Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T09:58:57+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

F8
0xf8da…e0d2
crypto · 1417 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
+$37 +0%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$60 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized−$60
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)85%
Wins / losses1206 / 211
Open positions0
Markets (closed)1417 / 1417
History coverage62d
Avg bet$8
Trades / day34.6
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 0 History 1417 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$2
7 days−$2
14 days−$42
30 days−$11
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET Up 62¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 20, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET Down 65¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 19, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET Down 2¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET Down 37¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET Down 79¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET Up 68¢ 0¢ $7 $0 −$7 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET Down 61¢ 0¢ $15 $0 −$15 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 22, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET Up 72¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET Up 30¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET Up 8¢ 0¢ $7 $0 −$7 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET Up 84¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 24, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET Down 91¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET Down 59¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET Up 86¢ 0¢ $25 $0 −$25 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET Up 72¢ 0¢ $7 $0 −$7 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET Down 30¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET Up 95¢ 0¢ $15 $0 −$15 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET Down 94¢ 0¢ $32 $0 −$32 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET Up 86¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET Up 46¢ 0¢ $8 $0 −$8 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET Up 31¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET Up 32¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET Down 24¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET Up 52¢ 0¢ $8 $0 −$8 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET Up 92¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET Jun 14 $3 +$2 +58%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET Jun 14 $2 $0 +16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET Jun 14 $1 $0 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET Jun 14 $2 +$1 +50%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET Jun 14 $2 +$1 +48%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET Jun 14 $3 −$3 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET Jun 14 $1 $0 +25%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET Jun 14 $2 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +42%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET Jun 13 $2 +$1 +39%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET Jun 13 $1 +$1 +68%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET Jun 05 $2 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET Jun 05 $13 +$1 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET Jun 05 $13 +$1 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET Jun 05 $14 +$1 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET Jun 05 $14 +$1 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET Jun 05 $12 +$2 +20%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET Jun 05 $13 +$1 +11%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET Jun 05 $36 −$17 -46%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET Jun 05 $16 +$1 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET Jun 05 $2 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET Jun 05 $16 +$1 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET Jun 05 $16 +$1 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET Jun 05 $14 +$1 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET Jun 05 $32 −$14 -42%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET Jun 05 $16 +$1 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET Jun 05 $15 +$4 +26%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET Jun 05 $15 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET Jun 05 $15 +$1 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET Jun 05 $14 +$3 +23%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET Jun 05 $14 +$2 +14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET Jun 03 $2 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET Jun 03 $20 −$20 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET Jun 03 $17 +$2 +14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET Jun 03 $17 +$3 +19%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET Jun 03 $3 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET Jun 03 $17 +$2 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET Jun 03 $19 +$1 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET Jun 03 $19 +$3 +14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET Jun 03 $3 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET Jun 03 $18 +$2 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET Jun 03 $18 +$2 +11%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET Jun 03 $15 +$1 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET Jun 03 $18 −$18 -99%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET Jun 03 $21 +$2 +11%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET Jun 03 $20 +$3 +14%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% −$60
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET BUY Down 66¢ $1 46m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET BUY Down 59¢ $1 46m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET BUY Down 60¢ $1 46m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET BUY Up 54¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET BUY Up 52¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET BUY Down 85¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET BUY Down 85¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET BUY Down 89¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET BUY Down 88¢ $1 7h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET BUY Down 52¢ $1 7h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET BUY Down 52¢ $1 7h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET BUY Up 78¢ $1 7h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET BUY Up 57¢ $1 7h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET BUY Up 64¢ $1 7h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET BUY Up 61¢ $1 7h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET BUY Up 56¢ $1 7h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET BUY Down 79¢ $1 8h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET BUY Down 48¢ $1 8h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET BUY Up 56¢ $1 8h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET BUY Up 69¢ $1 10h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET BUY Up 90¢ $1 17h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET BUY Up 58¢ $1 17h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET BUY Down 59¢ $1 17h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET BUY Up 58¢ $1 17h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET BUY Down 54¢ $1 17h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $2 8d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET BUY Up 92¢ $13 9d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET BUY Up 93¢ $13 9d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET BUY Down 97¢ $2 9d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET BUY Down 89¢ $12 9d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +27%
net ROI/market (all)-11.4%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 15 -9.4% -18.1% 67% 60% -15.1%
≤30d 749 -1.3% -10.7% 90% 17% -9.7%
≤90d 1417 -2.1% -11.4% 85% 27% -10.0%
all 1417 -2.1% -11.4% 85% 27% -10.0%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover34.6 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -11.4% 27% -10.0%
10% ← realistic here -19.9% 15% -18.6%
15% -27.6% 9% -26.5%
20% -34.7% 5% -33.7%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 3368 history records