Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T10:55:00+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

F9
0xf93b…405c
crypto · 849 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$1,372 -7%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$1,368 · open −$5
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist
Net worth$4
Realized−$1,368
Unrealized−$5
Win rate (resolved)55%
Wins / losses476 / 397
Open positions2
Markets (closed)873 / 849
Avg bet$25
Trades / day84.4
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 2 History 873 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$877
7 days−$930
14 days−$1,002
30 days−$1,511
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET Down 50¢ 52¢ $4 $4 +$0 (+4%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 8, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET Down 8¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET Up 79¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET Up 50¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - May 20, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET Up 51¢ 0¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET Down 69¢ 0¢ $100 $0 −$100 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET Down 8¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - June 3, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET Down 10¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 22, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET Up 70¢ 0¢ $30 $0 −$30 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - May 22, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET Up 72¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET Up 61¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET Up 66¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET Down 67¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - May 10, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET Down 79¢ 0¢ $50 $0 −$50 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 9, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET Down 62¢ 0¢ $55 $0 −$55 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET Down 45¢ 0¢ $25 $0 −$25 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET Down 37¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 16, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET Down 61¢ 0¢ $50 $0 −$50 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 19, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET Up 23¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - May 31, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET Down 68¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down on May 20? Down 17¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Dogecoin Up or Down - May 26, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET Down 13¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET Up 55¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET Up 22¢ 0¢ $175 $0 −$175 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 16, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET Up 57¢ 0¢ $9 $0 −$9 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Ethereum Up or Down - May 8, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET Jun 12 $100 −$100 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET Jun 12 $6 −$6 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET Jun 12 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET Jun 12 $25 −$25 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET Jun 12 $75 −$75 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET Jun 12 $25 −$25 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET Jun 12 $46 −$46 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET Jun 12 $25 −$25 -100%
Dogecoin Up or Down - May 8, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET Jun 12 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET Jun 12 $17 −$17 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET Jun 12 $50 −$50 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 8, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET Jun 12 $55 −$55 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET Jun 12 $60 −$60 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET Jun 12 $15 −$15 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET Jun 12 $25 −$25 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET Jun 12 $59 −$59 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET Jun 12 $125 −$125 -100%
Solana Up or Down - May 9, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET Jun 12 $50 −$50 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET Jun 12 $25 −$25 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Solana Up or Down - May 8, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET Jun 12 $25 −$25 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 8, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET Jun 12 $30 −$30 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
XRP Up or Down - May 8, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET Jun 12 $55 −$55 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET Jun 12 $4 −$1 -27%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET Jun 12 $52 −$52 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET Jun 12 $26 −$25 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET Jun 12 $26 −$25 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET Jun 12 $27 +$53 +196%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET Jun 12 $27 −$26 -95%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET Jun 12 $55 +$53 +96%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET Jun 12 $52 +$57 +110%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET Jun 12 $26 +$17 +67%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET Jun 12 $51 +$7 +14%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET Jun 12 $55 +$52 +94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET Jun 12 $6 −$6 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET Jun 12 $28 +$24 +86%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET Jun 12 $52 −$26 -50%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET Jun 12 $26 +$34 +129%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET Jun 12 $1 +$6 +574%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET Jun 12 $27 +$17 +63%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET Jun 12 $31 +$20 +66%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET Jun 12 $51 +$12 +24%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET Jun 12 $86 −$29 -33%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET Jun 12 $5 $0 -8%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% −$457
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET BUY Down 36¢ $1 0m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET BUY Down 58¢ $3 0m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET SELL Down 25¢ $2 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET BUY Down 37¢ $3 2m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET BUY Down 64¢ $5 7m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET SELL Up 53¢ $1 8m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET BUY Up 45¢ $1 9m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET BUY Up 43¢ $5 18m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET BUY Up 53¢ $1 36m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET BUY Down 57¢ $26 40m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET BUY Down 49¢ $26 41m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET BUY Down 62¢ $26 48m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET BUY Up 45¢ $26 52m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET BUY Up 2¢ $1 55m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET BUY Down 31¢ $26 57m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET BUY Down 23¢ $26 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET BUY Down 22¢ $1 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET BUY Up 53¢ $1 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET BUY Up 46¢ $1 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET BUY Up 46¢ $1 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET BUY Up 42¢ $26 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET BUY Up 60¢ $26 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET BUY Up 48¢ $26 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET BUY Up 44¢ $26 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET BUY Up 58¢ $26 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET BUY Up 89¢ $25 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET SELL Up 87¢ $30 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET BUY Up 72¢ $25 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET BUY Up 50¢ $26 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET BUY Up 39¢ $1 1h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +48%
net ROI/market (all)-20.3%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 155 -22.7% -30.1% 38% 29% -36.6%
≤30d 662 -14.2% -22.4% 53% 47% -19.4%
≤90d 873 -11.9% -20.3% 55% 48% -15.6%
all 873 -11.9% -20.3% 55% 48% -15.6%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover84.4 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -20.3% 48% -15.6%
10% ← realistic here -27.9% 39% -23.7%
15% -34.9% 26% -31.0%
20% -41.3% 15% -37.8%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $4.17 · official $4.49 (match) · 3500 history records