture 6% −$7
crypto 4% −$3
economics 4% −$4
world 4% −$1
tech 1% $0
finance 0% $0
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will the Kansas City Royals win the 2026 World Series? SELL No 99¢ $67 1h
Will the Kansas City Royals win the 2026 World Series? BUY No 99¢ $67 2h
Will Edmundo González be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? SELL No 99¢ $67 5h
Will Edmundo González be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? BUY No 100¢ $67 6h
Will 12 or more Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? SELL No 100¢ $67 8h
Will 12 or more Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? BUY No 100¢ $68 10h
Will South Korea win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? SELL No 100¢ $68 12h
Will South Korea win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY No 100¢ $68 14h
Will Switzerland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? SELL No 99¢ $68 15h
Will Switzerland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY No 99¢ $68 17h
Will Mohammed bin Salman win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? SELL No 99¢ $68 18h
Will Mohammed bin Salman win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? BUY No 99¢ $68 20h
Will Edmundo González be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? SELL No 99¢ $68 22h
Will Edmundo González be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? BUY No 100¢ $68 25h
Will the Baltimore Orioles win the 2026 World Series? SELL No 99¢ $68 28h
Will the Baltimore Orioles win the 2026 World Series? BUY No 99¢ $68 30h
Will Egypt win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? SELL No 100¢ $68 35h
Will Egypt win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY No 100¢ $68 37h
Will 6 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? SELL No 100¢ $68 38h
Will 6 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? BUY No 100¢ $68 39h
Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? SELL No 98¢ $68 41h
Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY No 98¢ $69 43h
Will the Houston Astros win the 2026 World Series? SELL No 99¢ $69 45h
Will the Houston Astros win the 2026 World Series? BUY No 99¢ $69 47h
Will Canada win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? SELL No 100¢ $69 2d
Will Canada win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY No 100¢ $69 2d
Will Uruguay win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? SELL No 99¢ $69 2d
Will Uruguay win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY No 99¢ $69 2d
Will Charles Leclerc be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? SELL No 98¢ $69 2d
Will Charles Leclerc be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? BUY No 98¢ $69 2d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +0%
net ROI/market (all)-9.7%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 27 -0.2% -9.7% 0% 0% -9.7%
≤30d 67 -0.2% -9.7% 3% 0% -9.7%
≤90d 183 -0.2% -9.7% 3% 0% -9.7%
all 261 -0.1% -9.7% 6% 0% -9.7%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover10.0 tr/day
realistic slip~9%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -9.7% 0% -9.7%
10% -18.3% 0% -18.3%
15% -26.2% 0% -26.2%
20% -33.4% 0% -33.4%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 1450 history records