Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T13:08:40+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

F8
0xf8ea…b603
crypto · 324 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$1,409 -6%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$1,643 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized−$1,643
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)41%
Wins / losses133 / 191
Est. fees paid−$7
Open positions0
Markets (closed)324 / 324
History coverage244d
Avg bet$77
Trades / day4.7
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit83%
Chart Positions 0 History 324 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$66
7 days+$66
14 days+$62
30 days+$49
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET Up 61¢ 0¢ $50 $0 −$50 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET Down 41¢ 0¢ $14 $0 −$14 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET Up 60¢ 0¢ $12 $0 −$12 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET Up 60¢ 0¢ $8 $0 −$8 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET Jun 14 $52 +$13 +26%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET Jun 14 $51 +$1 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET Jun 14 $52 +$22 +42%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET Jun 14 $52 +$36 +69%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7AM ET Jun 14 $41 −$20 -49%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4AM ET Jun 14 $31 +$39 +124%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET Jun 14 $30 +$3 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET Jun 14 $51 −$50 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET Jun 14 $52 −$45 -88%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET Jun 14 $62 +$16 +26%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET Jun 14 $51 +$11 +21%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET Jun 14 $8 −$3 -41%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET Jun 14 $26 +$4 +16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET Jun 14 $88 +$15 +17%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET Jun 13 $41 +$20 +49%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET Jun 13 $51 +$11 +21%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9AM ET Jun 13 $52 +$1 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET Jun 13 $38 +$19 +50%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET Jun 13 $30 +$8 +26%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET Jun 13 $42 −$33 -79%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7AM ET Jun 13 $55 +$6 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET Jun 13 $42 −$37 -87%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET Jun 13 $52 +$40 +78%
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jun 13 $35 +$10 +28%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:15AM-12:30AM ET Jun 13 $99 −$93 -94%
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026? Jun 13 $32 −$2 -7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET Jun 13 $52 +$1 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET Jun 13 $61 +$41 +68%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET Jun 13 $30 +$31 +103%
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jun 13 $25 +$1 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET Jun 07 $8 −$8 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET Jun 07 $8 +$3 +42%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 8:00PM-12:00AM ET May 31 $41 −$36 -87%
Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League? May 30 $25 +$18 +70%
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? May 30 $10 +$4 +42%
Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? May 30 $10 +$1 +14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET May 01 $15 −$14 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET May 01 $31 −$24 -77%
UFC Fight Night: Beneil Dariush vs. Quillan Salkilld (Lightweight, Mai May 01 $40 −$1 -1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET Apr 28 $40 −$40 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET Apr 27 $25 +$14 +55%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET Apr 27 $20 +$3 +15%
Will Senegal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Apr 27 $10 −$2 -25%
MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$800M one day after launch? Apr 27 $4 −$1 -29%
MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$1B one day after launch? Apr 27 $5 −$1 -17%
Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Apr 27 $10 −$1 -12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET Apr 27 $55 −$55 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET Apr 26 $60 −$37 -62%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET Apr 26 $112 +$21 +19%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET Apr 26 $30 −$4 -13%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 52% −$792
world 16% −$208
finance 13% −$126
other 7% −$316
politics 6% −$143
sports 5% −$53
weather 1% −$6
tech 0% +$1
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET SELL Up 74¢ $65 26m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET BUY Up 56¢ $52 28m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET SELL Up 80¢ $50 42m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET BUY Up 60¢ $51 53m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET SELL Up 69¢ $74 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET BUY Up 46¢ $52 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET SELL Up 87¢ $87 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET BUY Up 49¢ $52 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7AM ET SELL Down 32¢ $21 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7AM ET BUY Down 58¢ $41 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4AM ET BUY Up 43¢ $31 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET BUY Down 90¢ $30 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET BUY Up 61¢ $51 7h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET SELL Down 7¢ $6 7h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET BUY Down 52¢ $52 7h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET SELL Down 69¢ $78 8h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET BUY Down 54¢ $31 8h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET BUY Down 50¢ $31 8h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET SELL Down 94¢ $62 8h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET BUY Down 76¢ $51 8h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET SELL Up 23¢ $5 9h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET BUY Up 35¢ $8 9h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET SELL Up 31¢ $31 11h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET BUY Up 24¢ $26 11h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET SELL Up 63¢ $103 12h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET BUY Up 36¢ $37 12h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET BUY Up 71¢ $51 12h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET SELL Up 74¢ $62 21h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET BUY Up 47¢ $41 21h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET SELL Up 95¢ $62 21h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +30%
net ROI/market (all)-18.7%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 30 +8.6% -1.7% 73% 57% -5.1%
≤30d 36 +6.7% -3.4% 72% 58% -6.4%
≤90d 318 -11.2% -19.7% 40% 29% -16.0%
all 324 -10.1% -18.7% 41% 30% -15.5%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover4.7 tr/day
realistic slip~7%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -18.7% 30% -15.5%
10% -26.5% 19% -23.6%
15% -33.6% 12% -31.0%
20% -40.1% 8% -37.7%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 1302 history records