Wallet analysis

2026-06-18T13:14:09+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
F9 0xf90a…3bee crypto 44 markets active 0h ago coverage 1d
BOTnot copyable crypto specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover
✗ bot/MM pace (130 trades/day) — uncopyable✗ only 1d of captured history — unreliable✗ negative after realistic slippage
Total PnL +$42 (+3%) realized +$42 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt +5% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -19% what you keep after slip
Net edge-19%after slip
Net WR39%break-even
Win rate82%36W / 8L
Drawdown76%max
Avg bet$33per market
Trades / day130.0pace
Kalshi-fit100%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
Not enough resolved history to chart — analysis covers only 1d (hyperactive wallet — we see only the tail of its trades). A “Total PnL” curve will appear once daily tracking accumulates.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 100% +$19
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
uncopyable — bot pace (130 trades/day)
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +39%
net ROI/market (all)-5.0%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 44 +5.0% -5.0% 82% 39% -8.2%
≤30d 44 +5.0% -5.0% 82% 39% -8.2%
≤90d 44 +5.0% -5.0% 82% 39% -8.2%
all 44 +5.0% -5.0% 82% 39% -8.2%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover130.0 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -5.0% 39% -8.2%
10% ← realistic here -14.1% 18% -17.0%
15% -22.4% 11% -25.0%
20% -30.0% 2% -32.3%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 11% · top 2 19% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI +2% 90d near zero / fading
Fragile wins
53% wins margin < slip thin win margins
Flat-copyable
equal-wt +5% · $-wt +2% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early +20% → late -10% edge faded
Add-ons / DCA
1.7 add-ons/market adds to positions
Win / loss size
+$4 vs −$17 · ×0.25 wins small, loses big
Profit factor
×1.14 profit barely above losses
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

1d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized+$42
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)82%
Wins / losses36 / 8
Open positions0
Markets (closed)44 / 44
History coverage1d
Avg bet$33
Trades / day130.0
Drawdown76%
Kalshi-fit100%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 44 Trades
no open positions (4 resolved losses — in realized PnL)
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET Jun 18 $5 −$1 -28%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET Jun 18 $5 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET Jun 18 $42 −$20 -48%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET Jun 18 $41 +$3 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET Jun 18 $25 +$1 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET Jun 18 $40 +$1 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET Jun 18 $41 −$20 -48%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET Jun 18 $20 +$5 +27%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET Jun 18 $41 +$11 +26%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET Jun 18 $20 +$1 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET Jun 18 $61 +$7 +11%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET Jun 18 $79 +$10 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET Jun 18 $41 −$13 -31%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET Jun 18 $21 +$9 +42%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET Jun 18 $26 +$4 +14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET Jun 18 $76 −$15 -20%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET Jun 18 $51 −$16 -31%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET Jun 18 $77 −$25 -32%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET Jun 18 $78 +$17 +22%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET Jun 18 $25 +$2 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET Jun 18 $51 +$11 +21%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET Jun 18 $25 +$6 +24%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET Jun 18 $25 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET Jun 18 $25 +$1 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET Jun 18 $51 −$23 -46%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET Jun 18 $30 +$3 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET Jun 18 $56 +$12 +21%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET Jun 18 $5 +$12 +236%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET Jun 18 $61 +$5 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET Jun 18 $20 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET Jun 18 $20 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET Jun 18 $20 +$3 +17%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET Jun 18 $20 +$1 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET Jun 18 $40 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET Jun 18 $20 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET Jun 18 $20 +$3 +14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET Jun 18 $20 +$9 +46%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET Jun 18 $20 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET Jun 18 $10 +$4 +42%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET Jun 18 $20 +$3 +16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET Jun 18 $10 $0 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET Jun 18 $10 +$4 +44%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET Jun 18 $13 +$1 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET Jun 18 $21 +$1 +5%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET SELL Up 34¢ $4 0m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET BUY Up 43¢ $5 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET SELL Up 95¢ $5 5m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET BUY Up 90¢ $5 6m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET BUY Up 27¢ $21 12m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET SELL Down 55¢ $20 13m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET BUY Down 52¢ $21 13m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET BUY Down 95¢ $20 19m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $5 20m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET SELL Up 99¢ $20 24m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $20 25m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET SELL Up 82¢ $21 27m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET BUY Up 76¢ $20 28m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET BUY Down 96¢ $20 34m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET SELL Down 60¢ $23 35m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET BUY Down 50¢ $21 35m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET BUY Down 47¢ $21 39m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET SELL Up 70¢ $7 39m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET SELL Up 70¢ $1 39m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET SELL Up 70¢ $5 39m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET SELL Up 70¢ $7 39m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET SELL Up 70¢ $4 39m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET BUY Up 58¢ $21 43m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET SELL Up 98¢ $26 44m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET BUY Up 76¢ $20 48m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET BUY Up 93¢ $20 54m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET SELL Up 86¢ $30 56m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET BUY Up 57¢ $21 58m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET BUY Up 95¢ $20 59m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $20 1h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 149 history records