Wallet analysis

2026-06-26T23:12:53+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
F9 0xf944…ef91 crypto 1652 markets active 1h ago coverage 35d ⚠
BOTnot copyable crypto specialist⚠ High turnover⚠ Covers last 35d only
✗ bot/MM pace (77 trades/day) — uncopyable✗ negative after realistic slippage✗ 90-day edge negative — edge has died
Total PnL −$14,729 (-32%) realized −$14,729 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt -18% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -37% what you keep after slip
Net edge-37%after slip
Net WR41%break-even
Win rate52%985W / 911L
Whale WR0%big bets
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$28per market
Trades / day77.0pace
Fees−$1est.
Kalshi-fit100%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$17,331
7 days−$16,383
14 days−$15,985
30 days−$17,154
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 100% −$854
sports 0% +$7
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
uncopyable — bot pace (77 trades/day)
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +41%
net ROI/market (all)-25.7%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 532 -62.5% -66.0% 20% 19% -76.5%
≤30d 1388 -21.3% -28.8% 49% 39% -47.4%
≤90d 1896 -17.8% -25.7% 52% 41% -37.6%
all 1896 -17.8% -25.7% 52% 41% -37.6%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover77.0 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -25.7% 41% -37.6%
10% ← realistic here -32.8% 34% -43.6%
15% -39.3% 30% -49.0%
20% -45.2% 26% -54.0%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 3% · top 2 5% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI -31% edge died — 90d negative
Fragile wins
19% wins margin < slip solid win margins
Flat-copyable
equal-wt -18% · $-wt -31% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR 0% (≥$500) big bets weaker
Persistence
early -6% → late -30% mixed
Add-ons / DCA
1.2 add-ons/market flat bettor — clean entries
Win / loss size
+$12 vs −$34 · ×0.36 wins small, loses big
Profit factor
×0.39 loses more than it wins
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

35d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized−$14,729
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)52%
Wins / losses985 / 911
Whale WR (big bets)0%
Est. fees paid−$1
Open positions0
Markets (closed)1896 / 1652
History coverage35d ⚠
Avg bet$28
Trades / day77.0
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 1896 Trades
no open positions (500 resolved losses — in realized PnL)
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET Jun 26 $30 −$30 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 19, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET Jun 26 $48 −$48 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 20, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET Jun 26 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET Jun 26 $41 −$41 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET Jun 26 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 16, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET Jun 26 $21 −$21 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 15, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET Jun 26 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET Jun 26 $100 −$100 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET Jun 26 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET Jun 26 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 22, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET Jun 26 $325 −$325 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 16, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET Jun 26 $19 −$19 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET Jun 26 $100 −$100 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET Jun 26 $50 −$50 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 13, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET Jun 26 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET Jun 26 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET Jun 26 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 13, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET Jun 26 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET Jun 26 $20 −$20 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET Jun 26 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET Jun 26 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET Jun 26 $50 −$50 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET Jun 26 $200 −$200 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 11, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET Jun 26 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET Jun 26 $7 −$7 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET Jun 26 $25 −$25 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET Jun 26 $20 −$20 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 23, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET Jun 26 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET Jun 26 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 12, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET Jun 26 $19 −$19 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 4, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET Jun 26 $30 −$30 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 18, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET Jun 26 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET Jun 26 $20 −$20 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET Jun 26 $1,000 −$1,000 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET Jun 26 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET Jun 26 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET Jun 26 $24 −$24 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET Jun 26 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 18, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET Jun 26 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET Jun 26 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 16, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET Jun 26 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET Jun 26 $40 −$40 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET Jun 26 $20 −$20 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET Jun 26 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET Jun 26 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET Jun 26 $29 −$29 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET Jun 26 $80 −$80 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET Jun 26 $20 −$20 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET Jun 26 $50 −$50 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 21, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET Jun 26 $39 −$39 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET SELL Down 99¢ $395 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET BUY Down 50¢ $58 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET BUY Down 50¢ $149 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET BUY Down 50¢ $93 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET BUY Down 50¢ $43 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET BUY Down 55¢ $21 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET BUY Down 50¢ $10 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET BUY Up 86¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET BUY Down 78¢ $4 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET SELL Up 51¢ $10 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET BUY Up 51¢ $10 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET BUY Up 51¢ $31 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET BUY Up 52¢ $23 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET BUY Up 51¢ $10 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET SELL Down 51¢ $16 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET SELL Down 51¢ $2 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET SELL Down 51¢ $5 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET BUY Up 50¢ $8 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET BUY Up 50¢ $10 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET BUY Up 50¢ $2 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET BUY Down 50¢ $23 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET BUY Up 49¢ $10 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET BUY Up 48¢ $10 8h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET BUY Down 94¢ $5 9h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET BUY Up 51¢ $10 10h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET BUY Down 50¢ $114 10h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET BUY Down 50¢ $48 10h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET BUY Down 51¢ $23 10h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET BUY Down 50¢ $10 10h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET SELL Up 52¢ $49 20h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 3500 history records