Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T21:28:28+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

F8
0xf8bb…570b
sports · 143 markets active 2h ago
0.0score
+$8 +0%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$26 · open +$33
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP sports specialistFresh edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$155
Realized−$26
Unrealized+$33
Win rate (resolved)35%
Wins / losses45 / 85
Est. fees paid−$58
Open positions13
Markets (closed)130 / 143
History coverage26d
Avg bet$28
Trades / day24.2
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit83%
Chart Positions 13 History 130 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$15
7 days+$188
14 days+$188
30 days−$26
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will Spirit reach the Grand Final at IEM Cologne Major 2026? Yes 39¢ 55¢ $50 $70 +$20 (+40%)
Will Team Spirit win IEM Cologne Major 2026? Yes 26¢ 36¢ $15 $21 +$6 (+38%)
Will BetBoom win IEM Cologne Major 2026? Yes 2¢ 4¢ $10 $16 +$6 (+62%)
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 11¢ 11¢ $10 $10 +$0 (+1%)
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 16¢ 16¢ $10 $10 −$0 (-0%)
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 16¢ 16¢ $10 $10 −$0 (-0%)
Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? Yes 9¢ 8¢ $5 $5 −$0 (-6%)
Will Ousmane Dembele be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 2¢ 3¢ $3 $3 +$0 (+12%)
Will FURIA win IEM Cologne Major 2026? Yes 5¢ 6¢ $2 $3 +$1 (+33%)
Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 4¢ 5¢ $2 $2 +$0 (+18%)
Will the Communist Party of the Russian Federation (KPRF) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? Yes 3¢ 3¢ $2 $2 +$0 (+5%)
Will Natus Vincere win IEM Cologne Major 2026? Yes 8¢ 5¢ $2 $1 −$1 (-35%)
Will 9z win IEM Cologne Major 2026? Yes 2¢ 2¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+19%)
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs BetBoom Team - Game 2 Winner BetBoom Team 6¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: TYLOO vs Sinners (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 1 Sinners 51¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs MOUZ (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 MOUZ 7¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET Down 42¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Will Mother's Milk die in "The Boys: Season 5"? Yes 19¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET Up 32¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET Up 11¢ 0¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
Dota 2: Miposhka Team vs SoloTeam (BO3) - BetBoom Streamers Battle Group B Miposhka Team 16¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Desire Doue: Anytime Goalscorer Yes 22¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Dota 2: Stariy Bog Club vs TPaBoMaH Club (BO3) - Winline Star Series Group A Stariy Bog Club 50¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET Up 50¢ 0¢ $7 $0 −$7 (-100%)
Will Annie January (Starlight) die in "The Boys: Season 5"? Yes 10¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Spirit (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stag Jun 12 $10 +$3 +26%
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Spirit - Map 2 Winner Jun 12 $15 −$5 -34%
Games Total: O/U 2.5 Jun 12 $20 −$4 -21%
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs 9z - Map 1 Winner Jun 12 $1 −$1 -97%
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team - Map 2 Winner Jun 12 $5 −$5 -98%
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs MOUZ (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 12 $1 −$1 -97%
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Spirit - Map 2 Winner Jun 11 $71 +$29 +40%
Will Khvicha Kvaratskhelia win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? Jun 08 $21 −$8 -38%
Games Total: O/U 3.5 Jun 07 $15 −$15 -100%
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs LGD Gaming - Game 3 Winner Jun 07 $192 −$58 -30%
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs LGD Gaming - Game 2 Winner Jun 07 $30 +$23 +77%
Will Team Yandex win BLAST Slam VII? Jun 07 $202 +$28 +14%
Dota 2: BetBoom Team vs LGD Gaming (BO3) - BLAST Slam Playoffs Jun 07 $195 +$196 +100%
Dota 2: BetBoom Team vs LGD Gaming - Game 2 Winner Jun 07 $10 −$1 -12%
Dota 2: Aurora vs LGD Gaming (BO3) - BLAST Slam Playoffs Jun 06 $17 +$8 +47%
Dota 2: Aurora vs LGD Gaming - Game 2 Winner Jun 06 $15 −$5 -35%
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - BLAST Slam Playoffs Jun 06 $109 +$21 +19%
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs BetBoom Team - Game 2 Winner Jun 06 $73 −$16 -22%
Games Total: O/U 2.5 Jun 05 $35 +$31 +86%
Dota 2: LGD Gaming vs Team Liquid - Game 2 Winner Jun 05 $141 +$103 +73%
Dota 2: Team Falcons vs Aurora - Game 1 Winner Jun 05 $23 −$3 -13%
Dota 2: LGD Gaming vs Team Liquid - Game 1 Winner Jun 05 $5 +$6 +116%
Dota 2: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team - Game 2 Winner Jun 05 $114 +$18 +16%
Dota 2: GLYPH vs REKONIX (BO5) - Esports World Cup Southeast Asia Clos Jun 05 $9 −$9 -98%
Dota 2: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team - Game 1 Winner Jun 05 $41 +$29 +72%
Dota 2: LGD Gaming vs Team Yandex (BO3) - BLAST Slam Playoffs Jun 04 $42 −$7 -18%
Dota 2: LGD Gaming vs Team Yandex - Game 2 Winner Jun 04 $172 −$36 -21%
Dota 2: LGD Gaming vs Team Yandex - Game 1 Winner Jun 04 $81 +$44 +54%
Dota 2: GLYPH vs Execration (BO3) - Esports World Cup Southeast Asia C Jun 04 $13 +$6 +43%
Dota 2: Team Falcons vs Team Liquid - Game 2 Winner Jun 04 $86 +$7 +9%
Dota 2: Team Falcons vs Team Liquid (BO3) - BLAST Slam Playoffs Jun 04 $122 +$24 +20%
Dota 2: Team Falcons vs Team Liquid - Game 1 Winner Jun 04 $26 +$20 +75%
Dota 2: Aurora vs Team Yandex (BO3) - BLAST Slam Playoffs Jun 04 $17 −$13 -77%
Counter-Strike: TYLOO vs Sinners (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 1 Jun 02 $10 −$10 -99%
Counter-Strike: GamerLegion vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Jun 02 $10 −$10 -98%
Dota 2: Team Falcons vs Team Yandex (BO3) - BLAST Slam Playoffs Jun 02 $46 −$4 -9%
Dota 2: LGD Gaming vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - Esports World Cup Western Jun 02 $15 +$3 +20%
Dota 2: LGD Gaming vs Natus Vincere - Game 1 Winner Jun 02 $20 +$15 +76%
Dota 2: Rostik999 Club vs Rostikfacekid Club (BO3) - Winline Star Seri May 31 $2 +$2 +95%
Dota 2: Rostik999 Club vs Rostikfacekid Club - Game 1 Winner May 31 $20 −$20 -98%
Dota 2: Natus Vincere vs Flame Team (BO3) - Esports World Cup Western May 31 $2 −$2 -97%
Dota 2: Ramzes Club vs TPaBoMaH Club (BO3) - Winline Star Series Group May 31 $3 −$3 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET May 31 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET May 30 $89 +$78 +88%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET May 30 $20 −$1 -7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET May 30 $21 −$21 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET May 30 $5 $0 -6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET May 30 $39 −$7 -18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET May 30 $10 −$10 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET May 30 $1 −$1 -82%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 63% +$296
other 20% −$280
crypto 17% −$9
world 0% $0
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Spirit (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stag SELL Spirit 88¢ $13 1h
Will 9z win IEM Cologne Major 2026? BUY Yes 2¢ $1 1h
Will BetBoom win IEM Cologne Major 2026? BUY Yes 2¢ $10 1h
Will Team Spirit win IEM Cologne Major 2026? BUY Yes 34¢ $5 2h
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Spirit (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stag BUY Spirit 69¢ $10 2h
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Spirit - Map 2 Winner SELL Aurora Gaming 22¢ $10 2h
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Spirit - Map 2 Winner BUY Aurora Gaming 32¢ $15 2h
Games Total: O/U 2.5 SELL Over 46¢ $16 3h
Games Total: O/U 2.5 BUY Over 57¢ $20 3h
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs 9z - Map 1 Winner BUY 9z 3¢ $1 4h
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team - Map 2 Winner BUY Team Falcons 27¢ $5 4h
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs MOUZ (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY MOUZ 7¢ $1 9h
Will the Communist Party of the Russian Federation (KPRF) gain the mos BUY Yes 3¢ $2 9h
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Spirit - Map 2 Winner SELL Spirit 87¢ $99 25h
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Spirit - Map 2 Winner BUY Spirit 61¢ $51 26h
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Spirit - Map 2 Winner BUY Spirit 61¢ $20 26h
Will Ousmane Dembele be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY Yes 2¢ $2 47h
Will Ousmane Dembele be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY Yes 2¢ $1 47h
Will FURIA win IEM Cologne Major 2026? BUY Yes 5¢ $2 47h
Will Natus Vincere win IEM Cologne Major 2026? BUY Yes 8¢ $2 47h
Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY Yes 4¢ $2 47h
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY Yes 16¢ $10 47h
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY Yes 16¢ $10 47h
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY Yes 11¢ $10 47h
Will Team Spirit win IEM Cologne Major 2026? BUY Yes 23¢ $10 47h
Will Spirit reach the Grand Final at IEM Cologne Major 2026? BUY Yes 39¢ $51 47h
Will BetBoom win IEM Cologne Major 2026? SELL Yes 2¢ $2 4d
Will Khvicha Kvaratskhelia win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? SELL Yes 2¢ $1 4d
Will BetBoom win IEM Cologne Major 2026? BUY Yes 1¢ $1 4d
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs LGD Gaming - Game 3 Winner SELL Team Yandex 25¢ $15 5d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +33%
net ROI/market (all)-20.3%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 18 +107.3% +87.6% 39% 39% +12.5%
≤30d 130 -11.9% -20.3% 35% 33% -9.4%
≤90d 130 -11.9% -20.3% 35% 33% -9.4%
all 130 -11.9% -20.3% 35% 33% -9.4%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover24.2 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -20.3% 33% -9.4%
10% ← realistic here -27.9% 28% -18.0%
15% -34.9% 25% -25.9%
20% -41.3% 22% -33.2%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $154.76 · official $154.76 (match) · 648 history records