Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T06:40:25+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

F9
0xf93e…fa51
crypto · 221 markets active 1h ago
3.5score
−$3,510 -14%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$3,337 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized−$3,337
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)36%
Wins / losses79 / 142
Whale WR (big bets)33%
Est. fees paid−$6
Open positions0
Markets (closed)221 / 221
History coverage287d
Avg bet$117
Trades / day1.8
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit97%
Chart Positions 0 History 221 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$583
7 days+$583
14 days+$583
30 days+$583
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
XRP Up or Down - December 11, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET Down 4¢ 0¢ $31 $0 −$31 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET Up 3¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - December 20, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET Down 62¢ 0¢ $234 $0 −$234 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 22, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET Up 11¢ 0¢ $22 $0 −$22 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - December 20, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET Down 57¢ 0¢ $86 $0 −$86 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET Up 49¢ 0¢ $45 $0 −$45 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 24, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET Up 10¢ 0¢ $123 $0 −$123 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - December 24, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET Up 40¢ 0¢ $101 $0 −$101 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - December 10, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET Up 45¢ 0¢ $26 $0 −$26 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - December 24, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET Down 37¢ 0¢ $23 $0 −$23 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - December 25, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET Up 47¢ 0¢ $44 $0 −$44 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 21, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET Up 48¢ 0¢ $177 $0 −$177 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET Down 52¢ 0¢ $55 $0 −$55 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET Up 1¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 25, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET Up 54¢ 0¢ $326 $0 −$326 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET Down 54¢ 0¢ $235 $0 −$235 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - December 21, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET Up 42¢ 0¢ $35 $0 −$35 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 27, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET Up 14¢ 0¢ $53 $0 −$53 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - December 21, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET Down 52¢ 0¢ $77 $0 −$77 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - December 13, 3AM ET Down 8¢ 0¢ $25 $0 −$25 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 25, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET Up 14¢ 0¢ $15 $0 −$15 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 28, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET Up 45¢ 0¢ $175 $0 −$175 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - December 22, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET Up 49¢ 0¢ $57 $0 −$57 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 23, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET Down 27¢ 0¢ $25 $0 −$25 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET Down 52¢ 0¢ $45 $0 −$45 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET Jun 14 $57 −$55 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET Jun 14 $41 +$16 +40%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET Jun 14 $46 −$5 -12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET Jun 14 $36 +$10 +29%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET Jun 14 $57 +$49 +87%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET Jun 14 $16 +$14 +87%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET Jun 14 $108 +$77 +71%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET Jun 14 $190 +$92 +48%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET Jun 14 $123 +$66 +54%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET Jun 14 $259 +$150 +58%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET Jun 14 $170 +$86 +51%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET Jun 14 $243 −$235 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET Jun 14 $140 +$103 +73%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET Jun 14 $93 −$90 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET Jun 14 $47 −$45 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET Jun 14 $137 +$211 +154%
Knicks vs. Spurs Jun 14 $243 −$69 -28%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET Jun 14 $47 −$45 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET Jun 14 $11 −$10 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET Jun 14 $93 +$65 +70%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET Jun 14 $76 +$10 +13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET Jun 14 $130 +$129 +100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET Jun 14 $67 +$63 +93%
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 28, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET Dec 28 $14 −$14 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 28, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET Dec 28 $175 −$175 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 28, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET Dec 28 $97 +$78 +80%
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 28, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET Dec 28 $50 +$47 +94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 28, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET Dec 28 $31 +$19 +61%
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 28, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET Dec 28 $17 +$14 +80%
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 28, 12:15AM-12:30AM ET Dec 28 $29 −$29 -100%
Solana Up or Down - December 27, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET Dec 28 $28 −$28 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 27, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET Dec 28 $53 −$53 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - December 27, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET Dec 28 $28 −$28 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 26, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET Dec 26 $15 −$15 -100%
XRP Up or Down - December 25, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET Dec 26 $87 −$87 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 25, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET Dec 26 $230 −$126 -55%
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 25, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET Dec 26 $326 −$326 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 25, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET Dec 26 $31 −$31 -100%
Solana Up or Down - December 25, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET Dec 26 $56 −$25 -45%
Solana Up or Down - December 25, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET Dec 26 $44 −$44 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 25, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET Dec 26 $33 +$12 +36%
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 25, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET Dec 25 $15 −$15 -100%
XRP Up or Down - December 24, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET Dec 25 $23 −$23 -100%
Solana Up or Down - December 24, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET Dec 25 $91 −$91 -100%
XRP Up or Down - December 24, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET Dec 25 $57 +$34 +59%
XRP Up or Down - December 24, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET Dec 25 $32 +$25 +78%
XRP Up or Down - December 24, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET Dec 25 $18 +$12 +64%
Solana Up or Down - December 24, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET Dec 25 $185 +$138 +75%
Solana Up or Down - December 24, 6:45PM-7:00PM ET Dec 24 $87 +$98 +113%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 88% −$2,863
sports 7% +$282
other 4% −$616
politics 1% −$77
economics 0% −$63
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET BUY Down 52¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET BUY Down 52¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET BUY Down 52¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET BUY Down 52¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET BUY Down 52¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET BUY Down 51¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET BUY Down 51¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET BUY Down 51¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET BUY Down 51¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET BUY Down 51¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET BUY Down 51¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET SELL Down 94¢ $57 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET BUY Down 65¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET BUY Down 65¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET BUY Down 66¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET BUY Down 65¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET BUY Down 65¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET BUY Down 65¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET BUY Down 65¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET BUY Down 68¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET SELL Down 61¢ $41 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET BUY Down 65¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET BUY Down 65¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET BUY Down 66¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET BUY Down 66¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET BUY Down 66¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET BUY Down 66¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET BUY Down 66¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET BUY Down 66¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET BUY Down 66¢ $5 1h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +34%
net ROI/market (all)-32.7%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 24 +9.0% -1.4% 62% 62% +14.1%
≤30d 24 +9.0% -1.4% 62% 62% +14.1%
≤90d 24 +9.0% -1.4% 62% 62% +14.1%
all 221 -25.6% -32.7% 36% 34% -21.4%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover1.8 tr/day
realistic slip~5%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -32.7% 34% -21.4%
10% -39.1% 32% -28.9%
15% -45.0% 29% -35.8%
20% -50.4% 26% -42.1%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 750 history records