Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T23:55:15+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

F8
0xf8bf…d5e3
crypto · 1279 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$976 -0%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$976 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$96
Realized−$976
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)87%
Wins / losses1111 / 168
Whale WR (big bets)75%
Open positions0
Markets (closed)1279 / 1279
History coverage82d
Avg bet$248
Trades / day28.4
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 0 History 1279 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$4
7 days+$31
14 days−$51
30 days−$689
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET Up 93¢ 100¢ $89 $96 +$6 (+7%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET Down 94¢ 100¢ $0 $0 +$0 (+6%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET Jun 12 $90 +$6 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET Jun 12 $120 −$5 -4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET Jun 12 $65 +$2 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET Jun 12 $143 −$128 -89%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET Jun 12 $83 +$2 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET Jun 12 $140 +$15 +11%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET Jun 12 $124 −$4 -4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET Jun 12 $10 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET Jun 12 $68 +$3 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET Jun 12 $70 +$2 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET Jun 12 $46 −$1 -3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET Jun 12 $95 +$4 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET Jun 12 $148 +$11 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET Jun 12 $19 +$1 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET Jun 12 $89 +$3 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET Jun 12 $94 +$5 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET Jun 12 $125 +$6 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET Jun 12 $145 +$4 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET Jun 12 $94 +$3 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET Jun 12 $85 +$3 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET Jun 12 $89 +$3 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET Jun 12 $93 +$3 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET Jun 12 $93 −$2 -2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET Jun 12 $82 +$3 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET Jun 12 $86 +$3 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET Jun 12 $144 +$9 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET Jun 11 $88 +$3 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET Jun 11 $92 +$4 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET Jun 11 $129 +$8 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET Jun 11 $92 +$1 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET Jun 11 $92 +$1 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET Jun 11 $87 +$2 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET Jun 11 $92 +$14 +15%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET Jun 11 $83 $0 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET Jun 11 $82 −$1 -2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET Jun 11 $87 +$2 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET Jun 11 $91 +$3 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET Jun 11 $140 +$8 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET Jun 11 $90 +$4 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET Jun 11 $131 +$8 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET Jun 11 $79 +$4 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET Jun 11 $83 +$2 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET Jun 11 $137 +$7 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET Jun 11 $78 +$3 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET Jun 11 $81 +$2 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET Jun 11 $86 +$2 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET Jun 11 $63 −$1 -2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET Jun 11 $78 +$4 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET Jun 11 $82 +$3 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET Jun 11 $132 +$7 +5%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% −$976
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET BUY Up 93¢ $90 11m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET SELL Down 90¢ $113 51m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET BUY Down 94¢ $60 51m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET BUY Down 94¢ $59 51m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET SELL Down 98¢ $67 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET BUY Down 95¢ $65 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET BUY Up 97¢ $83 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET SELL Down 92¢ $119 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET BUY Down 94¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET BUY Down 94¢ $41 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET BUY Down 95¢ $40 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET BUY Down 94¢ $40 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET BUY Up 95¢ $50 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET BUY Up 87¢ $90 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET BUY Up 97¢ $70 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET BUY Down 97¢ $10 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET SELL Down 94¢ $44 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET BUY Down 96¢ $46 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET SELL Up 11¢ $16 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET BUY Up 94¢ $52 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET BUY Up 94¢ $92 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET BUY Down 96¢ $68 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET BUY Down 96¢ $95 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET BUY Up 92¢ $53 17h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET BUY Up 93¢ $96 17h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET BUY Up 97¢ $19 18h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET BUY Up 97¢ $89 18h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET BUY Up 95¢ $94 20h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET BUY Up 97¢ $94 20h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET SELL Up 99¢ $131 21h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +1%
net ROI/market (all)-9.7%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 78 -0.3% -9.8% 78% 3% -9.0%
≤30d 396 -0.6% -10.0% 79% 2% -11.0%
≤90d 1279 -0.2% -9.7% 87% 1% -9.8%
all 1279 -0.2% -9.7% 87% 1% -9.8%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover28.4 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -9.7% 1% -9.8%
10% ← realistic here -18.4% 0% -18.4%
15% -26.3% 0% -26.3%
20% -33.5% 0% -33.5%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $95.63 · official $95.52 (match) · 3500 history records