Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T13:38:40+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

F8
0xf8d7…db88
crypto · 37 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
−$7 -18%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$7 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$7
Realized−$7
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)50%
Wins / losses15 / 15
Est. fees paid−$0
Open positions7
Markets (closed)30 / 37
History coverage69d
Avg bet$1
Trades / day0.6
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit68%
Chart Positions 7 History 30 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$2
7 days−$2
14 days−$2
30 days−$2
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will Germany win on 2026-06-14? Yes 94¢ 94¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+0%)
Will Spain win on 2026-06-15? Yes 91¢ 90¢ $1 $1 −$0 (-1%)
Will Belgium win on 2026-06-15? Yes 61¢ 60¢ $1 $1 −$0 (-1%)
Will Sweden win on 2026-06-14? Yes 51¢ 50¢ $1 $1 −$0 (-1%)
Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-14? Yes 48¢ 48¢ $1 $1 −$0 (-1%)
Will Côte d'Ivoire vs. Ecuador end in a draw? Yes 34¢ 34¢ $1 $1 −$0 (-1%)
Will Saudi Arabia vs. Uruguay end in a draw? Yes 22¢ 22¢ $1 $1 −$0 (-2%)
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? Yes 60¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 16, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET Up 18¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Will Korea Republic vs. Czechia end in a draw? Yes 32¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-13? Yes 81¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Will Australia vs. Türkiye end in a draw? Yes 26¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Will SC Braga win on 2026-04-08? Yes 68¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 16, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET Down 67¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on April 11? No 66¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? Yes 53¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13? Jun 14 $1 +$1 +57%
Will Australia vs. Türkiye end in a draw? Jun 13 $1 −$1 -98%
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? Jun 13 $2 +$2 +97%
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? Jun 12 $1 −$1 -99%
Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-13? Jun 12 $1 −$1 -99%
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11? Jun 11 $1 $0 +44%
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? Jun 11 $1 −$1 -99%
Will Korea Republic vs. Czechia end in a draw? Jun 11 $1 −$1 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 16, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET Apr 16 $1 −$1 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 16, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET Apr 16 $1 −$1 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 13, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET Apr 13 $1 +$1 +57%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 8, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET Apr 08 $1 $0 +33%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 8, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET Apr 08 $1 $0 +22%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 8, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET Apr 08 $1 $0 +31%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on April 11? Apr 08 $1 −$1 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 8, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET Apr 08 $1 $0 +38%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 8, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET Apr 08 $1 $0 +18%
Will SC Braga win on 2026-04-08? Apr 08 $1 −$1 -99%
Will Sporting CP win on 2026-04-07? Apr 08 $1 −$1 -100%
Rolex Monte Carlo Masters: Daniel Altmaier vs Tomas Machac Apr 07 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 6, 10AM ET Apr 06 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 6, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET Apr 06 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 6, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET Apr 06 $1 $0 +42%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 6, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET Apr 06 $1 $0 +40%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 6, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET Apr 06 $1 +$2 +151%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 6, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET Apr 06 $1 $0 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 6, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET Apr 06 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 6, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET Apr 06 $1 $0 -0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 6, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET Apr 06 $1 $0 +18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 6, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET Apr 06 $1 $0 +44%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 54% −$2
other 33% −$2
sports 13% −$3
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will Saudi Arabia vs. Uruguay end in a draw? BUY Yes 22¢ $1 1h
Will Belgium win on 2026-06-15? BUY Yes 61¢ $1 1h
Will Spain win on 2026-06-15? BUY Yes 91¢ $1 1h
Will Sweden win on 2026-06-14? BUY Yes 51¢ $1 1h
Will Côte d'Ivoire vs. Ecuador end in a draw? BUY Yes 34¢ $1 1h
Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-14? BUY Yes 48¢ $1 28h
Will Australia vs. Türkiye end in a draw? BUY Yes 26¢ $1 28h
Will Germany win on 2026-06-14? BUY Yes 94¢ $1 28h
Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 63¢ $1 28h
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 60¢ $1 2d
Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 81¢ $1 2d
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? BUY Yes 50¢ $2 2d
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? BUY Yes 53¢ $1 2d
Will Korea Republic vs. Czechia end in a draw? BUY Yes 32¢ $1 2d
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11? BUY Yes 69¢ $1 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 16, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET BUY Up 18¢ $1 59d
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 16, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET BUY Down 67¢ $1 59d
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 13, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET BUY Down 62¢ $1 62d
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 8, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET BUY Down 74¢ $1 66d
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 8, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET BUY Up 81¢ $1 66d
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 8, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET BUY Up 75¢ $1 66d
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on April 11? BUY No 66¢ $1 66d
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 8, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET BUY Down 71¢ $1 66d
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 8, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET BUY Down 84¢ $1 66d
Will SC Braga win on 2026-04-08? BUY Yes 68¢ $1 66d
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 6, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET BUY Down 81¢ $1 68d
Rolex Monte Carlo Masters: Daniel Altmaier vs Tomas Machac BUY Daniel Altmaier 22¢ $1 68d
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 6, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET BUY Up 69¢ $1 68d
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 6, 10AM ET BUY Down 63¢ $1 68d
Will Sporting CP win on 2026-04-07? BUY Yes 20¢ $1 68d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +47%
net ROI/market (all)-30.9%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 8 -37.8% -43.7% 38% 38% -29.7%
≤30d 8 -37.8% -43.7% 38% 38% -29.7%
≤90d 30 -23.7% -30.9% 50% 47% -29.3%
all 30 -23.7% -30.9% 50% 47% -29.3%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover0.6 tr/day
realistic slip~5%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -30.9% 47% -29.3%
10% -37.6% 37% -36.1%
15% -43.6% 30% -42.2%
20% -49.1% 13% -47.9%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $6.93 · official $6.93 (match) · 81 history records