Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T03:57:28+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

F8
0xf8d7…00cf
other · 8 markets active 1h ago
4.5score
+$52 +5%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$48 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
~ RISKY ⚠ Small sample
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$5
Realized+$48
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)86%
Wins / losses6 / 1
Est. fees paid−$0
Open positions1
Markets (closed)7 / 8
History coverage264d
Avg bet$141
Trades / day0.0
Drawdown11%
Kalshi-fit50%
Chart Positions 1 History 7 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$24
7 days+$24
14 days+$24
30 days+$24
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-14? Yes 57¢ 56¢ $5 $5 −$0 (-1%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Haiti vs. Scotland: O/U 2.5 Jun 14 $7 −$6 -82%
Brazil vs. Morocco: Brazil O/U 4.5 Corners Jun 14 $10 +$7 +67%
Dan Ndoye: 3+ shots Jun 13 $6 +$4 +62%
Folarin Balogun: 3+ shots Jun 13 $10 +$7 +72%
Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: Both Teams to Score Jun 12 $5 +$5 +105%
Canada vs. Bosnia-Herzegovina: Canada O/U 5.5 Corners Jun 12 $10 +$7 +70%
Will Raphinha win the 2025 Ballon d'Or? Sep 23 $1,071 +$23 +2%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
other 97% +$34
sports 3% +$13
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-14? BUY Yes 57¢ $5 45m
Haiti vs. Scotland: O/U 2.5 SELL Over 11¢ $1 1h
Haiti vs. Scotland: O/U 2.5 BUY Over 58¢ $7 2h
Brazil vs. Morocco: Brazil O/U 4.5 Corners BUY Over 59¢ $10 6h
Dan Ndoye: 3+ shots BUY Yes 61¢ $1 9h
Dan Ndoye: 3+ shots BUY Yes 61¢ $5 9h
Folarin Balogun: 3+ shots BUY Yes 58¢ $10 26h
Canada vs. Bosnia-Herzegovina: Canada O/U 5.5 Corners BUY Over 58¢ $10 33h
Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: Both Teams to Score BUY Yes 48¢ $5 33h
Will Raphinha win the 2025 Ballon d'Or? BUY No 98¢ $1,071 264d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
insufficient sample — too few resolved markets to judge
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +71%
net ROI/market (all)+28.8%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 6 +49.1% +34.9% 83% 83% +36.1%
≤30d 6 +49.1% +34.9% 83% 83% +36.1%
≤90d 6 +49.1% +34.9% 83% 83% +36.1%
all 7 +42.4% +28.8% 86% 71% -5.7%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover0.0 tr/day
realistic slip~5%
edge survives to15%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here +28.8% 71% -5.7%
10% +16.5% 71% -14.7%
15% +5.3% 71% -22.9%
20% -5.1% 71% -30.5%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $4.96 · official $4.96 (match) · 16 history records